€428todayIs a Commander Masters Draft Booster display worth opening?
Cardmarket today
€427.53
- Lowest listing
- €345
- Per pack
- €17.81
Keep it sealed€336 of cards inside, after selling costs
Why we'd keep it sealed
The cards inside are worth €336 after selling costs. The box costs €428.
On average you lose €92 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.
Pull rates for this set are well documented.
If you opened 100 boxes
- 12 make money
- 88 lose money
A typical box is worth €330. 1 in 10 boxes is worth €436 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth €243 or less.
The math, per box
From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.
Per box of 24 packs
- Box price on Cardmarket
- €428
- Cards inside, at market prices
- €448
- Selling costs and bulk
- −€112
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- €336
- Compared with the box price
- −€92
From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, €0.25 per card sold, cards under €1.00 go to bulk at €0.01.
- Cards inside, at market prices
- The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
- Selling costs and bulk
- Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
- Compared with the box price
- Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.
What the box costs
Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.
- Cardmarket today
- €427.53€17.81 per pack
- Lowest listing
- €345
- Box price on Cardmarket
- Cards inside, after selling costs
Show as a table
| Day | Box price | Cards inside, after costs |
|---|---|---|
| 15 October 2026 | €427.53 | €335.67 |
| 14 October 2026 | €427.53 | €335.76 |
What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth
Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.
Show as a table
| Box value | Boxes out of 100 | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Under €168 | 1 in 286 | Lose money |
| €168 to €178 | 1 in 300 | Lose money |
| €178 to €188 | 1 in 216 | Lose money |
| €188 to €198 | 1 in 134 | Lose money |
| €198 to €208 | 1 in 91 | Lose money |
| €208 to €218 | 1 in 70 | Lose money |
| €218 to €228 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| €228 to €238 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| €238 to €248 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| €248 to €258 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| €258 to €268 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| €268 to €278 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| €278 to €288 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| €288 to €298 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| €298 to €308 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| €308 to €318 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| €318 to €328 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| €328 to €338 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| €338 to €348 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| €348 to €358 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| €358 to €368 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| €368 to €378 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| €378 to €388 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| €388 to €398 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| €398 to €408 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| €408 to €418 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| €418 to €428 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| €428 to €438 | 2 of 100 | Make money |
| €438 to €448 | 2 of 100 | Make money |
| €448 to €458 | 2 of 100 | Make money |
| €458 to €468 | 1 in 81 | Make money |
| €468 to €478 | 1 in 101 | Make money |
| €478 to €488 | 1 in 121 | Make money |
| €488 to €498 | 1 in 158 | Make money |
| €498 to €508 | 1 in 192 | Make money |
| €508 to €518 | 1 in 218 | Make money |
| €518 or more | 2 of 100 | Make money |
Where the value comes from
The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.
| Card type | How many per box | Average card after selling costs | Adds to the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare50 per box | 50 per box | €3.16 | |
| Mythic rare6.5 per box | 6.5 per box | €15.33 | |
| Uncommon136 per box | 136 per box | €0.23 | |
| Common264 per box | 264 per box | €0.09 | |
| Foil rare2.4 per box | 2.4 per box | €4.38 | |
| Foil mythic rare1 in 2.1 boxes | 1 in 2.1 boxes | €19.54 | |
| Foil uncommon7.2 per box | 7.2 per box | €0.40 | |
| Foil common14 per box | 14 per box | €0.19 | |
| Total | €336 |
Chance of a big pull
How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.
- Mythic rare >99of 100 boxes 6.5 per box€15 each
- Foil rare 92of 100 boxes 2.4 per box€4.38 each
- Foil mythic rare 38of 100 boxes 1 in 2.1 boxes€20 each
Show as a table
| Card type | Boxes with at least one | On average | Boxes for one specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mythic rare | more than 99 of 100 boxes | 6.5 per box | 5.4 |
| Foil rare | 92 of 100 | 2.4 per box | 56 |
| Foil mythic rare | 38 of 100 | 1 in 2.1 boxes | 73 |
If card prices fall
Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.
| Card prices | Cards inside, after costs | Compared with the box | Boxes that lose money | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today's prices | €336 | −€92 | 88 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 25% lower | €241 | −€186 | more than 99 of 100 boxes | Keep it sealed |
| 50% lower | €150 | −€278 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 75% lower | €68 | −€360 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
Pull rates we used
Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026.
| Card type | How often | Likely range | Based on |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common slots, 11 per pack | |||
| Common | 264 per box | Pack layout | |
| Uncommon slots, 5 per pack | |||
| Uncommon | 120 per box | Pack layout | |
| Rare slot, 2 per pack | |||
| Mythic rare | 6.5 per box | 5.4 to 7.9 per box | Published estimate, Wizards of the Coast, "Set Boosters" (Making Magic, Mark Rosewater, 2020-07-25) |
| Rare | 42 per box | The rest of the slot | |
| Other card slots, 1 per pack | |||
| Rare | 8.0 per box | Official, Wizards of the Coast, Collecting Commander Masters | |
| Uncommon | 16 per box | The rest of the slot | |
| Foil slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Foil uncommon | 7.2 per box | 4.3 to 12 per box | Our assumption |
| Foil rare | 2.4 per box | 1.4 to 4.0 per box | Our assumption |
| Foil mythic rare | 1 in 2.1 boxes | 1 in 1.2 to 3.5 boxes | Our assumption |
| Foil common | 14 per box | The rest of the slot | |
Most valuable cards
The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.
| Card | Card type | Cardmarket price | After selling costs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deflecting Swat (foil) | Foil rare | €80.21 | €75.95 |
| Jeweled Lotus (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €72.51 | €68.63 |
| Deflecting Swat | Rare | €66.84 | €63.25 |
| Fierce Guardianship (foil) | Foil rare | €60.31 | €57.04 |
| The Great Henge (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €57.02 | €53.92 |
| Demonic Tutor (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €56.98 | €53.88 |
| The Great Henge | Mythic rare | €51.37 | €48.55 |
| Fierce Guardianship | Rare | €50.88 | €48.09 |
| Demonic Tutor | Mythic rare | €50.00 | €47.25 |
| Smothering Tithe (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €45.17 | €42.66 |
| The Ur-Dragon (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €41.09 | €38.79 |
| Smothering Tithe | Mythic rare | €40.66 | €38.38 |
| Jeweled Lotus | Mythic rare | €38.65 | €36.47 |
| Finale of Devastation (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €32.91 | €31.01 |
| The Ur-Dragon | Mythic rare | €32.02 | €30.17 |
| Avacyn, Angel of Hope (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €31.10 | €29.30 |
| Cyclonic Rift (foil) | Foil rare | €28.52 | €26.84 |
| Mikaeus, the Unhallowed (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €27.11 | €25.50 |
| Avacyn, Angel of Hope | Mythic rare | €26.71 | €25.12 |
| Deadly Rollick (foil) | Foil rare | €26.71 | €25.12 |
| Doubling Season (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €26.70 | €25.12 |
| Ulamog, the Ceaseless Hunger (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €26.68 | €25.10 |
| Finale of Devastation | Mythic rare | €26.59 | €25.01 |
| Flawless Maneuver (foil) | Foil rare | €26.35 | €24.78 |
| Purphoros, God of the Forge (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €26.30 | €24.74 |
| Grave Pact | Mythic rare | €25.13 | €23.62 |
| Cyclonic Rift | Rare | €25.08 | €23.58 |
| Grave Pact (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €24.91 | €23.41 |
| Purphoros, God of the Forge | Mythic rare | €24.41 | €22.94 |
| Deadly Rollick | Rare | €23.77 | €22.33 |
How we work this out
We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.
