Pokémon Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box€467today

Is an Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box worth opening?

Pokémon. 8 packs of 11 cards. Released 27 August 2021. Prices from 15 October 2026.

Cardmarket today

€467.04

Lowest listing
€395
Per pack
€58.38

Keep it sealed€39 of cards inside, after selling costs

See the mathPrice history

Why we'd keep it sealed

The cards inside are worth €39 after selling costs. The box costs €467.

On average you lose €428 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.

Some pull rates are estimates, so the real value is likely between €35 and €43.

No prices yet for: Basic Energy. We count them as €0.

If you opened 100 boxes

  • 1 make money
  • 99 lose money

A typical box is worth €7. 1 in 10 boxes is worth €61 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth €1 or less.

The math, per box

From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.

Per box of 8 packs

Box price on Cardmarket
€467
Cards inside, at market prices
€47
Selling costs and bulk
−€8
Cards inside, after selling costs
€39
Compared with the box price
−€428

From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, €0.25 per card sold, cards under €1.00 go to bulk at €0.01.

Cards inside, at market prices
The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
Selling costs and bulk
Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
Cards inside, after selling costs
What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
Compared with the box price
Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.

What the box costs

Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.

Cardmarket today
€467.04€58.38 per pack
Lowest listing
€395

The price history starts on the day live prices switch on, and grows by one point a day.

What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth

Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.

Value of 100,000 simulated boxes99 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of €467.Box price €467Lose money0255075100€100€200€300€400€500Boxes out of 100Under €27: 83 of 100 boxes€27 to €47: 5 of 100 boxes€47 to €67: 2 of 100 boxes€67 to €87: 1 in 81 boxes€87 to €107: 1 in 89 boxes€107 to €127: 2 of 100 boxes€127 to €147: 1 in 195 boxes€147 to €167: 1 in 299 boxes€167 to €187: 1 in 231 boxes€187 to €207: 1 in 1,075 boxes€207 to €227: 1 in 2,857 boxes€227 to €247: 1 in 323 boxes€247 to €267: 1 in 350 boxes€267 to €287: 1 in 142 boxes€287 to €307: 1 in 182 boxes€307 to €327: 1 in 1,493 boxes€327 to €347: 1 in 4,000 boxes€347 to €367: 1 in 4,545 boxes€367 to €387: 1 in 5,263 boxes€387 to €407: 1 in 218 boxes€407 to €427: 1 in 136 boxes€427 to €447: 1 in 385 boxes€447 to €467: 1 in 1,786 boxes€467 to €487: 1 in 7,143 boxes€487 or more: 1 in 106 boxesValue of 100,000 simulated boxes99 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of €467.Box price €467Lose money0255075100€200€400€487+Boxes out of 100Under €27: 83 of 100 boxes€27 to €47: 5 of 100 boxes€47 to €67: 2 of 100 boxes€67 to €87: 1 in 81 boxes€87 to €107: 1 in 89 boxes€107 to €127: 2 of 100 boxes€127 to €147: 1 in 195 boxes€147 to €167: 1 in 299 boxes€167 to €187: 1 in 231 boxes€187 to €207: 1 in 1,075 boxes€207 to €227: 1 in 2,857 boxes€227 to €247: 1 in 323 boxes€247 to €267: 1 in 350 boxes€267 to €287: 1 in 142 boxes€287 to €307: 1 in 182 boxes€307 to €327: 1 in 1,493 boxes€327 to €347: 1 in 4,000 boxes€347 to €367: 1 in 4,545 boxes€367 to €387: 1 in 5,263 boxes€387 to €407: 1 in 218 boxes€407 to €427: 1 in 136 boxes€427 to €447: 1 in 385 boxes€447 to €467: 1 in 1,786 boxes€467 to €487: 1 in 7,143 boxes€487 or more: 1 in 106 boxes
Each bar covers €20 of box value. Bars right of the line are boxes worth at least what you paid.
Show as a table
Box valueBoxes out of 100Result
Under €2783 of 100Lose money
€27 to €475 of 100Lose money
€47 to €672 of 100Lose money
€67 to €871 in 81Lose money
€87 to €1071 in 89Lose money
€107 to €1272 of 100Lose money
€127 to €1471 in 195Lose money
€147 to €1671 in 299Lose money
€167 to €1871 in 231Lose money
€187 to €2071 in 1,075Lose money
€207 to €2271 in 2,857Lose money
€227 to €2471 in 323Lose money
€247 to €2671 in 350Lose money
€267 to €2871 in 142Lose money
€287 to €3071 in 182Lose money
€307 to €3271 in 1,493Lose money
€327 to €3471 in 4,000Lose money
€347 to €3671 in 4,545Lose money
€367 to €3871 in 5,263Lose money
€387 to €4071 in 218Lose money
€407 to €4271 in 136Lose money
€427 to €4471 in 385Lose money
€447 to €4671 in 1,786Lose money
€467 to €4871 in 7,143Make money
€487 or more1 in 106Make money

Where the value comes from

The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.

Card typeHow many per boxAverage card after selling costsAdds to the box
Alternate Art VMAX1 in 42 boxes1 in 42 boxes€601.46€14
Alternate Art1 in 11 boxes1 in 11 boxes€158.99€14
Full Art1 in 4.5 boxes1 in 4.5 boxes€14.90€3.31
Pokémon VMAX / VSTAR1 in 2.2 boxes1 in 2.2 boxes€6.61€2.96
Pokémon V1 in 1.2 boxes1 in 1.2 boxes€1.56€1.32
Rainbow Rare1 in 15 boxes1 in 15 boxes€17.59€1.18
Gold Secret Rare1 in 14 boxes1 in 14 boxes€8.86€0.64
Common40 per box40 per box€0.01€0.40
Reverse Holo8.0 per box8.0 per box€0.04€0.30
Uncommon24 per box24 per box€0.01€0.24
Rare / Holo Rare6.2 per box6.2 per box€0.01€0.06
Basic Energy8.0 per box8.0 per boxNo price yet€0.00
Total€39

Chance of a big pull

How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.

Show as a table
Card typeBoxes with at least oneOn averageBoxes for one specific card
Full ArtFull-art Pokémon (EX, GX or V) and full-art Supporter cards.20 of 1001 in 4.5 boxes121
Alternate ArtFull-card alternate artwork of a Pokémon V, the forerunner of today's Special Illustration Rares.8 of 1001 in 11 boxes125
Rainbow RareRainbow-foil secret rare versions of GX, V, VMAX and Supporter cards.7 of 1001 in 15 boxes238
Alternate Art VMAXAlternate-artwork VMAX cards such as Evolving Skies Umbreon VMAX, the most valuable Sword & Shield pulls.2 of 1001 in 42 boxes250

If card prices fall

Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.

Card pricesCards inside, after costsCompared with the boxBoxes that lose moneyVerdict
Today's prices€39−€42899 of 100Keep it sealed
25% lower€29−€43899 of 100Keep it sealed
50% lower€19−€44899 of 100Keep it sealed
75% lower€10−€457more than 99 of 100 boxesKeep it sealed

Pull rates we used

Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026.

Card typeHow oftenLikely rangeBased on
Common slots, 5 per pack
Common40 per boxPack layout
Uncommon slots, 3 per pack
Uncommon24 per boxPack layout
Reverse holo slots, 1 per pack
Reverse Holo8.0 per boxPack layout
Rare slot, 1 per pack
Pokémon V1 in 1.2 boxes1 in 1.0 to 1.3 boxesPublished estimate, TCGplayer (Peter Day): Pokémon TCG: Evolving Skies Pull Rates, 8,000+ packs
Pokémon VMAX / VSTAR1 in 2.2 boxes1 in 2.0 to 2.5 boxesPublished estimate, TCGplayer (Peter Day): Pokémon TCG: Evolving Skies Pull Rates, 8,000+ packs
Full Art1 in 4.5 boxes1 in 4.0 to 5.1 boxesPublished estimate, TCGplayer (Peter Day): Pokémon TCG: Evolving Skies Pull Rates, 8,000+ packs
Alternate Art1 in 11 boxes1 in 10.0 to 13 boxesPublished estimate, TCGplayer (Peter Day): Pokémon TCG: Evolving Skies Pull Rates, 8,000+ packs
Alternate Art VMAX1 in 42 boxes1 in 32 to 54 boxesPublished estimate, TCGplayer (Peter Day): Pokémon TCG: Evolving Skies Pull Rates, 8,000+ packs
Rainbow Rare1 in 15 boxes1 in 13 to 17 boxesPublished estimate, TCGplayer (Peter Day): Pokémon TCG: Evolving Skies Pull Rates, 8,000+ packs
Gold Secret Rare1 in 14 boxes1 in 12 to 16 boxesPublished estimate, TCGplayer (Peter Day): Pokémon TCG: Evolving Skies Pull Rates, 8,000+ packs
Rare / Holo Rare6.2 per boxThe rest of the slot
Energy slot, 1 per pack
Basic Energy8.0 per boxPack layout

Most valuable cards

The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.

CardCard typeCardmarket priceAfter selling costs
Umbreon VMAX (215)Alternate Art VMAX€1,805.90€1,715.36
Rayquaza VMAX (218)Alternate Art VMAX€1,150.19€1,092.43
Rayquaza V (194)Alternate Art€441.54€419.21
Dragonite V (192)Alternate Art€422.13€400.77
Leafeon VMAX (205)Alternate Art VMAX€302.87€287.48
Umbreon V (189)Alternate Art€288.56€273.88
Sylveon VMAX (212)Alternate Art VMAX€273.98€260.03
Glaceon VMAX (209)Alternate Art VMAX€245.11€232.60
Espeon V (180)Alternate Art€172.76€163.87
Glaceon V (175)Alternate Art€126.34€119.77
Leafeon V (167)Alternate Art€122.36€115.99
Sylveon V (184)Alternate Art€107.69€102.06
Noivern V (196)Alternate Art€101.01€95.71
Rayquaza VMAX (217)Rainbow Rare€78.59€74.41
Rayquaza V (193)Full Art€75.33€71.31
Umbreon V (188)Full Art€54.92€51.92
Dragonite V (191)Full Art€51.77€48.93
Umbreon VMAX (214)Rainbow Rare€46.85€44.26
Sylveon VMAX (211)Rainbow Rare€34.11€32.15
Leafeon VMAX (204)Rainbow Rare€29.87€28.13
Gyarados VMAX (207)Rainbow Rare€27.13€25.52
Vaporeon V (172)Full Art€26.30€24.74
Sylveon V (183)Full Art€24.87€23.38
Glaceon VMAX (208)Rainbow Rare€24.69€23.21
Umbreon VMAX (95)Pokémon VMAX / VSTAR€24.26€22.80
Golurk V (182)Alternate Art€23.99€22.54
Darkness Energy (236)Gold Secret Rare€22.99€21.59
Duraludon VMAX (220)Alternate Art VMAX€22.20€20.84
Leafeon V (166)Full Art€21.97€20.62
Glaceon V (174)Full Art€20.83€19.54

How we work this out

We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.

Read the full method