$1,060€946todayIs an Ultra Prism Elite Trainer Box worth opening?
Cardmarket today
$1,059.86€945.63
- Per pack
- $132.48€118.20
Keep it sealed$163€146 of cards inside, after selling costs
Estimated contents: nobody has published measured pull rates for this box yet, so we use those of boxes with the same pack layout. Treat the numbers as a rough guide.
Why we'd keep it sealed
The cards inside are worth $163€146 after selling costs. The box costs $1,060€946.
On average you lose $897€800 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.
Pull rates are still uncertain. The real value could be anywhere from $108€97 to $244€218.
No prices yet for: Basic Energy. We count them as worth nothing.
If you opened 100 boxes
- 0 make money
- 100 lose money
A typical box is worth $134€119. 1 in 10 boxes is worth $302€270 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth $70€62 or less.
Ultra Prism EV: the math, per box
From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.
Per box of 8 packs
- Box price on Cardmarket
- $1,060€946
- Cards inside, at market prices
- $189€168
- Selling costs and bulk
- −$25−€23
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- $163€146
- Compared with the box price
- −$897−€800
From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, $0.28€0.25 per card sold, cards under $1.12€1.00 go to bulk at $0.01€0.01.
- Cards inside, at market prices
- The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
- Selling costs and bulk
- Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
- Compared with the box price
- Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.
What the box costs
Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.
- Cardmarket today
- $1,059.86€945.63$132.48€118.20 per pack
The price history starts on the day live prices switch on, and grows by one point a day.
What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth
Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.
Show as a table
| Box value | Boxes out of 100 | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Under $51€46 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $51€46 to $79€71 | 13 of 100 | Lose money |
| $79€71 to $107€96 | 19 of 100 | Lose money |
| $107€96 to $135€121 | 16 of 100 | Lose money |
| $135€121 to $163€146 | 12 of 100 | Lose money |
| $163€146 to $191€171 | 8 of 100 | Lose money |
| $191€171 to $219€196 | 6 of 100 | Lose money |
| $219€196 to $247€221 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| $247€221 to $275€246 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| $275€246 to $303€271 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| $303€271 to $331€296 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| $331€296 to $359€321 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $359€321 to $387€346 | 1 in 74 | Lose money |
| $387€346 to $415€371 | 1 in 105 | Lose money |
| $415€371 to $443€396 | 1 in 158 | Lose money |
| $443€396 to $471€421 | 1 in 222 | Lose money |
| $471€421 to $499€446 | 1 in 256 | Lose money |
| $499€446 to $527€471 | 1 in 408 | Lose money |
| $527€471 to $556€496 | 1 in 538 | Lose money |
| $556€496 to $584€521 | 1 in 971 | Lose money |
| $584€521 to $612€546 | 1 in 1,613 | Lose money |
| $612€546 to $640€571 | 1 in 2,500 | Lose money |
| $640€571 to $668€596 | 1 in 4,167 | Lose money |
| $668€596 to $696€621 | 1 in 3,704 | Lose money |
| $696€621 to $724€646 | 1 in 8,333 | Lose money |
| $724€646 to $752€671 | 1 in 14,286 | Lose money |
| $752€671 to $780€696 | 1 in 16,667 | Lose money |
| $780€696 to $808€721 | 1 in 33,333 | Lose money |
| $808€721 to $836€746 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $836€746 to $864€771 | 1 in 100,000 | Lose money |
| $864€771 to $892€796 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $892€796 to $920€821 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $920€821 to $948€846 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $948€846 to $976€871 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $976€871 to $1,004€896 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $1,004€896 to $1,032€921 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $1,032€921 to $1,060€946 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $1,060€946 to $1,088€971 | 0 of 100 | Make money |
| $1,088€971 to $1,116€996 | 0 of 100 | Make money |
| $1,116€996 to $1,144€1,021 | 0 of 100 | Make money |
| $1,144€1,021 to $1,172€1,046 | 0 of 100 | Make money |
Where the value comes from
The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.
| Card type | How many per box | Average card after selling costs | Adds to the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full Art2.0 per box | 2.0 per box | $50.85€45.37 | |
| Pokémon-GX4.0 per box | 4.0 per box | $9.08€8.10 | |
| Rainbow Rare1 in 1.4 boxes | 1 in 1.4 boxes | $17.73€15.82 | |
| Reverse Holo8.0 per box | 8.0 per box | $0.70€0.62 | |
| Gold Secret Rare1 in 2.0 boxes | 1 in 2.0 boxes | $9.10€8.12 | |
| Common40 per box | 40 per box | $0.05€0.05 | |
| Rare / Holo Rare1 in 1.3 boxes | 1 in 1.3 boxes | $0.57€0.51 | |
| Uncommon24 per box | 24 per box | $0.01€0.01 | |
| Basic Energy8.0 per box | 8.0 per box | No price yet | |
| Total | $163€146 |
Chance of a big pull
How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.
- Full Art 90of 100 boxes Full-art Pokémon (EX, GX or V) and full-art Supporter cards. 2.0 per box$51€45 each
- Rainbow Rare 52of 100 boxes Rainbow-foil secret rare versions of GX, V, VMAX and Supporter cards. 1 in 1.4 boxes$18€16 each
Show as a table
| Card type | Boxes with at least one | On average | Boxes for one specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full ArtFull-art Pokémon (EX, GX or V) and full-art Supporter cards. | 90 of 100 | 2.0 per box | 7.5 |
| Rainbow RareRainbow-foil secret rare versions of GX, V, VMAX and Supporter cards. | 52 of 100 | 1 in 1.4 boxes | 16 |
If card prices fall
Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.
| Card prices | Cards inside, after costs | Compared with the box | Boxes that lose money | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today's prices | $163€146 | −$897−€800 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 25% lower | $122€109 | −$938−€837 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 50% lower | $80€72 | −$980−€874 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 75% lower | $39€34 | −$1,021−€911 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
Ultra Prism pull rates
Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on October 14, 2026. This box's own pull rates haven't been measured, so these come from boxes with the same pack layout, with extra uncertainty added.
| Card type | How often | Likely range | Based on |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common slots, 5 per pack | |||
| Common | 40 per box | Pack layout | |
| Uncommon slots, 3 per pack | |||
| Uncommon | 24 per box | Pack layout | |
| Reverse holo slots, 1 per pack | |||
| Reverse Holo | 8.0 per box | Pack layout | |
| Rare slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Gold Secret Rare | 1 in 2.0 boxes | 1 in 4.9 boxes to 1.2 per box | Estimate |
| Rainbow Rare | 1 in 1.4 boxes | 1 in 3.5 boxes to 1.7 per box | Estimate |
| Full Art | 2.0 per box | 1 in 1.1 boxes to 4.4 per box | Estimate |
| Pokémon-GX | 4.0 per box | 1.8 to 8.7 per box | Estimate |
| Rare / Holo Rare | 1 in 1.3 boxes | The rest of the slot | |
| Energy slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Basic Energy | 8.0 per box | Pack layout | |
Most valuable Ultra Prism cards
The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.
| Card | Card type | Cardmarket price | After selling costs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lillie (151) | Full Art | $223.06€199.02 | $211.63€188.82 |
| Cynthia (148) | Full Art | $147.06€131.21 | $139.43€124.40 |
| Lusamine (153) | Full Art | $92.23€82.29 | $87.34€77.93 |
| Glaceon GX (141) | Full Art | $70.20€62.63 | $66.41€59.25 |
| Solgaleo GX (173) | Rainbow Rare | $67.91€60.59 | $64.23€57.31 |
| Leafeon GX (139) | Full Art | $57.02€50.87 | $53.88€48.08 |
| Lunala GX (172) | Rainbow Rare | $47.07€42.00 | $44.44€39.65 |
| Lana (150) | Full Art | $36.84€32.87 | $34.72€30.98 |
| Mars (154) | Full Art | $36.63€32.68 | $34.52€30.80 |
| Gardenia (149) | Full Art | $36.12€32.23 | $34.04€30.37 |
| Crushing Hammer (166) | Gold Secret Rare | $31.60€28.19 | $29.74€26.53 |
| Palkia GX (101) | Pokémon-GX | $26.54€23.68 | $24.93€22.25 |
| Palkia GX (165) | Rainbow Rare | $26.54€23.68 | $24.93€22.25 |
| Pokémon Fan Club (155) | Full Art | $22.67€20.23 | $21.26€18.97 |
| Volkner (156) | Full Art | $18.41€16.43 | $17.21€15.36 |
| Dialga GX (146) | Full Art | $18.37€16.39 | $17.17€15.32 |
| Palkia GX (147) | Full Art | $16.24€14.49 | $15.15€13.52 |
| Xurkitree GX (142) | Pokémon-GX | $14.74€13.15 | $13.72€12.24 |
| Xurkitree GX (160) | Rainbow Rare | $14.74€13.15 | $13.72€12.24 |
| Pheromosa GX (140) | Pokémon-GX | $12.92€11.53 | $12.00€10.70 |
| Pheromosa GX (158) | Rainbow Rare | $12.92€11.53 | $12.00€10.70 |
| Looker (152) | Full Art | $11.78€10.51 | $10.91€9.73 |
| Giratina ◇ (58), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | $11.73€10.47 | $10.87€9.70 |
| Dialga GX (100) | Pokémon-GX | $10.98€9.80 | $10.15€9.06 |
| Dialga GX (164) | Rainbow Rare | $10.98€9.80 | $10.15€9.06 |
| Dusk Mane Necrozma GX (145) | Full Art | $10.58€9.44 | $9.77€8.72 |
| Dawn Wings Necrozma GX (143) | Full Art | $10.08€8.99 | $9.29€8.29 |
| Darkrai ◇ (77), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | $8.35€7.45 | $7.65€6.83 |
| Celesteela GX (144) | Pokémon-GX | $8.04€7.17 | $7.35€6.56 |
| Celesteela GX (162) | Rainbow Rare | $8.04€7.17 | $7.35€6.56 |
How we work this out
We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.
More Pokémon boxes
- Pokémon Forbidden Light Keep it sealed $244€218 of cards for a $2,396€2,138 box 100 of 100 boxes lose money
- Pokémon Forbidden LightElite Trainer Box Keep it sealed $137€122 of cards for a $870€776 box 100 of 100 boxes lose money
- Pokémon Ultra Prism Keep it sealed $207€185 of cards for a $2,204€1,967 box 100 of 100 boxes lose money
- Pokémon Crimson Invasion Keep it sealed $82€73 of cards for a $645€576 box 100 of 100 boxes lose money
- Pokémon Crimson InvasionElite Trainer Box Keep it sealed $65€58 of cards for a $305€272 box 100 of 100 boxes lose money
- Pokémon Shining LegendsElite Trainer Box Keep it sealed $86€77 of cards for a $1,062€947 box 100 of 100 boxes lose money
Compare: Forbidden Light vs Ultra Prism, Ultra Prism vs Crimson Invasion, Booster box vs Elite Trainer Box