$177€158todayIs an Avacyn Restored bundle worth opening?
Market price today
$177.45€158.32
- Lowest listing
- $145.70€130
- Per pack
- $19.72€17.59
Keep it sealed$36€32 of cards inside, after selling costs
Estimated contents: nobody has published measured pull rates for this box yet, so we use those of boxes with the same pack layout. Treat the numbers as a rough guide.
Why we'd keep it sealed
The cards inside are worth $36€32 after selling costs. The box costs $177€158.
On average you lose $142€127 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.
These pull rates are estimates, but the box's value hardly depends on them: it's likely between $34€30 and $39€34.
If you opened 100 boxes
- 0 make money
- 100 lose money
A typical box is worth $28€25. 1 in 10 boxes is worth $67€60 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth $13€11 or less.
Avacyn Restored EV: the math, per box
From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.
Per box of 9 packs
- Box price today
- $177€158
- Cards inside, at market prices
- $55€49
- Selling costs and bulk
- −$19−€17
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- $36€32
- Compared with the box price
- −$142−€127
From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, $0.28€0.25 per card sold, cards under $1.12€1.00 go to bulk at $0.01€0.01.
- Cards inside, at market prices
- The average value of everything in a box, with each card at today's market price.
- Selling costs and bulk
- Marketplace fees and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
- Compared with the box price
- Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.
What the box costs
Today's market price, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.
- Market price today
- $177.45€158.32$19.72€17.59 per pack
- Lowest listing
- $145.70€130
The price history starts on the day live prices switch on, and grows by one point a day.
What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth
Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.
Show as a table
| Box value | Boxes out of 100 | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Under $9€8 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| $9€8 to $15€13 | 13 of 100 | Lose money |
| $15€13 to $21€18 | 17 of 100 | Lose money |
| $21€18 to $26€23 | 14 of 100 | Lose money |
| $26€23 to $32€28 | 8 of 100 | Lose money |
| $32€28 to $37€33 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| $37€33 to $43€38 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| $43€38 to $49€43 | 7 of 100 | Lose money |
| $49€43 to $54€48 | 7 of 100 | Lose money |
| $54€48 to $60€53 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| $60€53 to $65€58 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| $65€58 to $71€63 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $71€63 to $77€68 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $77€68 to $82€73 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $82€73 to $88€78 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $88€78 to $93€83 | 1 in 91 | Lose money |
| $93€83 to $99€88 | 1 in 131 | Lose money |
| $99€88 to $105€93 | 1 in 205 | Lose money |
| $105€93 to $110€98 | 1 in 289 | Lose money |
| $110€98 to $116€103 | 1 in 370 | Lose money |
| $116€103 to $121€108 | 1 in 450 | Lose money |
| $121€108 to $127€113 | 1 in 599 | Lose money |
| $127€113 to $133€118 | 1 in 990 | Lose money |
| $133€118 to $138€123 | 1 in 1,852 | Lose money |
| $138€123 to $144€128 | 1 in 2,041 | Lose money |
| $144€128 to $149€133 | 1 in 2,703 | Lose money |
| $149€133 to $155€138 | 1 in 3,030 | Lose money |
| $155€138 to $161€143 | 1 in 4,167 | Lose money |
| $161€143 to $166€148 | 1 in 8,333 | Lose money |
| $166€148 to $172€153 | 1 in 12,500 | Lose money |
| $172€153 to $177€158 | 1 in 33,333 | Lose money |
| $177€158 to $183€163 | 1 in 25,000 | Make money |
| $183€163 to $189€168 | 1 in 50,000 | Make money |
| $189€168 or more | 1 in 20,000 | Make money |
Where the value comes from
The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.
| Card type | How many per box | Average card after selling costs | Adds to the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare7.9 per box | 7.9 per box | $2.22€1.98 | |
| Common88 per box | 88 per box | $0.08€0.07 | |
| Mythic rare1.1 per box | 1.1 per box | $5.61€5.00 | |
| Foil rare1 in 3.8 boxes | 1 in 3.8 boxes | $5.66€5.05 | |
| Uncommon27 per box | 27 per box | $0.05€0.04 | |
| Foil mythic rare1 in 26 boxes | 1 in 26 boxes | $18.93€16.89 | |
| Foil common1.2 per box | 1.2 per box | $0.57€0.51 | |
| Foil uncommon1 in 2.0 boxes | 1 in 2.0 boxes | $0.83€0.74 | |
| Basic land9.0 per box | 9.0 per box | $0.01€0.01 | |
| Total | $36€32 |
Chance of a big pull
How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.
- Mythic rare 70of 100 boxes 1.1 per box$5.61€5.00 each
- Foil rare 23of 100 boxes 1 in 3.8 boxes$5.66€5.05 each
- Foil mythic rare 4of 100 boxes 1 in 26 boxes$19€17 each
Show as a table
| Card type | Boxes with at least one | On average | Boxes for one specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mythic rare | 70 of 100 | 1.1 per box | 13 |
| Foil rare | 23 of 100 | 1 in 3.8 boxes | 200 |
| Foil mythic rare | 4 of 100 | 1 in 26 boxes | 395 |
If card prices fall
Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.
| Card prices | Cards inside, after costs | Compared with the box | Boxes that lose money | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today's prices | $36€32 | −$142−€127 | more than 99 of 100 boxes | Keep it sealed |
| 25% lower | $26€23 | −$152−€135 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 50% lower | $16€14 | −$161−€144 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 75% lower | $7€6 | −$171−€152 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
Avacyn Restored pull rates
Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on October 14, 2026. This box's own pull rates haven't been measured, so these come from boxes with the same pack layout, with extra uncertainty added.
Most valuable Avacyn Restored cards
The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.
| Card | Card type | Market price | After selling costs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avacyn, Angel of Hope (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $71.65€63.93 | $67.79€60.48 |
| Cavern of Souls (foil) | Foil rare | $70.42€62.83 | $66.62€59.44 |
| Exquisite Blood (foil) | Foil rare | $48.24€43.04 | $45.55€40.64 |
| Craterhoof Behemoth (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $46.83€41.78 | $44.21€39.44 |
| Cavern of Souls | Rare | $41.72€37.22 | $39.35€35.11 |
| Exquisite Blood | Rare | $33.61€29.99 | $31.65€28.24 |
| Angel of Jubilation (foil) | Foil rare | $32.84€29.30 | $30.92€27.59 |
| Avacyn, Angel of Hope | Mythic rare | $29.89€26.67 | $28.12€25.09 |
| Griselbrand (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $26.53€23.67 | $24.92€22.24 |
| Gisela, Blade of Goldnight (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $26.17€23.35 | $24.58€21.93 |
| Craterhoof Behemoth | Mythic rare | $23.82€21.25 | $22.35€19.94 |
| Bruna, Light of Alabaster (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $22.55€20.12 | $21.14€18.86 |
| Temporal Mastery (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $22.27€19.87 | $20.88€18.63 |
| Cathars' Crusade (foil) | Foil rare | $17.60€15.70 | $16.44€14.67 |
| Tandem Lookout (foil) | Foil uncommon | $17.32€15.45 | $16.17€14.43 |
| Sigarda, Host of Herons (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $16.79€14.98 | $15.67€13.98 |
| Tamiyo, the Moon Sage (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $16.36€14.60 | $15.27€13.62 |
| Primal Surge (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $14.69€13.11 | $13.68€12.20 |
| Ghostly Flicker (foil) | Foil common | $14.45€12.89 | $13.44€12.00 |
| Malignus (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $13.19€11.77 | $12.25€10.93 |
| Reforge the Soul (foil) | Foil rare | $12.92€11.53 | $12.00€10.70 |
| Blood Artist (foil) | Foil uncommon | $12.28€10.96 | $11.39€10.16 |
| Battle Hymn (foil) | Foil common | $11.99€10.70 | $11.11€9.92 |
| Cloudshift (foil) | Foil common | $11.80€10.53 | $10.93€9.75 |
| Angel of Jubilation | Rare | $10.86€9.69 | $10.04€8.96 |
| Descendants' Path (foil) | Foil rare | $10.46€9.33 | $9.65€8.61 |
| Ulvenwald Tracker (foil) | Foil rare | $9.96€8.89 | $9.19€8.20 |
| Terminus (foil) | Foil rare | $9.61€8.57 | $8.84€7.89 |
| Soul of the Harvest (foil) | Foil rare | $9.43€8.41 | $8.67€7.74 |
| Champion of Lambholt (foil) | Foil rare | $9.37€8.36 | $8.62€7.69 |
How we work this out
We price every card at its market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.
More Magic boxes
- Magic Return to RavnicaDraft Boosters Keep it sealed $82€73 of cards for a $180€161 box More than 99 of 100 boxes lose money
- Magic Magic 2013Draft Boosters Keep it sealed $69€61 of cards for a $245€219 box 100 of 100 boxes lose money
- Magic Magic 2013Bundle Keep it sealed $17€15 of cards for a $83€74 box More than 99 of 100 boxes lose money
- Magic Avacyn RestoredDraft Boosters Keep it sealed $143€127 of cards for a $491€438 box 100 of 100 boxes lose money
- Magic Dark AscensionDraft Boosters Keep it sealed $53€47 of cards for a $277€247 box 100 of 100 boxes lose money
- Magic Dark AscensionBundle Keep it sealed $13€12 of cards for a $119€106 box 100 of 100 boxes lose money
Compare: Magic 2013 vs Avacyn Restored, Avacyn Restored vs Dark Ascension, Draft Booster box vs bundle