€28todayIs a Lightning Overdrive booster display worth opening?
Cardmarket today
€27.82
- Lowest listing
- €25
- Per pack
- €1.16
Keep it sealed€12 of cards inside, after selling costs
Estimated contents: nobody has published measured pull rates for this box yet, so we use those of boxes with the same pack layout. Treat the numbers as a rough guide.
Why we'd keep it sealed
The cards inside are worth €12 after selling costs. The box costs €28.
On average you lose €16 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.
Pull rates are still uncertain. The real value could be anywhere from €9 to €19.
If you opened 100 boxes
- 5 make money
- 95 lose money
A typical box is worth €8. 1 in 10 boxes is worth €17 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth €4 or less.
The math, per box
From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.
Per box of 24 packs
- Box price on Cardmarket
- €28
- Cards inside, at market prices
- €28
- Selling costs and bulk
- −€16
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- €12
- Compared with the box price
- −€16
From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, €0.25 per card sold, cards under €1.00 go to bulk at €0.01.
- Cards inside, at market prices
- The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
- Selling costs and bulk
- Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
- Compared with the box price
- Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.
What the box costs
Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.
- Cardmarket today
- €27.82€1.16 per pack
- Lowest listing
- €25
- Box price on Cardmarket
- Cards inside, after selling costs
Show as a table
| Day | Box price | Cards inside, after costs |
|---|---|---|
| 15 October 2026 | €27.82 | €12.02 |
| 14 October 2026 | €28.57 | €12.10 |
What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth
Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.
Show as a table
| Box value | Boxes out of 100 | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Under €8 | 51 of 100 | Lose money |
| €8 to €13 | 29 of 100 | Lose money |
| €13 to €18 | 10 of 100 | Lose money |
| €18 to €23 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| €23 to €28 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| €28 to €33 | 1 in 159 | Make money |
| €33 to €38 | 1 in 422 | Make money |
| €38 to €43 | 1 in 2,326 | Make money |
| €43 to €48 | 1 in 9,091 | Make money |
| €48 to €53 | 1 in 360 | Make money |
| €53 to €58 | 1 in 90 | Make money |
| €58 to €63 | 1 in 214 | Make money |
| €63 to €68 | 1 in 680 | Make money |
| €68 to €73 | 1 in 2,778 | Make money |
| €73 to €78 | 1 in 4,167 | Make money |
| €78 to €83 | 1 in 14,286 | Make money |
| €83 to €88 | 1 in 33,333 | Make money |
| €88 to €93 | 1 in 100,000 | Make money |
| €93 to €98 | 0 of 100 | Make money |
| €98 to €103 | 1 in 14,286 | Make money |
| €103 to €108 | 1 in 7,143 | Make money |
| €108 to €113 | 1 in 50,000 | Make money |
| €113 or more | 2 of 100 | Make money |
Where the value comes from
The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.
| Card type | How many per box | Average card after selling costs | Adds to the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starlight Rare1 in 12 boxes | 1 in 12 boxes | €47.71 | |
| Secret Rare2.0 per box | 2.0 per box | €1.63 | |
| Common192 per box | 192 per box | €0.01 | |
| Super Rare18 per box | 18 per box | €0.09 | |
| Ultra Rare4.0 per box | 4.0 per box | €0.30 | |
| Total | €12 |
Chance of a big pull
How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.
- Starlight Rare 8of 100 boxes Fully etched rainbow-foil version of selected cards, the top pull of modern sets. 1 in 12 boxes€48 each
Show as a table
| Card type | Boxes with at least one | On average | Boxes for one specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starlight RareFully etched rainbow-foil version of selected cards, the top pull of modern sets. | 8 of 100 | 1 in 12 boxes | 48 |
If card prices fall
Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.
| Card prices | Cards inside, after costs | Compared with the box | Boxes that lose money | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today's prices | €12 | −€16 | 95 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 25% lower | €9 | −€19 | 95 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 50% lower | €6 | −€22 | 97 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 75% lower | €3 | −€24 | 98 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
Pull rates we used
Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026. This box's own pull rates haven't been measured, so these come from boxes with the same pack layout, with extra uncertainty added.
| Card type | How often | Likely range | Based on |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common slots, 8 per pack | |||
| Common | 192 per box | Pack layout | |
| Foil slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Starlight Rare | 1 in 12 boxes | 1 in 4.4 to 33 boxes | Estimate |
| Ultra Rare | 4.0 per box | 2.0 to 7.9 per box | Estimate |
| Secret Rare | 2.0 per box | 1.0 to 4.0 per box | Estimate |
| Super Rare | 18 per box | The rest of the slot | |
Most valuable cards
The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.
| Card | Card type | Cardmarket price | After selling costs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Black Rose Dragon | Starlight Rare | €118.37 | €112.20 |
| Lyna the Light Charmer, Lustrous | Starlight Rare | €51.56 | €48.73 |
| Book of Lunar Eclipse | Starlight Rare | €21.40 | €20.08 |
| Bahalutiya, the Grand Radiance | Starlight Rare | €10.61 | €9.83 |
| Benghalancer the Resurgent | Secret Rare | €7.37 | €6.75 |
| Amazement Administrator Arlekino | Secret Rare | €2.61 | €2.23 |
| Springans Merrymaker | Super Rare | €2.55 | €2.17 |
| Ruddy Rose Dragon | Secret Rare | €2.25 | €1.89 |
| Diviner of the Herald | Secret Rare | €2.15 | €1.79 |
| Book of Lunar Eclipse | Secret Rare | €1.95 | €1.60 |
| Amazing Time Ticket | Secret Rare | €1.64 | €1.31 |
| Rilliona, the Wondrous Magistus Witch Wardrobe | Ultra Rare | €1.60 | €1.27 |
| Albion the Branded Dragon | Ultra Rare | €1.33 | €1.01 |
| Amaze Attraction Horror House | Ultra Rare | €1.04 | €0.74 |
| S-Force Chase | Ultra Rare | €1.04 | €0.74 |
| Bahalutiya, the Grand Radiance | Secret Rare | €1.04 | €0.74 |
| War Rock Meteoragon | Secret Rare | €0.90 | €0.01 |
| Ultimate Dragonic Utopia Ray | Ultra Rare | €0.86 | €0.01 |
| ZS - Ascended Sage | Ultra Rare | €0.73 | €0.01 |
| Dark Honest | Secret Rare | €0.72 | €0.01 |
| Amazement Attendant Comica | Ultra Rare | €0.67 | €0.01 |
| Amaze Attraction Cyclo-Coaster | Ultra Rare | €0.66 | €0.01 |
| Traptrix Cularia | Ultra Rare | €0.62 | €0.01 |
| War Rock Dignity | Ultra Rare | €0.58 | €0.01 |
| Drytron Mu Beta Fafnir | Secret Rare | €0.52 | €0.01 |
| Traptrix Vesiculo | Ultra Rare | €0.46 | €0.01 |
| White Knight of Dogmatika | Ultra Rare | €0.44 | €0.01 |
| Mysterion the Dragon Crown | Ultra Rare | €0.38 | €0.01 |
| Dogmatikalamity | Common | €0.32 | €0.01 |
| Garden Rose Flora | Super Rare | €0.27 | €0.01 |
How we work this out
We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.