€60todayIs a Heat Wave Arena booster display worth opening?
Cardmarket today
€60.39
- Lowest listing
- €45
- Per pack
- €2.01
Keep it sealed€25 of cards inside, after selling costs
Why we'd keep it sealed
The cards inside are worth €25 after selling costs. The box costs €60.
On average you lose €35 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.
Pull rates are still uncertain. The real value could be anywhere from €22 to €32.
If you opened 100 boxes
- 7 make money
- 93 lose money
A typical box is worth €16. 1 in 10 boxes is worth €45 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth €4 or less.
The math, per box
From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.
Per box of 30 packs
- Box price on Cardmarket
- €60
- Cards inside, at market prices
- €31
- Selling costs and bulk
- −€6
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- €25
- Compared with the box price
- −€35
From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, €0.25 per card sold, cards under €1.00 go to bulk at €0.01.
- Cards inside, at market prices
- The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
- Selling costs and bulk
- Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
- Compared with the box price
- Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.
What the box costs
Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.
- Cardmarket today
- €60.39€2.01 per pack
- Lowest listing
- €45
The price history starts on the day live prices switch on, and grows by one point a day.
What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth
Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.
Show as a table
| Box value | Boxes out of 100 | Result |
|---|---|---|
| €0 to €5 | 15 of 100 | Lose money |
| €5 to €10 | 19 of 100 | Lose money |
| €10 to €15 | 14 of 100 | Lose money |
| €15 to €20 | 15 of 100 | Lose money |
| €20 to €25 | 11 of 100 | Lose money |
| €25 to €30 | 7 of 100 | Lose money |
| €30 to €35 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| €35 to €40 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| €40 to €45 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| €45 to €50 | 1 in 76 | Lose money |
| €50 to €55 | 1 in 114 | Lose money |
| €55 to €60 | 1 in 220 | Lose money |
| €60 to €65 | 1 in 391 | Make money |
| €65 to €70 | 1 in 552 | Make money |
| €70 to €75 | 1 in 1,087 | Make money |
| €75 to €80 | 1 in 1,923 | Make money |
| €80 to €85 | 1 in 3,571 | Make money |
| €85 to €90 | 1 in 7,143 | Make money |
| €90 to €95 | 1 in 25,000 | Make money |
| €95 to €100 | 1 in 562 | Make money |
| €100 to €105 | 1 in 143 | Make money |
| €105 to €110 | 1 in 185 | Make money |
| €110 to €115 | 1 in 214 | Make money |
| €115 to €120 | 1 in 231 | Make money |
| €120 to €125 | 1 in 342 | Make money |
| €125 to €130 | 1 in 472 | Make money |
| €130 to €135 | 1 in 680 | Make money |
| €135 to €140 | 1 in 1,149 | Make money |
| €140 to €145 | 1 in 244 | Make money |
| €145 to €150 | 1 in 140 | Make money |
| €150 to €155 | 1 in 210 | Make money |
| €155 or more | 2 of 100 | Make money |
Where the value comes from
The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.
| Card type | How many per box | Average card after selling costs | Adds to the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Art Rare (AR)3.0 per box | 3.0 per box | €3.96 | |
| Special Art Rare (SAR)1 in 6.0 boxes | 1 in 6.0 boxes | €58.23 | |
| Ultra Rare (UR, gold)1 in 10 boxes | 1 in 10 boxes | €11.65 | |
| Super Rare (SR)1 in 1.4 boxes | 1 in 1.4 boxes | €1.30 | |
| Common (C)60 per box | 60 per box | €0.01 | |
| Uncommon (U)30 per box | 30 per box | €0.01 | |
| Mirror (reverse holo)27 per box | 27 per box | €0.01 | |
| Rare (R)25 per box | 25 per box | €0.01 | |
| Double Rare (RR)4.0 per box | 4.0 per box | €0.01 | |
| Total | €25 |
Chance of a big pull
How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.
- Special Art Rare (SAR) 15of 100 boxes Full-card special illustration of a Pokémon ex or Supporter (the Japanese Special Illustration Rare), the big chase cards of modern sets. 1 in 6.0 boxes€58 each
- Ultra Rare (UR, gold) 10of 100 boxes Gold-foil Pokémon, Trainer or item card, roughly one in ten boxes. 1 in 10 boxes€12 each
Show as a table
| Card type | Boxes with at least one | On average | Boxes for one specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Special Art Rare (SAR)Full-card special illustration of a Pokémon ex or Supporter (the Japanese Special Illustration Rare), the big chase cards of modern sets. | 15 of 100 | 1 in 6.0 boxes | 30 |
| Ultra Rare (UR, gold)Gold-foil Pokémon, Trainer or item card, roughly one in ten boxes. | 10 of 100 | 1 in 10 boxes | 30 |
If card prices fall
Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.
| Card prices | Cards inside, after costs | Compared with the box | Boxes that lose money | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today's prices | €25 | −€35 | 93 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 25% lower | €19 | −€42 | 93 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 50% lower | €12 | −€48 | 96 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 75% lower | €6 | −€54 | more than 99 of 100 boxes | Keep it sealed |
Pull rates we used
Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026.
| Card type | How often | Likely range | Based on |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common slots, 2 per pack | |||
| Common (C) | 60 per box | Pack layout | |
| Uncommon slots, 1 per pack | |||
| Uncommon (U) | 30 per box | Pack layout | |
| Reverse holo slots, 1 per pack | |||
| Art Rare (AR) | 3.0 per box | 2.6 to 3.4 per box | Published estimate, Pokekachi (Altema), Heat Wave Arena (SV9a): hit cards, buyback prices and pull rates (封入率) |
| Mirror (reverse holo) | 27 per box | The rest of the slot | |
| Rare-or-better slots, 1 per pack | |||
| Ultra Rare (UR, gold) | 1 in 10 boxes | 1 in 6.0 to 17 boxes | Published estimate, Pokekachi (Altema), Heat Wave Arena (SV9a): hit cards, buyback prices and pull rates (封入率) |
| Special Art Rare (SAR) | 1 in 6.0 boxes | 1 in 3.8 to 9.4 boxes | Published estimate, Pokekachi (Altema), Heat Wave Arena (SV9a): hit cards, buyback prices and pull rates (封入率) |
| Super Rare (SR) | 1 in 1.4 boxes | 1 in 1.1 to 1.8 boxes | Published estimate, Pokekachi (Altema), Heat Wave Arena (SV9a): hit cards, buyback prices and pull rates (封入率) |
| Double Rare (RR) | 4.0 per box | 3.3 to 4.8 per box | Published estimate, Pokekachi (Altema), Heat Wave Arena (SV9a): hit cards, buyback prices and pull rates (封入率) |
| Rare (R) | 25 per box | The rest of the slot | |
Most valuable cards
The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.
| Card | Card type | Cardmarket price | After selling costs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cynthias Garchomp ex | Special Art Rare (SAR) | €148.82 | €141.13 |
| Ethans Ho Oh ex | Special Art Rare (SAR) | €103.01 | €97.61 |
| Ethans Adventure | Special Art Rare (SAR) | €33.00 | €31.10 |
| Cynthias Garchomp ex | Ultra Rare (UR, gold) | €18.53 | €17.35 |
| Mistys Psyduck | Art Rare (AR) | €15.74 | €14.70 |
| Ethans Ho Oh ex | Ultra Rare (UR, gold) | €15.30 | €14.29 |
| Arvens Mabosstiff ex | Special Art Rare (SAR) | €14.44 | €13.47 |
| Mistys Lapras | Art Rare (AR) | €11.45 | €10.63 |
| Yanmega ex | Special Art Rare (SAR) | €8.50 | €7.82 |
| Ethans Typhlosion | Art Rare (AR) | €7.25 | €6.64 |
| Cynthias Roserade | Art Rare (AR) | €4.64 | €4.16 |
| Levincia | Ultra Rare (UR, gold) | €3.75 | €3.31 |
| Ethans Adventure | Super Rare (SR) | €3.43 | €3.01 |
| Ethans Ho Oh ex | Super Rare (SR) | €3.24 | €2.83 |
| Cynthias Garchomp ex | Super Rare (SR) | €3.00 | €2.60 |
| Rapidash | Art Rare (AR) | €2.82 | €2.43 |
| Shaymin | Art Rare (AR) | €2.49 | €2.12 |
| Electrike | Art Rare (AR) | €1.74 | €1.40 |
| Hydrapple | Art Rare (AR) | €1.60 | €1.27 |
| Yanma | Art Rare (AR) | €1.55 | €1.22 |
| Emcees Excitement | Super Rare (SR) | €1.49 | €1.17 |
| Rotom | Art Rare (AR) | €1.41 | €1.09 |
| Crustle | Art Rare (AR) | €1.36 | €1.04 |
| Arvens Greedent | Art Rare (AR) | €1.19 | €0.88 |
| Yanmega ex | Super Rare (SR) | €1.02 | €0.72 |
| Arvens Mabosstiff ex | Super Rare (SR) | €1.00 | €0.70 |
| Electivire ex | Super Rare (SR) | €1.00 | €0.70 |
| Dondozo ex | Super Rare (SR) | €0.97 | €0.01 |
| Judge | Super Rare (SR) | €0.69 | €0.01 |
| Dondozo ex | Double Rare (RR) | €0.23 | €0.01 |
How we work this out
We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.