Pokémon Japan artwork€899today

Is an Explosive Fighter booster display worth opening?

Pokémon Japan. 20 packs of 5 cards. Released 17 June 2016. Prices from 15 October 2026.

Cardmarket today

€899

Per pack
€44.95

Keep it sealed€90 of cards inside, after selling costs

Estimated contents: nobody has published measured pull rates for this box yet, so we use those of boxes with the same pack layout. Treat the numbers as a rough guide.

See the mathPrice history

Why we'd keep it sealed

The cards inside are worth €90 after selling costs. The box costs €899.

On average you lose €809 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.

Pull rates are still uncertain. The real value could be anywhere from €64 to €148.

If you opened 100 boxes

  • 0 make money
  • 100 lose money

A typical box is worth €75. 1 in 10 boxes is worth €166 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth €32 or less.

The math, per box

From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.

Per box of 20 packs

Box price on Cardmarket
€899
Cards inside, at market prices
€132
Selling costs and bulk
−€42
Cards inside, after selling costs
€90
Compared with the box price
−€809

From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, €0.25 per card sold, cards under €1.00 go to bulk at €0.01.

Cards inside, at market prices
The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
Selling costs and bulk
Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
Cards inside, after selling costs
What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
Compared with the box price
Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.

What the box costs

Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.

Cardmarket today
€899€44.95 per pack

The price history starts on the day live prices switch on, and grows by one point a day.

What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth

Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.

Value of 100,000 simulated boxes100 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of €899.Box price €899Lose money0102030€200€400€600€800Boxes out of 100Under €49: 29 of 100 boxes€49 to €74: 20 of 100 boxes€74 to €99: 14 of 100 boxes€99 to €124: 12 of 100 boxes€124 to €149: 11 of 100 boxes€149 to €174: 6 of 100 boxes€174 to €199: 3 of 100 boxes€199 to €224: 3 of 100 boxes€224 to €249: 1 in 82 boxes€249 to €274: 1 in 159 boxes€274 to €299: 1 in 260 boxes€299 to €324: 1 in 575 boxes€324 to €349: 1 in 1,000 boxes€349 to €374: 1 in 3,125 boxes€374 to €399: 1 in 5,556 boxes€399 to €424: 1 in 14,286 boxes€424 to €449: 1 in 20,000 boxes€449 to €474: 1 in 100,000 boxes€474 to €499: 0 of 100 boxes€499 to €524: 1 in 100,000 boxes€524 to €549: 0 of 100 boxes€549 to €574: 0 of 100 boxes€574 to €599: 0 of 100 boxes€599 to €624: 0 of 100 boxes€624 to €649: 0 of 100 boxes€649 to €674: 0 of 100 boxes€674 to €699: 0 of 100 boxes€699 to €724: 0 of 100 boxes€724 to €749: 0 of 100 boxes€749 to €774: 0 of 100 boxes€774 to €799: 0 of 100 boxes€799 to €824: 0 of 100 boxes€824 to €849: 0 of 100 boxes€849 to €874: 0 of 100 boxes€874 to €899: 0 of 100 boxes€899 to €924: 0 of 100 boxes€924 to €949: 0 of 100 boxes€949 to €974: 0 of 100 boxesValue of 100,000 simulated boxes100 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of €899.Box price €899Lose money0102030€250€500€750Boxes out of 100Under €49: 29 of 100 boxes€49 to €74: 20 of 100 boxes€74 to €99: 14 of 100 boxes€99 to €124: 12 of 100 boxes€124 to €149: 11 of 100 boxes€149 to €174: 6 of 100 boxes€174 to €199: 3 of 100 boxes€199 to €224: 3 of 100 boxes€224 to €249: 1 in 82 boxes€249 to €274: 1 in 159 boxes€274 to €299: 1 in 260 boxes€299 to €324: 1 in 575 boxes€324 to €349: 1 in 1,000 boxes€349 to €374: 1 in 3,125 boxes€374 to €399: 1 in 5,556 boxes€399 to €424: 1 in 14,286 boxes€424 to €449: 1 in 20,000 boxes€449 to €474: 1 in 100,000 boxes€474 to €499: 0 of 100 boxes€499 to €524: 1 in 100,000 boxes€524 to €549: 0 of 100 boxes€549 to €574: 0 of 100 boxes€574 to €599: 0 of 100 boxes€599 to €624: 0 of 100 boxes€624 to €649: 0 of 100 boxes€649 to €674: 0 of 100 boxes€674 to €699: 0 of 100 boxes€699 to €724: 0 of 100 boxes€724 to €749: 0 of 100 boxes€749 to €774: 0 of 100 boxes€774 to €799: 0 of 100 boxes€799 to €824: 0 of 100 boxes€824 to €849: 0 of 100 boxes€849 to €874: 0 of 100 boxes€874 to €899: 0 of 100 boxes€899 to €924: 0 of 100 boxes€924 to €949: 0 of 100 boxes€949 to €974: 0 of 100 boxes
Each bar covers €25 of box value. Bars right of the line are boxes worth at least what you paid.
Show as a table
Box valueBoxes out of 100Result
Under €4929 of 100Lose money
€49 to €7420 of 100Lose money
€74 to €9914 of 100Lose money
€99 to €12412 of 100Lose money
€124 to €14911 of 100Lose money
€149 to €1746 of 100Lose money
€174 to €1993 of 100Lose money
€199 to €2243 of 100Lose money
€224 to €2491 in 82Lose money
€249 to €2741 in 159Lose money
€274 to €2991 in 260Lose money
€299 to €3241 in 575Lose money
€324 to €3491 in 1,000Lose money
€349 to €3741 in 3,125Lose money
€374 to €3991 in 5,556Lose money
€399 to €4241 in 14,286Lose money
€424 to €4491 in 20,000Lose money
€449 to €4741 in 100,000Lose money
€474 to €4990 of 100Lose money
€499 to €5241 in 100,000Lose money
€524 to €5490 of 100Lose money
€549 to €5740 of 100Lose money
€574 to €5990 of 100Lose money
€599 to €6240 of 100Lose money
€624 to €6490 of 100Lose money
€649 to €6740 of 100Lose money
€674 to €6990 of 100Lose money
€699 to €7240 of 100Lose money
€724 to €7490 of 100Lose money
€749 to €7740 of 100Lose money
€774 to €7990 of 100Lose money
€799 to €8240 of 100Lose money
€824 to €8490 of 100Lose money
€849 to €8740 of 100Lose money
€874 to €8990 of 100Lose money
€899 to €9240 of 100Make money
€924 to €9490 of 100Make money
€949 to €9740 of 100Make money

Where the value comes from

The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.

Card typeHow many per boxAverage card after selling costsAdds to the box
Super Rare (SR)1.0 per box1.0 per box€47.66€48
Rare (R)15 per box15 per box€1.55€23
Double Rare (RR)4.0 per box4.0 per box€3.39€14
Ultra Rare (UR, gold)1 in 10.0 boxes1 in 10.0 boxes€46.28€4.63
Common (C)60 per box60 per box€0.01€0.60
Uncommon (U)20 per box20 per box€0.01€0.20
Total€90

Chance of a big pull

How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.

Show as a table
Card typeBoxes with at least oneOn averageBoxes for one specific card
Ultra Rare (UR, gold)Gold-foil Pokémon, Trainer or item card, roughly one in ten boxes.10 of 1001 in 10.0 boxes10.0

If card prices fall

Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.

Card pricesCards inside, after costsCompared with the boxBoxes that lose moneyVerdict
Today's prices€90−€809100 of 100Keep it sealed
25% lower€66−€833100 of 100Keep it sealed
50% lower€43−€856100 of 100Keep it sealed
75% lower€21−€878100 of 100Keep it sealed

Pull rates we used

Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026. This box's own pull rates haven't been measured, so these come from boxes with the same pack layout, with extra uncertainty added.

Card typeHow oftenLikely rangeBased on
Common slots, 3 per pack
Common (C)60 per boxPack layout
Uncommon slots, 1 per pack
Uncommon (U)20 per boxPack layout
Rare-or-better slots, 1 per pack
Ultra Rare (UR, gold)1 in 10.0 boxes1 in 4.1 to 24 boxesEstimate
Super Rare (SR)1.0 per box1 in 2.4 boxes to 2.4 per boxEstimate
Double Rare (RR)4.0 per box1.6 to 9.7 per boxEstimate
Rare (R)15 per boxThe rest of the slot

Most valuable cards

The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.

CardCard typeCardmarket priceAfter selling costs
Pokemon RangerSuper Rare (SR)€89.99€85.24
Volcanion EXUltra Rare (UR, gold)€48.98€46.28
Steelix EXSuper Rare (SR)€42.31€39.94
Volcanion EXSuper Rare (SR)€19.00€17.80
ChandelureRare (R)€9.19€8.48
Clawitzer BREAKDouble Rare (RR)€5.00€4.50
Xerneas BREAKDouble Rare (RR)€4.15€3.69
Pyroar BREAKDouble Rare (RR)€4.00€3.55
Volcanion EXDouble Rare (RR)€3.03€2.63
Steelix EXDouble Rare (RR)€2.97€2.57
XerneasRare (R)€1.11€0.80
ShiftryRare (R)€0.94€0.01
VolcanionRare (R)€0.92€0.01
GalvantulaUncommon (U)€0.91€0.01
KlinklangRare (R)€0.77€0.01
GastrodonUncommon (U)€0.75€0.01
Pokemon RangerUncommon (U)€0.70€0.01
FoongusCommon (C)€0.54€0.01
KlefkiCommon (C)€0.50€0.01
PyroarRare (R)€0.50€0.01
DrifloonCommon (C)€0.49€0.01
LitleoCommon (C)€0.49€0.01
NuzleafCommon (C)€0.49€0.01
RapidashCommon (C)€0.49€0.01
Steelix Spirit LinkUncommon (U)€0.49€0.01
SamurottUncommon (U)€0.46€0.01
DruddigonCommon (C)€0.45€0.01
Special ChargeUncommon (U)€0.43€0.01
ClawitzerUncommon (U)€0.42€0.01
CobalionUncommon (U)€0.42€0.01

How we work this out

We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.

Read the full method