Union Arena Sword Art Online Vol.2 booster display$109today

Is a Sword Art Online Vol.2 booster display worth opening?

Union Arena. 16 packs of 12 cards. Released 30 January 2026. Prices from 15 October 2026.

TCGplayer today

$108.89

Lowest listing
$107.98
Per pack
$6.81

Keep it sealed$95 of cards inside, after selling costs

Estimated contents: nobody has published measured pull rates for this box yet, so we use those of boxes with the same pack layout. Treat the numbers as a rough guide.

See the mathPrice history

Why we'd keep it sealed

The cards inside are worth $95 after selling costs. The box costs $109.

On average you lose $14 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.

Pull rates are still uncertain. The real value could be anywhere from $46 to $219. That's enough to change the verdict.

If you opened 100 boxes

  • 30 make money
  • 70 lose money

A typical box is worth $14. 1 in 10 boxes is worth $322 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth $5 or less.

The math, per box

From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.

Per box of 16 packs

Box price on TCGplayer
$109
Cards inside, at market prices
$133
Selling costs and bulk
−$38
Cards inside, after selling costs
$95
Compared with the box price
−$14

From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 13% fee, $0.30 per card sold, cards under $1.00 go to bulk at $0.01.

Cards inside, at market prices
The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on TCGplayer today.
Selling costs and bulk
TCGplayer's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
Cards inside, after selling costs
What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
Compared with the box price
Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.

What the box costs

Today's price on TCGplayer, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.

TCGplayer today
$108.89$6.81 per pack
Lowest listing
$107.98
  • Box price on TCGplayer
  • Cards inside, after selling costs
Box price and the cards inside, day by dayFrom 14 Oct to 15 Oct, the box price went from $109 to $109, and the cards inside, after selling costs, from $95 to $95.$90$95$100$105$110$115Box$109Cards$9514 Oct15 Oct14 Oct: box $109, cards $9515 Oct: box $109, cards $95Box price and the cards inside, day by dayFrom 14 Oct to 15 Oct, the box price went from $109 to $109, and the cards inside, after selling costs, from $95 to $95.$90$95$100$105$110$115Box$109Cards$9514 Oct15 Oct14 Oct: box $109, cards $9515 Oct: box $109, cards $95
On days when the cards line sits above the box line, an average box was worth more than it cost. Selling costs use our defaults.
Show as a table
DayBox priceCards inside, after costs
15 October 2026$108.89$95.10
14 October 2026$108.89$95.10

What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth

Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.

Value of 100,000 simulated boxes70 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of $109.Box price $109Lose moneyMake money020406080$100$200$300$400$500$569+Boxes out of 100Under $29: 68 of 100 boxes$29 to $49: 2 of 100 boxes$49 to $69: 1 in 2,564 boxes$69 to $89: 0 of 100 boxes$89 to $109: 0 of 100 boxes$109 to $129: 1 in 1,408 boxes$129 to $149: 3 of 100 boxes$149 to $169: 2 of 100 boxes$169 to $189: 2 of 100 boxes$189 to $209: 2 of 100 boxes$209 to $229: 2 of 100 boxes$229 to $249: 4 of 100 boxes$249 to $269: 2 of 100 boxes$269 to $289: 2 of 100 boxes$289 to $309: 1 in 503 boxes$309 to $329: 1 in 758 boxes$329 to $349: 1 in 585 boxes$349 to $369: 3 of 100 boxes$369 to $389: 1 in 136 boxes$389 to $409: 1 in 287 boxes$409 to $429: 1 in 353 boxes$429 to $449: 1 in 524 boxes$449 to $469: 2 of 100 boxes$469 to $489: 1 in 145 boxes$489 to $509: 1 in 298 boxes$509 to $529: 1 in 1,205 boxes$529 to $549: 1 in 787 boxes$549 to $569: 1 in 980 boxes$569 or more: 2 of 100 boxesValue of 100,000 simulated boxes70 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of $109.Box price $109Make money020406080$200$400$569+Boxes out of 100Under $29: 68 of 100 boxes$29 to $49: 2 of 100 boxes$49 to $69: 1 in 2,564 boxes$69 to $89: 0 of 100 boxes$89 to $109: 0 of 100 boxes$109 to $129: 1 in 1,408 boxes$129 to $149: 3 of 100 boxes$149 to $169: 2 of 100 boxes$169 to $189: 2 of 100 boxes$189 to $209: 2 of 100 boxes$209 to $229: 2 of 100 boxes$229 to $249: 4 of 100 boxes$249 to $269: 2 of 100 boxes$269 to $289: 2 of 100 boxes$289 to $309: 1 in 503 boxes$309 to $329: 1 in 758 boxes$329 to $349: 1 in 585 boxes$349 to $369: 3 of 100 boxes$369 to $389: 1 in 136 boxes$389 to $409: 1 in 287 boxes$409 to $429: 1 in 353 boxes$429 to $449: 1 in 524 boxes$449 to $469: 2 of 100 boxes$469 to $489: 1 in 145 boxes$489 to $509: 1 in 298 boxes$509 to $529: 1 in 1,205 boxes$529 to $549: 1 in 787 boxes$549 to $569: 1 in 980 boxes$569 or more: 2 of 100 boxes
Each bar covers $20 of box value. Bars right of the line are boxes worth at least what you paid.
Show as a table
Box valueBoxes out of 100Result
Under $2968 of 100Lose money
$29 to $492 of 100Lose money
$49 to $691 in 2,564Lose money
$69 to $890 of 100Lose money
$89 to $1090 of 100Lose money
$109 to $1291 in 1,408Make money
$129 to $1493 of 100Make money
$149 to $1692 of 100Make money
$169 to $1892 of 100Make money
$189 to $2092 of 100Make money
$209 to $2292 of 100Make money
$229 to $2494 of 100Make money
$249 to $2692 of 100Make money
$269 to $2892 of 100Make money
$289 to $3091 in 503Make money
$309 to $3291 in 758Make money
$329 to $3491 in 585Make money
$349 to $3693 of 100Make money
$369 to $3891 in 136Make money
$389 to $4091 in 287Make money
$409 to $4291 in 353Make money
$429 to $4491 in 524Make money
$449 to $4692 of 100Make money
$469 to $4891 in 145Make money
$489 to $5091 in 298Make money
$509 to $5291 in 1,205Make money
$529 to $5491 in 787Make money
$549 to $5691 in 980Make money
$569 or more2 of 100Make money

Where the value comes from

The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.

Card typeHow many per boxAverage card after selling costsAdds to the box
Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)1.1 per box1.1 per box$83.76$88
Super Rare6.0 per box6.0 per box$0.88$5.27
Common / Uncommon176 per box176 per box$0.01$1.76
Rare8.9 per box8.9 per box$0.01$0.09
Total$95

Chance of a big pull

How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.

Show as a table
Card typeBoxes with at least oneOn averageBoxes for one specific card
Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)Star-marked alternate-art versions of the set's cards, about one per box.66 of 1001.1 per box26

If card prices fall

Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.

Card pricesCards inside, after costsCompared with the boxBoxes that lose moneyVerdict
Today's prices$95−$1470 of 100Keep it sealed
25% lower$71−$3772 of 100Keep it sealed
50% lower$47−$6281 of 100Keep it sealed
75% lower$24−$8594 of 100Keep it sealed

Pull rates we used

Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026. This box's own pull rates haven't been measured, so these come from boxes with the same pack layout, with extra uncertainty added.

Card typeHow oftenLikely rangeBased on
Common slots, 11 per pack
Common / Uncommon176 per boxPack layout
Rare-or-better slots, 1 per pack
Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)1.1 per box1 in 2.2 boxes to 2.4 per boxEstimate, TCGTalk, Inuyasha (UE23BT) Union Arena guide: pull rates from 3 English boxes (48 packs)
Super Rare6.0 per box3.6 to 10.0 per boxEstimate, TCGTalk, Inuyasha (UE23BT) Union Arena guide: pull rates from 3 English boxes (48 packs)
Rare8.9 per boxThe rest of the slot

Most valuable cards

The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.

CardCard typeTCGplayer priceAfter selling costs
Yuna (032) (SR**)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$521.02$452.99
Asuna (042) (SR**)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$403.57$350.81
Kirito (002) (SR**)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$300.06$260.75
Mito (054) (SR**)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$257.09$223.37
Kirito (049) (SR**)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$256.17$222.57
Leafa (Earth Goddess, Terraria) (SR**)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$225.51$195.89
Yuuki (069) (SR**)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$198.56$172.45
Yui (022) (SR**)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$163.76$142.17
Argo (044) (SR**)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$146.01$126.73
Sinon (073) (R*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$18.42$15.73
Asuna (033) (R*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$18.21$15.54
Yuna (031) (R*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$15.26$12.98
Mito (053) (R*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$14.51$12.32
Yuna (030) (U*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$13.34$11.31
Sinon (066) (U*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$9.21$7.71
Argo (043) (U*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$7.99$6.65
Asuna (014) (U*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$7.84$6.52
Yuuki (068) (U*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$7.46$6.19
Asuna (063) (R*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$5.34$4.35
Yuna (032)Super Rare$4.64$3.74
Leafa (024) (R*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$4.17$3.33
Kirito & Eugeo (C*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$3.86$3.06
Alice Synthesis Thirty (U*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$2.75$2.09
Mito (054)Super Rare$2.49$1.87
Lisbeth (020) (R*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$2.19$1.61
Administrator (U*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$2.05$1.48
Argo (044)Super Rare$1.76$1.23
Kirito (048) (U*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$1.71$1.19
Kirito (064) (U*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$1.60$1.09
Asuna (042)Super Rare$1.50$1.01

How we work this out

We price every card at its TCGplayer market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.

Read the full method