$199€177todayIs a Coldsnap bundle worth opening?
Market price today
$198.50€177.11
- Lowest listing
- $162.52€145
- Per pack
- $33.08€29.52
Keep it sealed$31€28 of cards inside, after selling costs
Estimated contents: nobody has published measured pull rates for this box yet, so we use those of boxes with the same pack layout. Treat the numbers as a rough guide.
Why we'd keep it sealed
The cards inside are worth $31€28 after selling costs. The box costs $199€177.
On average you lose $167€149 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.
These pull rates are estimates, but the box's value hardly depends on them: it's likely between $30€27 and $33€30.
If you opened 100 boxes
- 0 make money
- 100 lose money
A typical box is worth $28€25. 1 in 10 boxes is worth $48€42 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth $15€14 or less.
Coldsnap EV: the math, per box
From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.
Per box of 6 packs
- Box price today
- $199€177
- Cards inside, at market prices
- $53€47
- Selling costs and bulk
- −$22−€19
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- $31€28
- Compared with the box price
- −$167−€149
From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, $0.28€0.25 per card sold, cards under $1.12€1.00 go to bulk at $0.01€0.01.
- Cards inside, at market prices
- The average value of everything in a box, with each card at today's market price.
- Selling costs and bulk
- Marketplace fees and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
- Compared with the box price
- Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.
What the box costs
Today's market price, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.
- Market price today
- $198.50€177.11$33.08€29.52 per pack
- Lowest listing
- $162.52€145
The price history starts on the day live prices switch on, and grows by one point a day.
What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth
Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.
Show as a table
| Box value | Boxes out of 100 | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Under $8€7 | 1 in 114 | Lose money |
| $8€7 to $14€12 | 6 of 100 | Lose money |
| $14€12 to $19€17 | 14 of 100 | Lose money |
| $19€17 to $25€22 | 19 of 100 | Lose money |
| $25€22 to $30€27 | 19 of 100 | Lose money |
| $30€27 to $36€32 | 15 of 100 | Lose money |
| $36€32 to $42€37 | 10 of 100 | Lose money |
| $42€37 to $47€42 | 6 of 100 | Lose money |
| $47€42 to $53€47 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| $53€47 to $58€52 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $58€52 to $64€57 | 1 in 95 | Lose money |
| $64€57 to $70€62 | 1 in 134 | Lose money |
| $70€62 to $75€67 | 1 in 143 | Lose money |
| $75€67 to $81€72 | 1 in 186 | Lose money |
| $81€72 to $86€77 | 1 in 218 | Lose money |
| $86€77 to $92€82 | 1 in 297 | Lose money |
| $92€82 to $98€87 | 1 in 341 | Lose money |
| $98€87 to $103€92 | 1 in 446 | Lose money |
| $103€92 to $109€97 | 1 in 575 | Lose money |
| $109€97 to $114€102 | 1 in 769 | Lose money |
| $114€102 to $120€107 | 1 in 1,163 | Lose money |
| $120€107 to $126€112 | 1 in 2,439 | Lose money |
| $126€112 to $131€117 | 1 in 3,226 | Lose money |
| $131€117 to $137€122 | 1 in 4,545 | Lose money |
| $137€122 to $142€127 | 1 in 3,704 | Lose money |
| $142€127 to $148€132 | 1 in 2,703 | Lose money |
| $148€132 to $154€137 | 1 in 2,632 | Lose money |
| $154€137 to $159€142 | 1 in 2,439 | Lose money |
| $159€142 to $165€147 | 1 in 3,704 | Lose money |
| $165€147 to $170€152 | 1 in 5,000 | Lose money |
| $170€152 to $176€157 | 1 in 8,333 | Lose money |
| $176€157 to $182€162 | 1 in 12,500 | Lose money |
| $182€162 to $187€167 | 1 in 11,111 | Lose money |
| $187€167 to $193€172 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $193€172 to $199€177 | 1 in 50,000 | Lose money |
| $199€177 to $204€182 | 1 in 100,000 | Make money |
| $204€182 to $210€187 | 1 in 50,000 | Make money |
| $210€187 or more | 1 in 11,111 | Make money |
Where the value comes from
The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.
| Card type | How many per box | Average card after selling costs | Adds to the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare5.9 per box | 5.9 per box | $2.01€1.80 | |
| Common65 per box | 65 per box | $0.15€0.14 | |
| Uncommon18 per box | 18 per box | $0.25€0.22 | |
| Foil common1 in 1.1 boxes | 1 in 1.1 boxes | $2.86€2.55 | |
| Foil rare1 in 12 boxes | 1 in 12 boxes | $15.31€13.66 | |
| Foil uncommon1 in 3.9 boxes | 1 in 3.9 boxes | $3.47€3.10 | |
| Total | $31€28 |
Chance of a big pull
How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.
- Foil rare 8of 100 boxes 1 in 12 boxes$15€14 each
Show as a table
| Card type | Boxes with at least one | On average | Boxes for one specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Foil rare | 8 of 100 | 1 in 12 boxes | 467 |
If card prices fall
Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.
| Card prices | Cards inside, after costs | Compared with the box | Boxes that lose money | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today's prices | $31€28 | −$167−€149 | more than 99 of 100 boxes | Keep it sealed |
| 25% lower | $22€19 | −$177−€158 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 50% lower | $14€12 | −$185−€165 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 75% lower | $4€3 | −$195−€174 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
Coldsnap pull rates
Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on October 14, 2026. This box's own pull rates haven't been measured, so these come from boxes with the same pack layout, with extra uncertainty added.
| Card type | How often | Likely range | Based on |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common slots, 11 per pack | |||
| Foil common | 1 in 1.1 boxes | 1 in 1.9 boxes to 1.7 per box | Estimate, Wikipedia: List of Magic: The Gathering sets (premium card rate 1 in 100 cards from Urza's Legacy, 1 in 70 from Torment, 1 in 56 from Tenth Edition; release dates) |
| Common | 65 per box | The rest of the slot | |
| Uncommon slots, 3 per pack | |||
| Foil uncommon | 1 in 3.9 boxes | 1 in 2.2 to 7.0 boxes | Estimate, Wikipedia: List of Magic: The Gathering sets (premium card rate 1 in 100 cards from Urza's Legacy, 1 in 70 from Torment, 1 in 56 from Tenth Edition; release dates) |
| Uncommon | 18 per box | The rest of the slot | |
| Rare slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Foil rare | 1 in 12 boxes | 1 in 6.5 to 21 boxes | Estimate, Wikipedia: List of Magic: The Gathering sets (premium card rate 1 in 100 cards from Urza's Legacy, 1 in 70 from Torment, 1 in 56 from Tenth Edition; release dates) |
| Rare | 5.9 per box | The rest of the slot | |
Most valuable Coldsnap cards
The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.
| Card | Card type | Market price | After selling costs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commandeer (foil) | Foil rare | $135.53€120.92 | $128.47€114.62 |
| Dark Depths (foil) | Foil rare | $91.31€81.47 | $86.47€77.15 |
| Counterbalance (foil) | Foil uncommon | $77.06€68.75 | $72.92€65.06 |
| Soul Spike (foil) | Foil rare | $66.54€59.37 | $62.93€56.15 |
| Rite of Flame (foil) | Foil common | $56.62€50.52 | $53.51€47.74 |
| Mishra's Bauble (foil) | Foil uncommon | $44.50€39.70 | $41.99€37.47 |
| Skred (foil) | Foil common | $37.04€33.05 | $34.91€31.15 |
| Thrumming Stone (foil) | Foil rare | $35.66€31.82 | $33.60€29.98 |
| Arcum Dagsson (foil) | Foil rare | $25.03€22.33 | $23.50€20.96 |
| Zur the Enchanter (foil) | Foil rare | $22.70€20.25 | $21.28€18.99 |
| Phyrexian Soulgorger (foil) | Foil rare | $22.10€19.72 | $20.72€18.48 |
| Scrying Sheets (foil) | Foil rare | $20.95€18.69 | $19.62€17.51 |
| Braid of Fire (foil) | Foil rare | $20.91€18.66 | $19.59€17.48 |
| Fury of the Horde (foil) | Foil rare | $19.79€17.66 | $18.52€16.53 |
| Boreal Druid (foil) | Foil common | $16.21€14.46 | $15.12€13.49 |
| Rimescale Dragon (foil) | Foil rare | $15.99€14.27 | $14.91€13.31 |
| Rimefeather Owl (foil) | Foil rare | $14.79€13.20 | $13.77€12.29 |
| Darien, King of Kjeldor (foil) | Foil rare | $14.72€13.13 | $13.70€12.22 |
| Soul Spike | Rare | $13.89€12.39 | $12.91€11.52 |
| Braid of Fire | Rare | $13.51€12.05 | $12.55€11.20 |
| Into the North (foil) | Foil common | $13.45€12.00 | $12.50€11.15 |
| Haakon, Stromgald Scourge (foil) | Foil rare | $13.36€11.92 | $12.41€11.07 |
| Snow-Covered Island (foil) | Foil common | $12.31€10.98 | $11.41€10.18 |
| Thrumming Stone | Rare | $12.13€10.82 | $11.24€10.03 |
| Sunscour (foil) | Foil rare | $10.69€9.54 | $9.88€8.81 |
| Tamanoa (foil) | Foil rare | $10.29€9.18 | $9.49€8.47 |
| Adarkar Valkyrie (foil) | Foil rare | $10.17€9.07 | $9.38€8.37 |
| Thermopod (foil) | Foil common | $10.00€8.92 | $9.22€8.22 |
| Allosaurus Rider (foil) | Foil rare | $9.38€8.37 | $8.63€7.70 |
| Lovisa Coldeyes (foil) | Foil rare | $8.78€7.83 | $8.06€7.19 |
How we work this out
We price every card at its market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.
More Magic boxes
- Magic Time SpiralDraft Boosters Keep it sealed $122€109 of cards for a $480€428 box More than 99 of 100 boxes lose money
- Magic Time SpiralBundle Keep it sealed $20€18 of cards for a $189€169 box More than 99 of 100 boxes lose money
- Magic ColdsnapDraft Boosters Keep it sealed $186€166 of cards for a $649€579 box 100 of 100 boxes lose money
- Magic DissensionDraft Boosters Keep it sealed $106€95 of cards for a $573€511 box 100 of 100 boxes lose money
- Magic DissensionBundle Keep it sealed $18€16 of cards for a $149€133 box More than 99 of 100 boxes lose money
- Magic GuildpactDraft Boosters Keep it sealed $42€38 of cards for a $556€496 box 100 of 100 boxes lose money
Compare: Time Spiral vs Coldsnap, Coldsnap vs Dissension, Draft Booster box vs bundle