€159todayIs a Conspiracy Draft Booster display worth opening?
Cardmarket today
€158.89
- Lowest listing
- €120
- Per pack
- €4.41
Keep it sealed€127 of cards inside, after selling costs
Estimated contents: nobody has published measured pull rates for this box yet, so we use those of boxes with the same pack layout. Treat the numbers as a rough guide.
Why we'd keep it sealed
The cards inside are worth €127 after selling costs. The box costs €159.
On average you lose €32 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.
These pull rates are estimates, but the box's value hardly depends on them: it's likely between €124 and €133.
No prices yet for: Basic land. We count them as €0.
If you opened 100 boxes
- 17 make money
- 83 lose money
A typical box is worth €124. 1 in 10 boxes is worth €172 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth €84 or less.
The math, per box
From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.
Per box of 36 packs
- Box price on Cardmarket
- €159
- Cards inside, at market prices
- €201
- Selling costs and bulk
- −€74
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- €127
- Compared with the box price
- −€32
From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, €0.25 per card sold, cards under €1.00 go to bulk at €0.01.
- Cards inside, at market prices
- The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
- Selling costs and bulk
- Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
- Compared with the box price
- Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.
What the box costs
Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.
- Cardmarket today
- €158.89€4.41 per pack
- Lowest listing
- €120
- Box price on Cardmarket
- Cards inside, after selling costs
Show as a table
| Day | Box price | Cards inside, after costs |
|---|---|---|
| 15 October 2026 | €158.89 | €126.86 |
| 14 October 2026 | €158.89 | €125.64 |
What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth
Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.
Show as a table
| Box value | Boxes out of 100 | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Under €54 | 1 in 176 | Lose money |
| €54 to €59 | 1 in 198 | Lose money |
| €59 to €64 | 1 in 124 | Lose money |
| €64 to €69 | 1 in 81 | Lose money |
| €69 to €74 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| €74 to €79 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| €79 to €84 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| €84 to €89 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| €89 to €94 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| €94 to €99 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| €99 to €104 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| €104 to €109 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| €109 to €114 | 6 of 100 | Lose money |
| €114 to €119 | 6 of 100 | Lose money |
| €119 to €124 | 6 of 100 | Lose money |
| €124 to €129 | 6 of 100 | Lose money |
| €129 to €134 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| €134 to €139 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| €139 to €144 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| €144 to €149 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| €149 to €154 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| €154 to €159 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| €159 to €164 | 3 of 100 | Make money |
| €164 to €169 | 3 of 100 | Make money |
| €169 to €174 | 2 of 100 | Make money |
| €174 to €179 | 2 of 100 | Make money |
| €179 to €184 | 2 of 100 | Make money |
| €184 to €189 | 1 in 80 | Make money |
| €189 to €194 | 1 in 93 | Make money |
| €194 to €199 | 1 in 116 | Make money |
| €199 to €204 | 1 in 162 | Make money |
| €204 to €209 | 1 in 212 | Make money |
| €209 or more | 2 of 100 | Make money |
Where the value comes from
The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.
| Card type | How many per box | Average card after selling costs | Adds to the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare32 per box | 32 per box | €2.03 | |
| Uncommon108 per box | 108 per box | €0.24 | |
| Common352 per box | 352 per box | €0.04 | |
| Mythic rare4.5 per box | 4.5 per box | €2.28 | |
| Foil rare1.1 per box | 1.1 per box | €5.34 | |
| Foil common4.9 per box | 4.9 per box | €0.53 | |
| Foil uncommon2.0 per box | 2.0 per box | €1.22 | |
| Foil mythic rare1 in 6.6 boxes | 1 in 6.6 boxes | €14.38 | |
| Basic land36 per box | 36 per box | No price yet | |
| Total | €127 |
Chance of a big pull
How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.
- Mythic rare 99of 100 boxes 4.5 per box€2.28 each
- Foil rare 65of 100 boxes 1.1 per box€5.34 each
- Foil mythic rare 14of 100 boxes 1 in 6.6 boxes€14 each
Show as a table
| Card type | Boxes with at least one | On average | Boxes for one specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mythic rare | 99 of 100 | 4.5 per box | 2.2 |
| Foil rare | 65 of 100 | 1.1 per box | 40 |
| Foil mythic rare | 14 of 100 | 1 in 6.6 boxes | 66 |
If card prices fall
Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.
| Card prices | Cards inside, after costs | Compared with the box | Boxes that lose money | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today's prices | €127 | −€32 | 83 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 25% lower | €83 | −€76 | 99 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 50% lower | €54 | −€105 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 75% lower | €27 | −€131 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
Pull rates we used
Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026. This box's own pull rates haven't been measured, so these come from boxes with the same pack layout, with extra uncertainty added.
Most valuable cards
The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.
| Card | Card type | Cardmarket price | After selling costs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Misdirection (foil) | Foil rare | €46.84 | €44.25 |
| Treasonous Ogre (foil) | Foil uncommon | €32.92 | €31.02 |
| Exploration (foil) | Foil rare | €29.62 | €27.89 |
| Dack Fayden (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €26.97 | €25.37 |
| Exploration | Rare | €25.65 | €24.12 |
| Marchesa, the Black Rose (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €23.71 | €22.27 |
| Phage the Untouchable (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €23.03 | €21.63 |
| Stifle (foil) | Foil rare | €22.99 | €21.59 |
| Basandra, Battle Seraph (foil) | Foil rare | €21.43 | €20.11 |
| Pernicious Deed (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €18.51 | €17.33 |
| Altar of Dementia (foil) | Foil rare | €17.20 | €16.09 |
| Hydra Omnivore (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €16.07 | €15.02 |
| Coercive Portal (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €16.03 | €14.98 |
| Reflecting Pool (foil) | Foil rare | €15.04 | €14.04 |
| Treasonous Ogre | Uncommon | €14.29 | €13.33 |
| Silent Arbiter (foil) | Foil rare | €14.03 | €13.08 |
| Reflecting Pool | Rare | €12.25 | €11.39 |
| Altar of Dementia | Rare | €11.56 | €10.73 |
| Misdirection | Rare | €11.54 | €10.71 |
| Stifle | Rare | €10.86 | €10.07 |
| Vedalken Orrery (foil) | Foil rare | €10.73 | €9.94 |
| Muzzio, Visionary Architect (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €10.41 | €9.64 |
| Unquestioned Authority (foil) | Foil uncommon | €8.90 | €8.21 |
| Mana Geyser (foil) | Foil common | €8.53 | €7.85 |
| Mirari's Wake (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €8.43 | €7.76 |
| Swords to Plowshares (foil) | Foil uncommon | €7.48 | €6.86 |
| Vedalken Orrery | Rare | €6.91 | €6.31 |
| Tyrant's Choice (foil) | Foil common | €6.67 | €6.09 |
| Silent Arbiter | Rare | €6.50 | €5.93 |
| Brago, King Eternal (foil) | Foil rare | €6.40 | €5.83 |
How we work this out
We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.