€407todayIs an Ultra Sun booster display worth opening?
Cardmarket today
€407.39
- Lowest listing
- €589.99
- Per pack
- €13.58
Keep it sealed€62 of cards inside, after selling costs
Estimated contents: nobody has published measured pull rates for this box yet, so we use those of boxes with the same pack layout. Treat the numbers as a rough guide.
Why we'd keep it sealed
The cards inside are worth €62 after selling costs. The box costs €407.
On average you lose €345 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.
Pull rates are still uncertain. The real value could be anywhere from €51 to €90.
If you opened 100 boxes
- 0 make money
- 100 lose money
A typical box is worth €50. 1 in 10 boxes is worth €112 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth €27 or less.
The math, per box
From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.
Per box of 30 packs
- Box price on Cardmarket
- €407
- Cards inside, at market prices
- €89
- Selling costs and bulk
- −€27
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- €62
- Compared with the box price
- −€345
From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, €0.25 per card sold, cards under €1.00 go to bulk at €0.01.
- Cards inside, at market prices
- The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
- Selling costs and bulk
- Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
- Compared with the box price
- Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.
What the box costs
Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.
- Cardmarket today
- €407.39€13.58 per pack
- Lowest listing
- €589.99
The price history starts on the day live prices switch on, and grows by one point a day.
What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth
Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.
Show as a table
| Box value | Boxes out of 100 | Result |
|---|---|---|
| €7 to €27 | 11 of 100 | Lose money |
| €27 to €47 | 36 of 100 | Lose money |
| €47 to €67 | 17 of 100 | Lose money |
| €67 to €87 | 12 of 100 | Lose money |
| €87 to €107 | 12 of 100 | Lose money |
| €107 to €127 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| €127 to €147 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| €147 to €167 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| €167 to €187 | 1 in 123 | Lose money |
| €187 to €207 | 1 in 270 | Lose money |
| €207 to €227 | 1 in 538 | Lose money |
| €227 to €247 | 1 in 1,389 | Lose money |
| €247 to €267 | 1 in 3,571 | Lose money |
| €267 to €287 | 1 in 6,667 | Lose money |
| €287 to €307 | 1 in 20,000 | Lose money |
| €307 to €327 | 1 in 50,000 | Lose money |
| €327 to €347 | 1 in 50,000 | Lose money |
| €347 to €367 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| €367 to €387 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| €387 to €407 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| €407 to €427 | 0 of 100 | Make money |
| €427 to €447 | 0 of 100 | Make money |
Where the value comes from
The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.
| Card type | How many per box | Average card after selling costs | Adds to the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Super Rare (SR)1 in 1.4 boxes | 1 in 1.4 boxes | €34.52 | |
| Rare (R)25 per box | 25 per box | €0.62 | |
| Double Rare (RR)4.5 per box | 4.5 per box | €3.18 | |
| Hyper Rare (HR, rainbow)1 in 5.0 boxes | 1 in 5.0 boxes | €32.04 | |
| Ultra Rare (UR, gold)1 in 10 boxes | 1 in 10 boxes | €9.65 | |
| Common (C)90 per box | 90 per box | €0.01 | |
| Uncommon (U)30 per box | 30 per box | €0.01 | |
| Total | €62 |
Chance of a big pull
How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.
- Hyper Rare (HR, rainbow) 18of 100 boxes Rainbow-foil secret rare of the Sun & Moon and Sword & Shield eras, about one in five boxes. 1 in 5.0 boxes€32 each
- Ultra Rare (UR, gold) 10of 100 boxes Gold-foil Pokémon, Trainer or item card, roughly one in ten boxes. 1 in 10 boxes€9.65 each
Show as a table
| Card type | Boxes with at least one | On average | Boxes for one specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyper Rare (HR, rainbow)Rainbow-foil secret rare of the Sun & Moon and Sword & Shield eras, about one in five boxes. | 18 of 100 | 1 in 5.0 boxes | 15 |
| Ultra Rare (UR, gold)Gold-foil Pokémon, Trainer or item card, roughly one in ten boxes. | 10 of 100 | 1 in 10 boxes | 20 |
If card prices fall
Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.
| Card prices | Cards inside, after costs | Compared with the box | Boxes that lose money | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today's prices | €62 | −€345 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 25% lower | €45 | −€362 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 50% lower | €26 | −€381 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 75% lower | €12 | −€395 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
Pull rates we used
Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026. This box's own pull rates haven't been measured, so these come from boxes with the same pack layout, with extra uncertainty added.
| Card type | How often | Likely range | Based on |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common slots, 3 per pack | |||
| Common (C) | 90 per box | Pack layout | |
| Uncommon slots, 1 per pack | |||
| Uncommon (U) | 30 per box | Pack layout | |
| Rare-or-better slots, 1 per pack | |||
| Ultra Rare (UR, gold) | 1 in 10 boxes | 1 in 4.6 to 22 boxes | Estimate, Pokekarte (Japan Toreca), Tag Bolt (SM9): hit card ranking, prices and estimated pull rates |
| Hyper Rare (HR, rainbow) | 1 in 5.0 boxes | 1 in 2.3 to 11 boxes | Estimate, Pokekarte (Japan Toreca), Tag Bolt (SM9): hit card ranking, prices and estimated pull rates |
| Super Rare (SR) | 1 in 1.4 boxes | 1 in 2.7 boxes to 1.3 per box | Estimate, Pokekarte (Japan Toreca), Tag Bolt (SM9): hit card ranking, prices and estimated pull rates |
| Double Rare (RR) | 4.5 per box | 2.8 to 7.1 per box | Estimate, Pokekachi (Altema), Ultra Force (SM5+): hit cards, buyback prices and pull rates (封入率) |
| Rare (R) | 25 per box | The rest of the slot | |
Most valuable cards
The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.
| Card | Card type | Cardmarket price | After selling costs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gardenia | Super Rare (SR) | €69.99 | €66.24 |
| Mars | Super Rare (SR) | €62.95 | €59.55 |
| Leafeon GX | Hyper Rare (HR, rainbow) | €47.99 | €45.34 |
| Dialga GX | Hyper Rare (HR, rainbow) | €40.00 | €37.75 |
| Leafeon GX | Super Rare (SR) | €35.00 | €33.00 |
| Pokemon Fan Club | Super Rare (SR) | €23.99 | €22.54 |
| Dialga GX | Super Rare (SR) | €19.99 | €18.74 |
| Dusk Mane Necrozma GX | Hyper Rare (HR, rainbow) | €13.99 | €13.04 |
| Peeking Red Card | Ultra Rare (UR, gold) | €11.85 | €11.01 |
| Missing Clover | Ultra Rare (UR, gold) | €9.00 | €8.30 |
| Dusk Mane Necrozma GX | Super Rare (SR) | €7.69 | €7.06 |
| Leafeon GX | Double Rare (RR) | €4.99 | €4.49 |
| Dialga GX | Double Rare (RR) | €4.84 | €4.35 |
| Shaymin | Rare (R) | €2.67 | €2.29 |
| Solgaleo Prism Star | Prism Star (PR) | €2.19 | €1.83 |
| Infernape | Rare (R) | €1.92 | €1.57 |
| Torterra | Rare (R) | €1.40 | €1.08 |
| Cyrus | Prism Star (PR) | €1.29 | €0.98 |
| Dusk Mane Necrozma GX | Double Rare (RR) | €1.00 | €0.70 |
| Heatran | Rare (R) | €0.93 | €0.01 |
| Pal Pad | Common (C) | €0.56 | €0.01 |
| Weavile | Rare (R) | €0.54 | €0.01 |
| Magmortar | Rare (R) | €0.43 | €0.01 |
| Bastiodon | Rare (R) | €0.40 | €0.01 |
| Cherubi | Common (C) | €0.33 | €0.01 |
| Eevee | Common (C) | €0.30 | €0.01 |
| Magnezone | Rare (R) | €0.24 | €0.01 |
| Turtwig | Common (C) | €0.16 | €0.01 |
| Turtwig | Common (C) | €0.16 | €0.01 |
| Cherrim | Uncommon (U) | €0.16 | €0.01 |
How we work this out
We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.