$48€43todayIs a Ravnica Allegiance bundle worth opening?
Market price today
$48.28€43.08
- Lowest listing
- $42.59€38
- Per pack
- $4.83€4.31
Keep it sealed$23€20 of cards inside, after selling costs
Estimated contents: nobody has published measured pull rates for this box yet, so we use those of boxes with the same pack layout. Treat the numbers as a rough guide.
Why we'd keep it sealed
The cards inside are worth $23€20 after selling costs. The box costs $48€43.
On average you lose $26€23 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.
These pull rates are estimates, but the box's value hardly depends on them: it's likely between $22€19 and $24€21.
No prices yet for: Basic land. We count them as worth nothing.
If you opened 100 boxes
- 12 make money
- 88 lose money
A typical box is worth $17€15. 1 in 10 boxes is worth $52€46 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth $4€3 or less.
Ravnica Allegiance EV: the math, per box
From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.
Per box of 10 packs
- Box price today
- $48€43
- Cards inside, at market prices
- $42€37
- Selling costs and bulk
- −$19−€17
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- $23€20
- Compared with the box price
- −$26−€23
From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, $0.28€0.25 per card sold, cards under $1.12€1.00 go to bulk at $0.01€0.01.
- Cards inside, at market prices
- The average value of everything in a box, with each card at today's market price.
- Selling costs and bulk
- Marketplace fees and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
- Compared with the box price
- Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.
What the box costs
Today's market price, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.
- Market price today
- $48.28€43.08$4.83€4.31 per pack
- Lowest listing
- $42.59€38
The price history starts on the day live prices switch on, and grows by one point a day.
What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth
Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.
Show as a table
| Box value | Boxes out of 100 | Result |
|---|---|---|
| $1€1 to $3€3 | 9 of 100 | Lose money |
| $3€3 to $6€6 | 10 of 100 | Lose money |
| $6€6 to $9€8 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| $9€8 to $12€11 | 9 of 100 | Lose money |
| $12€11 to $15€13 | 10 of 100 | Lose money |
| $15€13 to $17€16 | 9 of 100 | Lose money |
| $17€16 to $20€18 | 7 of 100 | Lose money |
| $20€18 to $23€21 | 6 of 100 | Lose money |
| $23€21 to $26€23 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| $26€23 to $29€26 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| $29€26 to $31€28 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| $31€28 to $34€31 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $34€31 to $37€33 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $37€33 to $40€36 | 1 in 82 | Lose money |
| $40€36 to $43€38 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $43€38 to $45€41 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $45€41 to $48€43 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $48€43 to $51€46 | 2 of 100 | Make money |
| $51€46 to $54€48 | 2 of 100 | Make money |
| $54€48 to $57€51 | 2 of 100 | Make money |
| $57€51 to $59€53 | 1 in 74 | Make money |
| $59€53 to $62€56 | 1 in 90 | Make money |
| $62€56 to $65€58 | 1 in 109 | Make money |
| $65€58 to $68€61 | 1 in 143 | Make money |
| $68€61 to $71€63 | 1 in 203 | Make money |
| $71€63 to $74€66 | 1 in 244 | Make money |
| $74€66 to $76€68 | 1 in 383 | Make money |
| $76€68 to $79€71 | 1 in 488 | Make money |
| $79€71 or more | 2 of 100 | Make money |
Where the value comes from
The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.
| Card type | How many per box | Average card after selling costs | Adds to the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare8.8 per box | 8.8 per box | $1.97€1.76 | |
| Uncommon30 per box | 30 per box | $0.07€0.06 | |
| Common98 per box | 98 per box | $0.01€0.01 | |
| Foil rare1 in 3.4 boxes | 1 in 3.4 boxes | $3.47€3.10 | |
| Mythic rare1.3 per box | 1.3 per box | $0.65€0.58 | |
| Foil common1.4 per box | 1.4 per box | $0.14€0.13 | |
| Foil uncommon1 in 1.8 boxes | 1 in 1.8 boxes | $0.32€0.29 | |
| Foil mythic rare1 in 24 boxes | 1 in 24 boxes | $3.73€3.33 | |
| Basic land10 per box | 10 per box | No price yet | |
| Total | $23€20 |
Chance of a big pull
How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.
- Mythic rare 74of 100 boxes 1.3 per box$0.65€0.58 each
- Foil rare 26of 100 boxes 1 in 3.4 boxes$3.47€3.10 each
- Foil mythic rare 4of 100 boxes 1 in 24 boxes$3.73€3.33 each
Show as a table
| Card type | Boxes with at least one | On average | Boxes for one specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mythic rare | 74 of 100 | 1.3 per box | 12 |
| Foil rare | 26 of 100 | 1 in 3.4 boxes | 180 |
| Foil mythic rare | 4 of 100 | 1 in 24 boxes | 355 |
If card prices fall
Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.
| Card prices | Cards inside, after costs | Compared with the box | Boxes that lose money | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today's prices | $23€20 | −$26−€23 | 88 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 25% lower | $17€15 | −$31−€28 | 96 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 50% lower | $11€10 | −$37−€33 | more than 99 of 100 boxes | Keep it sealed |
| 75% lower | $6€5 | −$42−€38 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
Ravnica Allegiance pull rates
Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on October 14, 2026. This box's own pull rates haven't been measured, so these come from boxes with the same pack layout, with extra uncertainty added.
Most valuable Ravnica Allegiance cards
The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.
| Card | Card type | Market price | After selling costs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smothering Tithe (foil) | Foil rare | $47.59€42.46 | $44.93€40.09 |
| Smothering Tithe | Rare | $42.48€37.90 | $40.07€35.76 |
| Prime Speaker Vannifar (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $20.41€18.21 | $19.11€17.05 |
| Blood Crypt (foil) | Foil rare | $19.43€17.34 | $18.18€16.22 |
| Guardian Project (foil) | Foil rare | $16.06€14.33 | $14.98€13.36 |
| Breeding Pool (foil) | Foil rare | $15.70€14.01 | $14.64€13.06 |
| Guardian Project | Rare | $15.27€13.62 | $14.22€12.69 |
| Stomping Ground (foil) | Foil rare | $14.73€13.14 | $13.71€12.23 |
| Godless Shrine (foil) | Foil rare | $12.64€11.28 | $11.73€10.47 |
| Hallowed Fountain (foil) | Foil rare | $12.41€11.07 | $11.51€10.27 |
| Biomancer's Familiar (foil) | Foil rare | $11.81€10.54 | $10.94€9.76 |
| Breeding Pool | Rare | $11.50€10.26 | $10.64€9.50 |
| Blood Crypt | Rare | $10.84€9.67 | $10.02€8.94 |
| Godless Shrine | Rare | $9.82€8.76 | $9.05€8.07 |
| Saruli Caretaker (foil) | Foil common | $9.67€8.63 | $8.91€7.95 |
| Hallowed Fountain | Rare | $9.21€8.22 | $8.47€7.56 |
| Rhythm of the Wild (foil) | Foil uncommon | $8.57€7.65 | $7.87€7.02 |
| Stomping Ground | Rare | $8.27€7.38 | $7.58€6.76 |
| Rakdos, the Showstopper (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $8.19€7.31 | $7.50€6.69 |
| Prime Speaker Vannifar | Mythic rare | $6.11€5.45 | $5.52€4.93 |
| Wilderness Reclamation (foil) | Foil uncommon | $5.81€5.18 | $5.24€4.67 |
| Captive Audience (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $5.74€5.12 | $5.17€4.61 |
| Verity Circle (foil) | Foil rare | $5.40€4.82 | $4.85€4.33 |
| Teysa Karlov (foil) | Foil rare | $4.81€4.29 | $4.29€3.83 |
| Incubation Druid (foil) | Foil rare | $4.44€3.96 | $3.94€3.51 |
| Priest of Forgotten Gods (foil) | Foil rare | $3.80€3.39 | $3.33€2.97 |
| Hydroid Krasis (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $3.75€3.35 | $3.29€2.93 |
| Rhythm of the Wild | Uncommon | $3.65€3.26 | $3.19€2.85 |
| Seraph of the Scales (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $3.58€3.19 | $3.12€2.78 |
| Captive Audience | Mythic rare | $3.37€3.01 | $2.92€2.61 |
How we work this out
We price every card at its market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.
More Magic boxes
- Magic War of the SparkDraft Boosters Keep it sealed $72€65 of cards for a $155€138 box More than 99 of 100 boxes lose money
- Magic War of the SparkBundle Keep it sealed $20€18 of cards for a $72€64 box More than 99 of 100 boxes lose money
- Magic Ravnica AllegianceDraft Boosters Keep it sealed $82€73 of cards for a $136€121 box 92 of 100 boxes lose money
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- Magic Guilds of RavnicaDraft Boosters Keep it sealed $51€46 of cards for a $132€117 box More than 99 of 100 boxes lose money
- Magic Guilds of RavnicaBundle Keep it sealed $14€13 of cards for a $62€55 box More than 99 of 100 boxes lose money
Compare: War of the Spark vs Ravnica Allegiance, Ravnica Allegiance vs Guilds of Ravnica, Draft Booster box vs bundle