Yu-Gi-Oh! Hidden Arsenal: Chapter 1 box$7€6today

Is a Hidden Arsenal: Chapter 1 box worth opening?

Yu-Gi-Oh!. 2 packs of 18 cards. Released March 10, 2022. Prices from October 15, 2026.

Market price today

$6.97€6.22

Lowest listing
$4.93€4.40
Per pack
$3.49€3.11

Keep it sealed$5€4 of cards inside, after selling costs

See the mathPrice history

Why we'd keep it sealed

The cards inside are worth $5€4 after selling costs. The box costs $7€6.

On average you lose $2€2 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.

Pull rates for this set are well documented.

If you opened 100 boxes

  • 30 make money
  • 70 lose money

A typical box is worth $3€3. 1 in 10 boxes is worth $11€10 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth $0€0 or less.

Hidden Arsenal: Chapter 1 EV: the math, per box

From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.

Per box of 2 packs

Box price today
$7€6
Cards inside, at market prices
$15€13
Selling costs and bulk
−$10−€9
Cards inside, after selling costs
$5€4
Compared with the box price
−$2−€2

From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, $0.28€0.25 per card sold, cards under $1.12€1.00 go to bulk at $0.01€0.01.

Cards inside, at market prices
The average value of everything in a box, with each card at today's market price.
Selling costs and bulk
Marketplace fees and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
Cards inside, after selling costs
What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
Compared with the box price
Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.

What the box costs

Today's market price, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.

Market price today
$6.97€6.22$3.49€3.11 per pack
Lowest listing
$4.93€4.40

The price history starts on the day live prices switch on, and grows by one point a day.

What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth

Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.

Value of 100,000 simulated boxes70 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of $7.Box price $7€6Lose moneyMake money05101520$5$10$15$17+€5€10€15Boxes out of 100$0 to $1: 15 of 100 boxes$1 to $1: 11 of 100 boxes$1 to $2: 5 of 100 boxes$2 to $2: 11 of 100 boxes$2 to $3: 2 of 100 boxes$3 to $4: 9 of 100 boxes$4 to $4: 5 of 100 boxes$4 to $5: 2 of 100 boxes$5 to $5: 4 of 100 boxes$5 to $6: 1 in 108 boxes$6 to $6: 2 of 100 boxes$6 to $7: 4 of 100 boxes$7 to $8: 1 in 97 boxes$8 to $8: 4 of 100 boxes$8 to $9: 7 of 100 boxes$9 to $9: 1 in 162 boxes$9 to $10: 5 of 100 boxes$10 to $10: 1 in 131 boxes$10 to $11: 2 of 100 boxes$11 to $11: 1 in 86 boxes$11 to $12: 2 of 100 boxes$12 to $13: 1 in 77 boxes$13 to $13: 1 in 120 boxes$13 to $14: 1 in 185 boxes$14 to $14: 1 in 156 boxes$14 to $15: 1 in 210 boxes$15 to $15: 1 in 91 boxes$15 to $16: 1 in 137 boxes$16 to $16: 1 in 321 boxes$16 to $17: 1 in 210 boxes$17 or more: 2 of 100 boxesValue of 100,000 simulated boxes70 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of $7.Box price $7€6Lose moneyMake money05101520$5$10$15€5€10€15Boxes out of 100$0 to $1: 15 of 100 boxes$1 to $1: 11 of 100 boxes$1 to $2: 5 of 100 boxes$2 to $2: 11 of 100 boxes$2 to $3: 2 of 100 boxes$3 to $4: 9 of 100 boxes$4 to $4: 5 of 100 boxes$4 to $5: 2 of 100 boxes$5 to $5: 4 of 100 boxes$5 to $6: 1 in 108 boxes$6 to $6: 2 of 100 boxes$6 to $7: 4 of 100 boxes$7 to $8: 1 in 97 boxes$8 to $8: 4 of 100 boxes$8 to $9: 7 of 100 boxes$9 to $9: 1 in 162 boxes$9 to $10: 5 of 100 boxes$10 to $10: 1 in 131 boxes$10 to $11: 2 of 100 boxes$11 to $11: 1 in 86 boxes$11 to $12: 2 of 100 boxes$12 to $13: 1 in 77 boxes$13 to $13: 1 in 120 boxes$13 to $14: 1 in 185 boxes$14 to $14: 1 in 156 boxes$14 to $15: 1 in 210 boxes$15 to $15: 1 in 91 boxes$15 to $16: 1 in 137 boxes$16 to $16: 1 in 321 boxes$16 to $17: 1 in 210 boxes$17 or more: 2 of 100 boxes
Each bar covers $1€1 of box value. Bars right of the line are boxes worth at least what you paid.
Show as a table
Box valueBoxes out of 100Result
$0€0 to $1€115 of 100Lose money
$1€1 to $1€111 of 100Lose money
$1€1 to $2€25 of 100Lose money
$2€2 to $2€211 of 100Lose money
$2€2 to $3€32 of 100Lose money
$3€3 to $4€39 of 100Lose money
$4€3 to $4€45 of 100Lose money
$4€4 to $5€42 of 100Lose money
$5€4 to $5€54 of 100Lose money
$5€5 to $6€51 in 108Lose money
$6€5 to $6€62 of 100Lose money
$6€6 to $7€64 of 100Lose money
$7€6 to $8€71 in 97Make money
$8€7 to $8€74 of 100Make money
$8€7 to $9€87 of 100Make money
$9€8 to $9€81 in 162Make money
$9€8 to $10€95 of 100Make money
$10€9 to $10€91 in 131Make money
$10€9 to $11€102 of 100Make money
$11€10 to $11€101 in 86Make money
$11€10 to $12€112 of 100Make money
$12€11 to $13€111 in 77Make money
$13€11 to $13€121 in 120Make money
$13€12 to $14€121 in 185Make money
$14€12 to $14€131 in 156Make money
$14€13 to $15€131 in 210Make money
$15€13 to $15€141 in 91Make money
$15€14 to $16€141 in 137Make money
$16€14 to $16€151 in 321Make money
$16€15 to $17€151 in 210Make money
$17€15 or more2 of 100Make money

Where the value comes from

The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.

Card typeHow many per boxAverage card after selling costsAdds to the box
Common28 per box28 per box$0.08€0.07$2.10€1.88
Secret Rare1.0 per box1.0 per box$1.57€1.40$1.57€1.40
Duel Terminal Ultra Rare6.0 per box6.0 per box$0.13€0.11$0.75€0.67
Duel Terminal Common2.0 per box2.0 per box$0.31€0.27$0.61€0.55
Total$5€4

Chance of a big pull

How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.

Show as a table
Card typeBoxes with at least oneOn averageBoxes for one specific card

If card prices fall

Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.

Card pricesCards inside, after costsCompared with the boxBoxes that lose moneyVerdict
Today's prices$5€4−$2−€270 of 100Keep it sealed
25% lower$3€3−$4−€387 of 100Keep it sealed
50% lower$2€2−$5−€496 of 100Keep it sealed
75% lower$1€1−$6−€5100 of 100Keep it sealed

Hidden Arsenal: Chapter 1 pull rates

Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on October 15, 2026.

Card typeHow oftenLikely rangeBased on
Common slots, 14 per pack
Common28 per boxPack layout
Other card slots, 1 per pack
Duel Terminal Common2.0 per boxPack layout
Ultra Rare slot, 3 per pack
Duel Terminal Ultra Rare6.0 per boxPack layout
Bonus cards outside the packs, 1 per box
Secret Rare1.0 per boxPack layout

Most valuable Hidden Arsenal: Chapter 1 cards

The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.

CardCard typeMarket priceAfter selling costs
Armory ArmSecret Rare$8.98€8.01$8.25€7.36
Flamvell UruquizasDuel Terminal Common$7.76€6.92$7.09€6.32
Flamvell UruquizasCommon$6.95€6.20$6.32€5.64
Naturia RosewhipDuel Terminal Common$6.76€6.03$6.14€5.48
Ally of Justice Cycle ReaderDuel Terminal Common$4.93€4.40$4.40€3.93
WabokuDuel Terminal Common$3.71€3.31$3.24€2.89
Ally of Justice CatastorDuel Terminal Common$3.47€3.10$3.02€2.70
Mist WurmDuel Terminal Ultra Rare$3.31€2.95$2.86€2.55
Goyo GuardianDuel Terminal Common$3.06€2.73$2.63€2.34
Dust TornadoDuel Terminal Common$2.44€2.18$2.04€1.82
Power Tool DragonSecret Rare$2.23€1.99$1.84€1.64
Red-Eyes Darkness Metal DragonDuel Terminal Common$2.20€1.96$1.81€1.61
Naturia SunflowerDuel Terminal Common$2.13€1.90$1.74€1.56
Swallow's NestDuel Terminal Common$2.12€1.89$1.73€1.55
Dragunity Knight - Gae DeargDuel Terminal Common$1.88€1.68$1.51€1.35
Fabled LurrieDuel Terminal Common$1.52€1.36$1.17€1.04
The Fabled UnicoreDuel Terminal Common$1.52€1.36$1.17€1.04
The Fabled CerburrelDuel Terminal Common$1.46€1.30$1.10€0.99
KuribohDuel Terminal Common$1.41€1.26$1.06€0.95
Goyo GuardianCommon$1.36€1.21$1.01€0.90
Swallow's NestCommon$1.24€1.11$0.90€0.80
Dragunity Knight - TridentDuel Terminal Common$1.23€1.10$0.89€0.80
Deep Sea RepetiteurSecret Rare$1.19€1.06$0.85€0.76
Ally of Justice CatastorCommon$1.17€1.04$0.83€0.74
Fabled ValkyrusDuel Terminal Common$1.09€0.97$0.01€0.01
Brionac, Dragon of the Ice BarrierDuel Terminal Ultra Rare$1.09€0.97$0.01€0.01
Formula SynchronSecret Rare$1.06€0.95$0.01€0.01
Naturia ExterioCommon$1.04€0.93$0.01€0.01
Naturia RosewhipCommon$0.98€0.87$0.01€0.01
Ally of Justice QuarantineDuel Terminal Common$0.98€0.87$0.01€0.01

How we work this out

We price every card at its market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.

Read the full method

More Yu-Gi-Oh! boxes

All Yu-Gi-Oh! boxes