€91todayIs a Chaos Origins booster display worth opening?
Cardmarket today
€91.49
- Lowest listing
- €74
- Per pack
- €3.81
Rip it€127 of cards inside, after selling costs
Estimated contents: nobody has published measured pull rates for this box yet, so we use those of boxes with the same pack layout. Treat the numbers as a rough guide.
Why we'd rip it
The cards inside are worth €127 after selling costs. The box costs €91.
Most boxes come out ahead: only 43 of 100 boxes lose money.
Pull rates are still uncertain. The real value could be anywhere from €86 to €219. That's enough to change the verdict.
If you opened 100 boxes
- 57 make money
- 43 lose money
A typical box is worth €103. 1 in 10 boxes is worth €241 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth €41 or less.
The math, per box
From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.
Per box of 24 packs
- Box price on Cardmarket
- €91
- Cards inside, at market prices
- €156
- Selling costs and bulk
- −€28
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- €127
- Compared with the box price
- +€36
From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, €0.25 per card sold, cards under €1.00 go to bulk at €0.01.
- Cards inside, at market prices
- The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
- Selling costs and bulk
- Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
- Compared with the box price
- Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.
What the box costs
Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.
- Cardmarket today
- €91.49€3.81 per pack
- Lowest listing
- €74
- Box price on Cardmarket
- Cards inside, after selling costs
Show as a table
| Day | Box price | Cards inside, after costs |
|---|---|---|
| 15 October 2026 | €91.49 | €127.38 |
| 14 October 2026 | €89.96 | €127.43 |
What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth
Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.
Show as a table
| Box value | Boxes out of 100 | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Under €31 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| €31 to €51 | 11 of 100 | Lose money |
| €51 to €71 | 13 of 100 | Lose money |
| €71 to €91 | 14 of 100 | Lose money |
| €91 to €111 | 12 of 100 | Make money |
| €111 to €131 | 10 of 100 | Make money |
| €131 to €151 | 8 of 100 | Make money |
| €151 to €171 | 6 of 100 | Make money |
| €171 to €191 | 4 of 100 | Make money |
| €191 to €211 | 3 of 100 | Make money |
| €211 to €231 | 2 of 100 | Make money |
| €231 to €251 | 2 of 100 | Make money |
| €251 to €271 | 1 in 74 | Make money |
| €271 to €291 | 1 in 90 | Make money |
| €291 to €311 | 1 in 121 | Make money |
| €311 to €331 | 1 in 164 | Make money |
| €331 to €351 | 1 in 196 | Make money |
| €351 to €371 | 1 in 157 | Make money |
| €371 to €391 | 1 in 139 | Make money |
| €391 to €411 | 1 in 141 | Make money |
| €411 to €431 | 1 in 159 | Make money |
| €431 to €451 | 1 in 197 | Make money |
| €451 or more | 2 of 100 | Make money |
Where the value comes from
The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.
| Card type | How many per box | Average card after selling costs | Adds to the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starlight Rare1.0 per box | 1.0 per box | €52.30 | |
| Secret Rare2.0 per box | 2.0 per box | €25.64 | |
| Ultra Rare4.0 per box | 4.0 per box | €3.65 | |
| Super Rare17 per box | 17 per box | €0.43 | |
| Common192 per box | 192 per box | €0.01 | |
| Total | €127 |
Chance of a big pull
How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.
- Starlight Rare 64of 100 boxes Fully etched rainbow-foil version of selected cards, the top pull of modern sets. 1.0 per box€52 each
Show as a table
| Card type | Boxes with at least one | On average | Boxes for one specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starlight RareFully etched rainbow-foil version of selected cards, the top pull of modern sets. | 64 of 100 | 1.0 per box | 25 |
If card prices fall
Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.
| Card prices | Cards inside, after costs | Compared with the box | Boxes that lose money | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today's prices | €127 | +€36 | 43 of 100 | Rip it |
| 25% lower | €95 | +€4 | 61 of 100 | Toss-up |
| 50% lower | €63 | −€28 | 83 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 75% lower | €31 | −€61 | 96 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
Pull rates we used
Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026. This box's own pull rates haven't been measured, so these come from boxes with the same pack layout, with extra uncertainty added.
| Card type | How often | Likely range | Based on |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common slots, 8 per pack | |||
| Common | 192 per box | Pack layout | |
| Foil slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Starlight Rare | 1.0 per box | 1 in 2.4 boxes to 2.4 per box | Estimate |
| Ultra Rare | 4.0 per box | 2.0 to 7.9 per box | Estimate |
| Secret Rare | 2.0 per box | 1.0 to 4.0 per box | Estimate |
| Super Rare | 17 per box | The rest of the slot | |
Most valuable cards
The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.
| Card | Card type | Cardmarket price | After selling costs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Magician of Dark Chaos - Black Chaos | Starlight Rare | €349.32 | €331.60 |
| Black Luster Soldier - Soldier of Light and Darkness | Starlight Rare | €215.95 | €204.90 |
| Phara the Primordial Goddess | Starlight Rare | €121.47 | €115.15 |
| Pot of Sloth | Starlight Rare | €102.08 | €96.73 |
| The Chaotic Phantasmal Sacred Beasts | Starlight Rare | €94.28 | €89.32 |
| Black Chaos | Starlight Rare | €84.82 | €80.33 |
| Magician of Dark Chaos - Black Chaos | Secret Rare | €56.45 | €53.38 |
| Pot of Sloth | Secret Rare | €55.37 | €52.35 |
| Black Chaos | Secret Rare | €43.87 | €41.43 |
| Skull Archfiend of Chaos | Starlight Rare | €34.10 | €32.15 |
| Black Luster Soldier - Soldier of Light and Darkness | Secret Rare | €31.46 | €29.64 |
| Hyperinvoked Aeon | Starlight Rare | €29.81 | €28.07 |
| Aleister the Reminiscent | Starlight Rare | €29.61 | €27.88 |
| Calamity of the Sacred Beasts - Hamon, Lord of Striking Thunder | Starlight Rare | €28.57 | €26.89 |
| Infinity of the Sacred Beasts - Raviel, Lord of Phantasms | Starlight Rare | €26.68 | €25.10 |
| Zenna's Deceiving Doll Maidens | Starlight Rare | €26.19 | €24.63 |
| Elfnote June Pride | Starlight Rare | €26.04 | €24.49 |
| The Chaotic Phantasmal Sacred Beasts | Secret Rare | €25.04 | €23.54 |
| Phara the Primordial Goddess | Secret Rare | €24.22 | €22.76 |
| Surge Blitzclique | Starlight Rare | €23.08 | €21.68 |
| Celtic Mystic | Starlight Rare | €22.01 | €20.66 |
| Inferno of the Sacred Beasts - Uria, Lord of Searing Flames | Starlight Rare | €20.86 | €19.57 |
| Invocation - "Sword" | Starlight Rare | €20.79 | €19.50 |
| Crackle Blitzclique | Starlight Rare | €20.33 | €19.06 |
| Hideout in the Sky, Coulomb | Starlight Rare | €20.11 | €18.85 |
| Whisker Blitzclique | Starlight Rare | €18.80 | €17.61 |
| Angelechy Opening to e4 | Ultra Rare | €18.37 | €17.20 |
| Griffoh | Starlight Rare | €18.30 | €17.14 |
| Witness of the Ancient | Starlight Rare | €14.79 | €13.80 |
| The Phantom Knights of Decayed Cloak | Starlight Rare | €14.49 | €13.52 |
How we work this out
We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.
