$147€132todayIs a 30th Celebration Elite Trainer Box worth opening?
Cardmarket today
$147.41€131.52
- Lowest listing
- $89.66€80
- Per pack
- $16.38€14.61
Keep it sealed$63€56 of cards inside, after selling costs
Why we'd keep it sealed
The cards inside are worth $63€56 after selling costs. The box costs $147€132.
On average you lose $85€76 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.
Some pull rates are estimates, so the real value is likely between $57€51 and $70€63.
No prices yet for: RGB Rare, Basic Energy. We count them as worth nothing.
If you opened 100 boxes
- 9 make money
- 91 lose money
A typical box is worth $43€38. 1 in 10 boxes is worth $138€123 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth $12€11 or less.
30th Celebration EV: the math, per box
From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.
Per box of 9 packs
- Box price on Cardmarket
- $147€132
- Cards inside, at market prices
- $77€68
- Selling costs and bulk
- −$14−€13
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- $63€56
- Compared with the box price
- −$85−€76
From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, $0.28€0.25 per card sold, cards under $1.12€1.00 go to bulk at $0.01€0.01.
- Cards inside, at market prices
- The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
- Selling costs and bulk
- Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
- Compared with the box price
- Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.
What the box costs
Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.
- Cardmarket today
- $147.41€131.52$16.38€14.61 per pack
- Lowest listing
- $89.66€80
The price history starts on the day live prices switch on, and grows by one point a day.
What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth
Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.
Show as a table
| Box value | Boxes out of 100 | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Under $7€7 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| $7€7 to $13€12 | 8 of 100 | Lose money |
| $13€12 to $19€17 | 10 of 100 | Lose money |
| $19€17 to $24€22 | 9 of 100 | Lose money |
| $24€22 to $30€27 | 7 of 100 | Lose money |
| $30€27 to $35€32 | 6 of 100 | Lose money |
| $35€32 to $41€37 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| $41€37 to $47€42 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| $47€42 to $52€47 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| $52€47 to $58€52 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| $58€52 to $63€57 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| $63€57 to $69€62 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| $69€62 to $75€67 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| $75€67 to $80€72 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| $80€72 to $86€77 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| $86€77 to $91€82 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| $91€82 to $97€87 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $97€87 to $103€92 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $103€92 to $108€97 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $108€97 to $114€102 | 1 in 75 | Lose money |
| $114€102 to $119€107 | 1 in 72 | Lose money |
| $119€107 to $125€112 | 1 in 68 | Lose money |
| $125€112 to $131€117 | 1 in 77 | Lose money |
| $131€117 to $136€122 | 1 in 84 | Lose money |
| $136€122 to $142€127 | 1 in 98 | Lose money |
| $142€127 to $147€132 | 1 in 122 | Lose money |
| $147€132 to $153€137 | 1 in 135 | Make money |
| $153€137 to $159€142 | 1 in 185 | Make money |
| $159€142 to $164€147 | 1 in 199 | Make money |
| $164€147 to $170€152 | 1 in 221 | Make money |
| $170€152 to $175€157 | 1 in 159 | Make money |
| $175€157 to $181€162 | 1 in 139 | Make money |
| $181€162 to $187€167 | 1 in 148 | Make money |
| $187€167 to $192€172 | 1 in 176 | Make money |
| $192€172 to $198€177 | 1 in 215 | Make money |
| $198€177 to $203€182 | 1 in 254 | Make money |
| $203€182 to $209€187 | 1 in 340 | Make money |
| $209€187 to $215€192 | 1 in 441 | Make money |
| $215€192 to $220€197 | 1 in 483 | Make money |
| $220€197 to $226€202 | 1 in 463 | Make money |
| $226€202 to $231€207 | 1 in 435 | Make money |
| $231€207 to $237€212 | 1 in 532 | Make money |
| $237€212 or more | 2 of 100 | Make money |
Where the value comes from
The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.
| Card type | How many per box | Average card after selling costs | Adds to the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare1 in 2.0 boxes | 1 in 2.0 boxes | $45.04€40.19 | |
| Classic Collection1 in 1.1 boxes | 1 in 1.1 boxes | $20.50€18.29 | |
| Illustration Rare1.7 per box | 1.7 per box | $4.49€4.00 | |
| Futuristic Rare1 in 11 boxes | 1 in 11 boxes | $85.28€76.09 | |
| Pikachu Rare9.0 per box | 9.0 per box | $0.46€0.41 | |
| Double Rare2.3 per box | 2.3 per box | $0.55€0.49 | |
| Common24 per box | 24 per box | $0.01€0.01 | |
| Rare6.2 per box | 6.2 per box | $0.01€0.01 | |
| RGB Rare1 in 444 boxes | 1 in 444 boxes | No price yet | |
| Basic Energy9.0 per box | 9.0 per box | No price yet | |
| Total | $63€56 |
Chance of a big pull
How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.
- Illustration Rare 85of 100 boxes Full-card alternate artwork of a regular Pokémon (one gold star). 1.7 per box$4.49€4.00 each
- Classic Collection 62of 100 boxes Reprints of famous cards from the game's history. 1 in 1.1 boxes$20€18 each
- Special Illustration Rare 40of 100 boxes Full-card alternate artwork of a Pokémon ex or Supporter (two gold stars): the big chase cards of modern sets. 1 in 2.0 boxes$45€40 each
- Futuristic Rare 9of 100 boxes 1 in 11 boxes$85€76 each
- RGB Rare 1 in 445boxes 1 in 444 boxesNo price yet
Show as a table
| Card type | Boxes with at least one | On average | Boxes for one specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration RareFull-card alternate artwork of a regular Pokémon (one gold star). | 85 of 100 | 1.7 per box | 10 |
| Classic CollectionReprints of famous cards from the game's history. | 62 of 100 | 1 in 1.1 boxes | 28 |
| Special Illustration RareFull-card alternate artwork of a Pokémon ex or Supporter (two gold stars): the big chase cards of modern sets. | 40 of 100 | 1 in 2.0 boxes | 20 |
| Futuristic Rare | 9 of 100 | 1 in 11 boxes | 22 |
| RGB Rare | 1 in 445 | 1 in 444 boxes |
If card prices fall
Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.
| Card prices | Cards inside, after costs | Compared with the box | Boxes that lose money | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today's prices | $63€56 | −$85−€76 | 91 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 25% lower | $45€40 | −$102−€91 | 97 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 50% lower | $29€26 | −$119−€106 | more than 99 of 100 boxes | Keep it sealed |
| 75% lower | $14€12 | −$134−€119 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
30th Celebration pull rates
Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on October 15, 2026.
| Card type | How often | Likely range | Based on |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common slots, 2 per pack | |||
| Common | 18 per box | Pack layout | |
| Wildcard slots, 1 per pack | |||
| Illustration Rare | 1.7 per box | 1.4 to 2.1 per box | Published estimate, Wargamer: 30th Celebration pull rates (4,063 packs) |
| Classic Collection | 1 in 1.1 boxes | 1 in 1.3 boxes to 1.1 per box | Published estimate, Wargamer: 30th Celebration pull rates (4,063 packs) |
| Common | 6.4 per box | The rest of the slot | |
| Rare slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Double Rare | 2.3 per box | 1.9 to 2.7 per box | Published estimate, Wargamer: 30th Celebration pull rates (4,063 packs) |
| Special Illustration Rare | 1 in 2.0 boxes | 1 in 1.7 to 2.4 boxes | Published estimate, Wargamer: 30th Celebration pull rates (4,063 packs) |
| Futuristic Rare | 1 in 11 boxes | 1 in 7.5 to 16 boxes | Published estimate, Wargamer: 30th Celebration pull rates (4,063 packs) |
| RGB Rare | 1 in 444 boxes | 1 in 123 to 1,601 boxes | Published estimate, Wargamer: 30th Celebration pull rates (4,063 packs) |
| Rare | 6.2 per box | The rest of the slot | |
| Holo slots, 1 per pack | |||
| Pikachu Rare | 9.0 per box | Pack layout | |
| Energy slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Basic Energy | 9.0 per box | Pack layout | |
Most valuable 30th Celebration cards
The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.
| Card | Card type | Cardmarket price | After selling costs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charizard (001) | Classic Collection | $175.04€156.17 | $166.00€148.11 |
| Mew ex (158) | Futuristic Rare | $117.30€104.66 | $111.16€99.18 |
| Gengar ex (154) | Special Illustration Rare | $88.73€79.17 | $84.02€74.96 |
| Magikarp (030) | Classic Collection | $74.37€66.35 | $70.37€62.78 |
| Pikachu ex (150) | Special Illustration Rare | $72.74€64.90 | $68.82€61.41 |
| Mewtwo ex (157) | Futuristic Rare | $62.82€56.05 | $59.40€53.00 |
| Pikachu ex (149) | Special Illustration Rare | $60.21€53.72 | $56.92€50.78 |
| Gengar (018) | Classic Collection | $55.21€49.26 | $52.17€46.55 |
| Mew ex (152) | Special Illustration Rare | $54.38€48.52 | $51.38€45.84 |
| Mewtwo ex (151) | Special Illustration Rare | $46.70€41.67 | $44.09€39.34 |
| Sylveon ex (153) | Special Illustration Rare | $46.42€41.42 | $43.82€39.10 |
| Jirachi ex (155) | Special Illustration Rare | $45.95€41.00 | $43.37€38.70 |
| Shining Celebi (024) | Classic Collection | $28.10€25.07 | $26.41€23.57 |
| Pikachu & Zekrom GX (008) | Classic Collection | $26.09€23.28 | $24.51€21.87 |
| Rayquaza EX (016) | Classic Collection | $25.66€22.89 | $24.09€21.50 |
| Mew VMAX (026) | Classic Collection | $23.85€21.28 | $22.38€19.97 |
| Greninja ex (148) | Special Illustration Rare | $23.17€20.67 | $21.73€19.39 |
| Salamence ex (156) | Special Illustration Rare | $21.25€18.96 | $19.91€17.76 |
| Dark Tyranitar (006) | Classic Collection | $20.24€18.06 | $18.95€16.91 |
| Darkrai & Cresselia LEGEND (019) | Classic Collection | $18.74€16.72 | $17.52€15.63 |
| Fuecoco ex (147) | Special Illustration Rare | $17.51€15.62 | $16.35€14.59 |
| Darkrai & Cresselia LEGEND (020) | Classic Collection | $15.68€13.99 | $14.62€13.04 |
| N (021) | Classic Collection | $14.38€12.83 | $13.38€11.94 |
| Misty (005) | Classic Collection | $10.34€9.23 | $9.55€8.52 |
| Scizor ex (025) | Classic Collection | $10.20€9.10 | $9.41€8.40 |
| Raikou (012) | Classic Collection | $10.19€9.09 | $9.40€8.39 |
| Erika's Jigglypuff (015) | Classic Collection | $9.84€8.78 | $9.07€8.09 |
| Meowth (144) | Illustration Rare | $8.42€7.51 | $7.72€6.88 |
| Arceus VSTAR (027) | Classic Collection | $8.00€7.14 | $7.32€6.53 |
| Zapdos (133) | Illustration Rare | $7.92€7.07 | $7.25€6.47 |
How we work this out
We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.
More Pokémon boxes
- Pokémon 30th CelebrationBooster bundle Keep it sealed $42€37 of cards for a $85€76 box 86 of 100 boxes lose money
- Pokémon Pitch Black Keep it sealed $62€55 of cards for a $206€184 box 92 of 100 boxes lose money
- Pokémon Pitch BlackBooster bundle Keep it sealed $10€9 of cards for a $43€39 box 96 of 100 boxes lose money
- Pokémon Pitch BlackElite Trainer Box Keep it sealed $16€14 of cards for a $80€72 box 97 of 100 boxes lose money
- Pokémon Chaos Rising Keep it sealed $51€46 of cards for a $205€183 box 99 of 100 boxes lose money
- Pokémon Chaos RisingBooster bundle Keep it sealed $9€8 of cards for a $41€37 box 97 of 100 boxes lose money
Compare: 30th Celebration vs Pitch Black, Elite Trainer Box vs booster bundle






