Pokémon 30th Celebration Elite Trainer Box$147€132today

Is a 30th Celebration Elite Trainer Box worth opening?

Pokémon. 9 packs of 6 cards. Released September 16, 2026. Prices from October 15, 2026.

Cardmarket today

$147.41€131.52

Lowest listing
$89.66€80
Per pack
$16.38€14.61

Keep it sealed$63€56 of cards inside, after selling costs

See the mathPrice history

Why we'd keep it sealed

The cards inside are worth $63€56 after selling costs. The box costs $147€132.

On average you lose $85€76 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.

Some pull rates are estimates, so the real value is likely between $57€51 and $70€63.

No prices yet for: RGB Rare, Basic Energy. We count them as worth nothing.

If you opened 100 boxes

  • 9 make money
  • 91 lose money

A typical box is worth $43€38. 1 in 10 boxes is worth $138€123 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth $12€11 or less.

30th Celebration EV: the math, per box

From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.

Per box of 9 packs

Box price on Cardmarket
$147€132
Cards inside, at market prices
$77€68
Selling costs and bulk
−$14−€13
Cards inside, after selling costs
$63€56
Compared with the box price
−$85−€76

From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, $0.28€0.25 per card sold, cards under $1.12€1.00 go to bulk at $0.01€0.01.

Cards inside, at market prices
The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
Selling costs and bulk
Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
Cards inside, after selling costs
What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
Compared with the box price
Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.

What the box costs

Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.

Cardmarket today
$147.41€131.52$16.38€14.61 per pack
Lowest listing
$89.66€80

The price history starts on the day live prices switch on, and grows by one point a day.

What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth

Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.

Value of 100,000 simulated boxes91 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of $147.Box price $147€132Lose moneyMake money051015$50$100$150$200$237+€50€100€150€200Boxes out of 100Under $7: 4 of 100 boxes$7 to $13: 8 of 100 boxes$13 to $19: 10 of 100 boxes$19 to $24: 9 of 100 boxes$24 to $30: 7 of 100 boxes$30 to $35: 6 of 100 boxes$35 to $41: 5 of 100 boxes$41 to $47: 3 of 100 boxes$47 to $52: 3 of 100 boxes$52 to $58: 3 of 100 boxes$58 to $63: 3 of 100 boxes$63 to $69: 4 of 100 boxes$69 to $75: 3 of 100 boxes$75 to $80: 3 of 100 boxes$80 to $86: 3 of 100 boxes$86 to $91: 3 of 100 boxes$91 to $97: 2 of 100 boxes$97 to $103: 2 of 100 boxes$103 to $108: 2 of 100 boxes$108 to $114: 1 in 75 boxes$114 to $119: 1 in 72 boxes$119 to $125: 1 in 68 boxes$125 to $131: 1 in 77 boxes$131 to $136: 1 in 84 boxes$136 to $142: 1 in 98 boxes$142 to $147: 1 in 122 boxes$147 to $153: 1 in 135 boxes$153 to $159: 1 in 185 boxes$159 to $164: 1 in 199 boxes$164 to $170: 1 in 221 boxes$170 to $175: 1 in 159 boxes$175 to $181: 1 in 139 boxes$181 to $187: 1 in 148 boxes$187 to $192: 1 in 176 boxes$192 to $198: 1 in 215 boxes$198 to $203: 1 in 254 boxes$203 to $209: 1 in 340 boxes$209 to $215: 1 in 441 boxes$215 to $220: 1 in 483 boxes$220 to $226: 1 in 463 boxes$226 to $231: 1 in 435 boxes$231 to $237: 1 in 532 boxes$237 or more: 2 of 100 boxesValue of 100,000 simulated boxes91 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of $147.Box price $147€132Lose moneyMake money051015$100$200€100€200Boxes out of 100Under $7: 4 of 100 boxes$7 to $13: 8 of 100 boxes$13 to $19: 10 of 100 boxes$19 to $24: 9 of 100 boxes$24 to $30: 7 of 100 boxes$30 to $35: 6 of 100 boxes$35 to $41: 5 of 100 boxes$41 to $47: 3 of 100 boxes$47 to $52: 3 of 100 boxes$52 to $58: 3 of 100 boxes$58 to $63: 3 of 100 boxes$63 to $69: 4 of 100 boxes$69 to $75: 3 of 100 boxes$75 to $80: 3 of 100 boxes$80 to $86: 3 of 100 boxes$86 to $91: 3 of 100 boxes$91 to $97: 2 of 100 boxes$97 to $103: 2 of 100 boxes$103 to $108: 2 of 100 boxes$108 to $114: 1 in 75 boxes$114 to $119: 1 in 72 boxes$119 to $125: 1 in 68 boxes$125 to $131: 1 in 77 boxes$131 to $136: 1 in 84 boxes$136 to $142: 1 in 98 boxes$142 to $147: 1 in 122 boxes$147 to $153: 1 in 135 boxes$153 to $159: 1 in 185 boxes$159 to $164: 1 in 199 boxes$164 to $170: 1 in 221 boxes$170 to $175: 1 in 159 boxes$175 to $181: 1 in 139 boxes$181 to $187: 1 in 148 boxes$187 to $192: 1 in 176 boxes$192 to $198: 1 in 215 boxes$198 to $203: 1 in 254 boxes$203 to $209: 1 in 340 boxes$209 to $215: 1 in 441 boxes$215 to $220: 1 in 483 boxes$220 to $226: 1 in 463 boxes$226 to $231: 1 in 435 boxes$231 to $237: 1 in 532 boxes$237 or more: 2 of 100 boxes
Each bar covers $6€5 of box value. Bars right of the line are boxes worth at least what you paid.
Show as a table
Box valueBoxes out of 100Result
Under $7€74 of 100Lose money
$7€7 to $13€128 of 100Lose money
$13€12 to $19€1710 of 100Lose money
$19€17 to $24€229 of 100Lose money
$24€22 to $30€277 of 100Lose money
$30€27 to $35€326 of 100Lose money
$35€32 to $41€375 of 100Lose money
$41€37 to $47€423 of 100Lose money
$47€42 to $52€473 of 100Lose money
$52€47 to $58€523 of 100Lose money
$58€52 to $63€573 of 100Lose money
$63€57 to $69€624 of 100Lose money
$69€62 to $75€673 of 100Lose money
$75€67 to $80€723 of 100Lose money
$80€72 to $86€773 of 100Lose money
$86€77 to $91€823 of 100Lose money
$91€82 to $97€872 of 100Lose money
$97€87 to $103€922 of 100Lose money
$103€92 to $108€972 of 100Lose money
$108€97 to $114€1021 in 75Lose money
$114€102 to $119€1071 in 72Lose money
$119€107 to $125€1121 in 68Lose money
$125€112 to $131€1171 in 77Lose money
$131€117 to $136€1221 in 84Lose money
$136€122 to $142€1271 in 98Lose money
$142€127 to $147€1321 in 122Lose money
$147€132 to $153€1371 in 135Make money
$153€137 to $159€1421 in 185Make money
$159€142 to $164€1471 in 199Make money
$164€147 to $170€1521 in 221Make money
$170€152 to $175€1571 in 159Make money
$175€157 to $181€1621 in 139Make money
$181€162 to $187€1671 in 148Make money
$187€167 to $192€1721 in 176Make money
$192€172 to $198€1771 in 215Make money
$198€177 to $203€1821 in 254Make money
$203€182 to $209€1871 in 340Make money
$209€187 to $215€1921 in 441Make money
$215€192 to $220€1971 in 483Make money
$220€197 to $226€2021 in 463Make money
$226€202 to $231€2071 in 435Make money
$231€207 to $237€2121 in 532Make money
$237€212 or more2 of 100Make money

Where the value comes from

The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.

Card typeHow many per boxAverage card after selling costsAdds to the box
Special Illustration Rare1 in 2.0 boxes1 in 2.0 boxes$45.04€40.19$23€20
Classic Collection1 in 1.1 boxes1 in 1.1 boxes$20.50€18.29$19€17
Illustration Rare1.7 per box1.7 per box$4.49€4.00$7.77€6.93
Futuristic Rare1 in 11 boxes1 in 11 boxes$85.28€76.09$7.75€6.92
Pikachu Rare9.0 per box9.0 per box$0.46€0.41$4.14€3.70
Double Rare2.3 per box2.3 per box$0.55€0.49$1.24€1.10
Common24 per box24 per box$0.01€0.01$0.27€0.24
Rare6.2 per box6.2 per box$0.01€0.01$0.07€0.06
RGB Rare1 in 444 boxes1 in 444 boxesNo price yet$0.00€0.00
Basic Energy9.0 per box9.0 per boxNo price yet$0.00€0.00
Total$63€56

Chance of a big pull

How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.

Show as a table
Card typeBoxes with at least oneOn averageBoxes for one specific card
Illustration RareFull-card alternate artwork of a regular Pokémon (one gold star).85 of 1001.7 per box10
Classic CollectionReprints of famous cards from the game's history.62 of 1001 in 1.1 boxes28
Special Illustration RareFull-card alternate artwork of a Pokémon ex or Supporter (two gold stars): the big chase cards of modern sets.40 of 1001 in 2.0 boxes20
Futuristic Rare9 of 1001 in 11 boxes22
RGB Rare1 in 4451 in 444 boxes

If card prices fall

Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.

Card pricesCards inside, after costsCompared with the boxBoxes that lose moneyVerdict
Today's prices$63€56−$85−€7691 of 100Keep it sealed
25% lower$45€40−$102−€9197 of 100Keep it sealed
50% lower$29€26−$119−€106more than 99 of 100 boxesKeep it sealed
75% lower$14€12−$134−€119100 of 100Keep it sealed

30th Celebration pull rates

Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on October 15, 2026.

Card typeHow oftenLikely rangeBased on
Common slots, 2 per pack
Common18 per boxPack layout
Wildcard slots, 1 per pack
Illustration Rare1.7 per box1.4 to 2.1 per boxPublished estimate, Wargamer: 30th Celebration pull rates (4,063 packs)
Classic Collection1 in 1.1 boxes1 in 1.3 boxes to 1.1 per boxPublished estimate, Wargamer: 30th Celebration pull rates (4,063 packs)
Common6.4 per boxThe rest of the slot
Rare slot, 1 per pack
Double Rare2.3 per box1.9 to 2.7 per boxPublished estimate, Wargamer: 30th Celebration pull rates (4,063 packs)
Special Illustration Rare1 in 2.0 boxes1 in 1.7 to 2.4 boxesPublished estimate, Wargamer: 30th Celebration pull rates (4,063 packs)
Futuristic Rare1 in 11 boxes1 in 7.5 to 16 boxesPublished estimate, Wargamer: 30th Celebration pull rates (4,063 packs)
RGB Rare1 in 444 boxes1 in 123 to 1,601 boxesPublished estimate, Wargamer: 30th Celebration pull rates (4,063 packs)
Rare6.2 per boxThe rest of the slot
Holo slots, 1 per pack
Pikachu Rare9.0 per boxPack layout
Energy slot, 1 per pack
Basic Energy9.0 per boxPack layout

Most valuable 30th Celebration cards

The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.

CardCard typeCardmarket priceAfter selling costs
Charizard (001)Classic Collection$175.04€156.17$166.00€148.11
Mew ex (158)Futuristic Rare$117.30€104.66$111.16€99.18
Gengar ex (154)Special Illustration Rare$88.73€79.17$84.02€74.96
Magikarp (030)Classic Collection$74.37€66.35$70.37€62.78
Pikachu ex (150)Special Illustration Rare$72.74€64.90$68.82€61.41
Mewtwo ex (157)Futuristic Rare$62.82€56.05$59.40€53.00
Pikachu ex (149)Special Illustration Rare$60.21€53.72$56.92€50.78
Gengar (018)Classic Collection$55.21€49.26$52.17€46.55
Mew ex (152)Special Illustration Rare$54.38€48.52$51.38€45.84
Mewtwo ex (151)Special Illustration Rare$46.70€41.67$44.09€39.34
Sylveon ex (153)Special Illustration Rare$46.42€41.42$43.82€39.10
Jirachi ex (155)Special Illustration Rare$45.95€41.00$43.37€38.70
Shining Celebi (024)Classic Collection$28.10€25.07$26.41€23.57
Pikachu & Zekrom GX (008)Classic Collection$26.09€23.28$24.51€21.87
Rayquaza EX (016)Classic Collection$25.66€22.89$24.09€21.50
Mew VMAX (026)Classic Collection$23.85€21.28$22.38€19.97
Greninja ex (148)Special Illustration Rare$23.17€20.67$21.73€19.39
Salamence ex (156)Special Illustration Rare$21.25€18.96$19.91€17.76
Dark Tyranitar (006)Classic Collection$20.24€18.06$18.95€16.91
Darkrai & Cresselia LEGEND (019)Classic Collection$18.74€16.72$17.52€15.63
Fuecoco ex (147)Special Illustration Rare$17.51€15.62$16.35€14.59
Darkrai & Cresselia LEGEND (020)Classic Collection$15.68€13.99$14.62€13.04
N (021)Classic Collection$14.38€12.83$13.38€11.94
Misty (005)Classic Collection$10.34€9.23$9.55€8.52
Scizor ex (025)Classic Collection$10.20€9.10$9.41€8.40
Raikou (012)Classic Collection$10.19€9.09$9.40€8.39
Erika's Jigglypuff (015)Classic Collection$9.84€8.78$9.07€8.09
Meowth (144)Illustration Rare$8.42€7.51$7.72€6.88
Arceus VSTAR (027)Classic Collection$8.00€7.14$7.32€6.53
Zapdos (133)Illustration Rare$7.92€7.07$7.25€6.47

How we work this out

We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.

Read the full method

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