Pokémon Japan White Flare booster display€73today

Is a White Flare booster display worth opening?

Pokémon Japan. 20 packs of 7 cards. Released 6 June 2025. Prices from 15 October 2026.

Cardmarket today

€73.26

Lowest listing
€56.90
Per pack
€3.66

Keep it sealed€41 of cards inside, after selling costs

See the mathPrice history

Why we'd keep it sealed

The cards inside are worth €41 after selling costs. The box costs €73.

On average you lose €32 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.

Pull rates are still uncertain. The real value could be anywhere from €36 to €52.

If you opened 100 boxes

  • 8 make money
  • 92 lose money

A typical box is worth €28. 1 in 10 boxes is worth €65 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth €13 or less.

The math, per box

From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.

Per box of 20 packs

Box price on Cardmarket
€73
Cards inside, at market prices
€55
Selling costs and bulk
−€14
Cards inside, after selling costs
€41
Compared with the box price
−€32

From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, €0.25 per card sold, cards under €1.00 go to bulk at €0.01.

Cards inside, at market prices
The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
Selling costs and bulk
Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
Cards inside, after selling costs
What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
Compared with the box price
Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.

What the box costs

Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.

Cardmarket today
€73.26€3.66 per pack
Lowest listing
€56.90

The price history starts on the day live prices switch on, and grows by one point a day.

What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth

Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.

Value of 100,000 simulated boxes92 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of €73.Box price €73Lose moneyMake money0102030€50€100€150€200€233+Boxes out of 100Under €13: 10 of 100 boxes€13 to €23: 27 of 100 boxes€23 to €33: 25 of 100 boxes€33 to €43: 14 of 100 boxes€43 to €53: 8 of 100 boxes€53 to €63: 5 of 100 boxes€63 to €73: 2 of 100 boxes€73 to €83: 1 in 99 boxes€83 to €93: 1 in 225 boxes€93 to €103: 1 in 469 boxes€103 to €113: 1 in 1,316 boxes€113 to €123: 1 in 926 boxes€123 to €133: 1 in 190 boxes€133 to €143: 1 in 145 boxes€143 to €153: 1 in 212 boxes€153 to €163: 1 in 392 boxes€163 to €173: 1 in 671 boxes€173 to €183: 1 in 1,351 boxes€183 to €193: 1 in 3,448 boxes€193 to €203: 1 in 9,091 boxes€203 to €213: 1 in 1,020 boxes€213 to €223: 1 in 125 boxes€223 to €233: 1 in 83 boxes€233 or more: 2 of 100 boxesValue of 100,000 simulated boxes92 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of €73.Box price €73Lose moneyMake money0102030€100€200Boxes out of 100Under €13: 10 of 100 boxes€13 to €23: 27 of 100 boxes€23 to €33: 25 of 100 boxes€33 to €43: 14 of 100 boxes€43 to €53: 8 of 100 boxes€53 to €63: 5 of 100 boxes€63 to €73: 2 of 100 boxes€73 to €83: 1 in 99 boxes€83 to €93: 1 in 225 boxes€93 to €103: 1 in 469 boxes€103 to €113: 1 in 1,316 boxes€113 to €123: 1 in 926 boxes€123 to €133: 1 in 190 boxes€133 to €143: 1 in 145 boxes€143 to €153: 1 in 212 boxes€153 to €163: 1 in 392 boxes€163 to €173: 1 in 671 boxes€173 to €183: 1 in 1,351 boxes€183 to €193: 1 in 3,448 boxes€193 to €203: 1 in 9,091 boxes€203 to €213: 1 in 1,020 boxes€213 to €223: 1 in 125 boxes€223 to €233: 1 in 83 boxes€233 or more: 2 of 100 boxes
Each bar covers €10 of box value. Bars right of the line are boxes worth at least what you paid.
Show as a table
Box valueBoxes out of 100Result
Under €1310 of 100Lose money
€13 to €2327 of 100Lose money
€23 to €3325 of 100Lose money
€33 to €4314 of 100Lose money
€43 to €538 of 100Lose money
€53 to €635 of 100Lose money
€63 to €732 of 100Lose money
€73 to €831 in 99Make money
€83 to €931 in 225Make money
€93 to €1031 in 469Make money
€103 to €1131 in 1,316Make money
€113 to €1231 in 926Make money
€123 to €1331 in 190Make money
€133 to €1431 in 145Make money
€143 to €1531 in 212Make money
€153 to €1631 in 392Make money
€163 to €1731 in 671Make money
€173 to €1831 in 1,351Make money
€183 to €1931 in 3,448Make money
€193 to €2031 in 9,091Make money
€203 to €2131 in 1,020Make money
€213 to €2231 in 125Make money
€223 to €2331 in 83Make money
€233 or more2 of 100Make money

Where the value comes from

The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.

Card typeHow many per boxAverage card after selling costsAdds to the box
Art Rare (AR)4.0 per box4.0 per box€5.53€22
Black White Rare (BWR)1 in 24 boxes1 in 24 boxes€205.90€8.58
Special Art Rare (SAR)1 in 6.0 boxes1 in 6.0 boxes€33.22€5.54
Master Ball mirror1.0 per box1.0 per box€1.67€1.67
Rare (R)15 per box15 per box€0.09€1.31
Common (C)60 per box60 per box€0.01€0.60
Super Rare (SR)1 in 1.3 boxes1 in 1.3 boxes€0.67€0.53
Mirror (reverse holo)20 per box20 per box€0.02€0.40
Uncommon (U)20 per box20 per box€0.01€0.20
Poké Ball mirror15 per box15 per box€0.01€0.15
Double Rare (RR)4.0 per box4.0 per box€0.01€0.04
Total€41

Chance of a big pull

How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.

Show as a table
Card typeBoxes with at least oneOn averageBoxes for one specific card
Master Ball mirrorMirror card with a Master Ball foil pattern, about one per box in the sets that have them.64 of 1001.0 per box72
Special Art Rare (SAR)Full-card special illustration of a Pokémon ex or Supporter (the Japanese Special Illustration Rare), the big chase cards of modern sets.15 of 1001 in 6.0 boxes42
Black White Rare (BWR)The single top card of Black Bolt and of White Flare, about one in 24 boxes.4 of 1001 in 24 boxes24

If card prices fall

Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.

Card pricesCards inside, after costsCompared with the boxBoxes that lose moneyVerdict
Today's prices€41−€3292 of 100Keep it sealed
25% lower€30−€4493 of 100Keep it sealed
50% lower€20−€5495 of 100Keep it sealed
75% lower€9−€65more than 99 of 100 boxesKeep it sealed

Pull rates we used

Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026.

Card typeHow oftenLikely rangeBased on
Common slots, 3 per pack
Common (C)60 per boxPack layout
Uncommon slots, 1 per pack
Uncommon (U)20 per boxPack layout
Reverse holo slots, 1 per pack
Mirror (reverse holo)20 per boxPack layout
Foil slot, 1 per pack
Master Ball mirror1.0 per box1 in 1.2 boxes to 1.2 per boxPublished estimate, Pokekachi (Altema), White Flare (SV11W): hit cards, buyback prices and pull rates (封入率)
Art Rare (AR)4.0 per box3.3 to 4.8 per boxPublished estimate, Pokekachi (Altema), White Flare (SV11W): hit cards, buyback prices and pull rates (封入率)
Poké Ball mirror15 per boxThe rest of the slot
Rare-or-better slots, 1 per pack
Black White Rare (BWR)1 in 24 boxes1 in 13 to 46 boxesPublished estimate, Pokekachi (Altema), White Flare (SV11W): hit cards, buyback prices and pull rates (封入率)
Special Art Rare (SAR)1 in 6.0 boxes1 in 3.8 to 9.4 boxesPublished estimate, Pokekachi (Altema), White Flare (SV11W): hit cards, buyback prices and pull rates (封入率)
Super Rare (SR)1 in 1.3 boxes1 in 1.6 boxes to 1.0 per boxPublished estimate, Pokekachi (Altema), White Flare (SV11W): hit cards, buyback prices and pull rates (封入率)
Double Rare (RR)4.0 per box3.3 to 4.8 per boxPublished estimate, Pokekachi (Altema), White Flare (SV11W): hit cards, buyback prices and pull rates (封入率)
Rare (R)15 per boxThe rest of the slot

Most valuable cards

The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.

CardCard typeCardmarket priceAfter selling costs
Reshiram exBlack White Rare (BWR)€217.00€205.90
Reshiram exSpecial Art Rare (SAR)€120.81€114.52
Hydreigon exSpecial Art Rare (SAR)€38.89€36.70
OshawottArt Rare (AR)€37.65€35.52
HildaSpecial Art Rare (SAR)€26.40€24.83
Keldeo exSpecial Art Rare (SAR)€21.99€20.64
ZoroarkArt Rare (AR)€19.99€18.74
ZoruaArt Rare (AR)€19.90€18.65
Jellicent exSpecial Art Rare (SAR)€16.61€15.53
JoltikArt Rare (AR)€13.42€12.50
Whimsicott exSpecial Art Rare (SAR)€12.80€11.91
DewottArt Rare (AR)€12.04€11.19
TepigArt Rare (AR)€11.99€11.14
LiepardArt Rare (AR)€10.75€9.96
LillipupArt Rare (AR)€10.55€9.77
DeerlingArt Rare (AR)€10.00€9.25
VirizionArt Rare (AR)€9.95€9.20
Bouffalant exSpecial Art Rare (SAR)€9.09€8.39
FrillishArt Rare (AR)€8.85€8.16
DruddigonArt Rare (AR)€8.34€7.67
DucklettArt Rare (AR)€8.10€7.44
SawsbuckArt Rare (AR)€7.97€7.32
LeavannyArt Rare (AR)€7.56€6.93
PurrloinArt Rare (AR)€7.40€6.78
GothitaArt Rare (AR)€7.10€6.49
DeinoArt Rare (AR)€6.99€6.39
SwannaArt Rare (AR)€6.95€6.35
PigniteArt Rare (AR)€6.83€6.24
SewaddleArt Rare (AR)€6.50€5.93
VanilliteArt Rare (AR)€6.50€5.93

How we work this out

We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.

Read the full method