$2,932€2,616todayIs a XY Elite Trainer Box worth opening?
Market price today
$2,931.51€2,615.55
- Per pack
- $366.44€326.94
Keep it sealed$54€48 of cards inside, after selling costs
Estimated contents: nobody has published measured pull rates for this box yet, so we use those of boxes with the same pack layout. Treat the numbers as a rough guide.
Why we'd keep it sealed
The cards inside are worth $54€48 after selling costs. The box costs $2,932€2,616.
On average you lose $2,877€2,567 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.
Pull rates are still uncertain. The real value could be anywhere from $39€35 to $73€65.
No prices yet for: Secret Rare. We count them as worth nothing.
If you opened 100 boxes
- 0 make money
- 100 lose money
A typical box is worth $54€48. 1 in 10 boxes is worth $73€65 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth $36€32 or less.
XY EV: the math, per box
From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.
Per box of 8 packs
- Box price today
- $2,932€2,616
- Cards inside, at market prices
- $78€69
- Selling costs and bulk
- −$24−€21
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- $54€48
- Compared with the box price
- −$2,877−€2,567
From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, $0.28€0.25 per card sold, cards under $1.12€1.00 go to bulk at $0.01€0.01.
- Cards inside, at market prices
- The average value of everything in a box, with each card at today's market price.
- Selling costs and bulk
- Marketplace fees and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
- Compared with the box price
- Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.
What the box costs
Today's market price, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.
- Market price today
- $2,931.51€2,615.55$366.44€326.94 per pack
The price history starts on the day live prices switch on, and grows by one point a day.
What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth
Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.
Show as a table
| Box value | Boxes out of 100 | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Under $130€116 | 100 of 100 | Lose money |
| $130€116 to $242€216 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $242€216 to $354€316 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $354€316 to $466€416 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $466€416 to $578€516 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $578€516 to $690€616 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $690€616 to $802€716 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $802€716 to $914€816 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $914€816 to $1,026€916 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $1,026€916 to $1,138€1,016 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $1,138€1,016 to $1,250€1,116 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $1,250€1,116 to $1,362€1,216 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $1,362€1,216 to $1,474€1,316 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $1,474€1,316 to $1,587€1,416 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $1,587€1,416 to $1,699€1,516 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $1,699€1,516 to $1,811€1,616 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $1,811€1,616 to $1,923€1,716 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $1,923€1,716 to $2,035€1,816 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $2,035€1,816 to $2,147€1,916 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $2,147€1,916 to $2,259€2,016 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $2,259€2,016 to $2,371€2,116 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $2,371€2,116 to $2,483€2,216 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $2,483€2,216 to $2,595€2,316 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $2,595€2,316 to $2,707€2,416 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $2,707€2,416 to $2,819€2,516 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $2,819€2,516 to $2,932€2,616 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $2,932€2,616 to $3,044€2,716 | 0 of 100 | Make money |
| $3,044€2,716 to $3,156€2,816 | 0 of 100 | Make money |
| $3,156€2,816 to $3,268€2,916 | 0 of 100 | Make money |
Where the value comes from
The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.
| Card type | How many per box | Average card after selling costs | Adds to the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pokémon-EX4.0 per box | 4.0 per box | $8.18€7.30 | |
| Reverse Holo8.0 per box | 8.0 per box | $1.10€0.98 | |
| Full Art1.0 per box | 1.0 per box | $4.60€4.11 | |
| Uncommon24 per box | 24 per box | $0.14€0.12 | |
| Rare / Holo Rare2.5 per box | 2.5 per box | $1.07€0.96 | |
| Common40 per box | 40 per box | $0.05€0.05 | |
| Secret Rare1 in 2.0 boxes | 1 in 2.0 boxes | No price yet | |
| Total | $54€48 |
Chance of a big pull
How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.
- Full Art 66of 100 boxes Full-art Pokémon (EX, GX or V) and full-art Supporter cards. 1.0 per box$4.60€4.11 each
- Secret Rare 40of 100 boxes Cards numbered beyond the set total, such as gold or shiny full arts. 1 in 2.0 boxesNo price yet
Show as a table
| Card type | Boxes with at least one | On average | Boxes for one specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full ArtFull-art Pokémon (EX, GX or V) and full-art Supporter cards. | 66 of 100 | 1.0 per box | 6.0 |
| Secret RareCards numbered beyond the set total, such as gold or shiny full arts. | 40 of 100 | 1 in 2.0 boxes |
If card prices fall
Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.
| Card prices | Cards inside, after costs | Compared with the box | Boxes that lose money | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today's prices | $54€48 | −$2,877−€2,567 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 25% lower | $38€33 | −$2,894−€2,582 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 50% lower | $24€21 | −$2,908−€2,594 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 75% lower | $10€9 | −$2,921−€2,606 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
XY pull rates
Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on October 14, 2026. This box's own pull rates haven't been measured, so these come from boxes with the same pack layout, with extra uncertainty added.
| Card type | How often | Likely range | Based on |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common slots, 5 per pack | |||
| Common | 40 per box | Pack layout | |
| Uncommon slots, 3 per pack | |||
| Uncommon | 24 per box | Pack layout | |
| Reverse holo slots, 1 per pack | |||
| Reverse Holo | 8.0 per box | Pack layout | |
| Rare slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Secret Rare | 1 in 2.0 boxes | 1 in 4.9 boxes to 1.2 per box | Estimate |
| Full Art | 1.0 per box | 1 in 2.2 boxes to 2.2 per box | Estimate |
| Pokémon-EX | 4.0 per box | 1.8 to 8.7 per box | Estimate |
| Rare / Holo Rare | 2.5 per box | The rest of the slot | |
Most valuable XY cards
The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.
| Card | Card type | Market price | After selling costs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yveltal EX (79) | Pokémon-EX | $16.97€15.14 | $15.84€14.13 |
| Pikachu (42), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | $13.00€11.60 | $12.07€10.77 |
| Lapras (35) | Rare / Holo Rare | $11.56€10.31 | $10.70€9.54 |
| Blastoise EX (29) | Pokémon-EX | $9.99€8.91 | $9.21€8.21 |
| Blastoise EX (142) | Full Art | $9.99€8.91 | $9.21€8.21 |
| Lapras (35), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | $9.78€8.73 | $9.02€8.04 |
| Venusaur EX (1) | Pokémon-EX | $7.97€7.11 | $7.29€6.50 |
| Venusaur EX (141) | Full Art | $7.97€7.11 | $7.29€6.50 |
| Xerneas EX (97) | Pokémon-EX | $7.18€6.41 | $6.54€5.84 |
| Muscle Band (121), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | $7.09€6.33 | $6.46€5.76 |
| Greninja (41) | Rare / Holo Rare | $6.70€5.98 | $6.09€5.43 |
| Jigglypuff (87), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | $6.32€5.64 | $5.73€5.11 |
| Jigglypuff (88), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | $6.32€5.64 | $5.73€5.11 |
| Emolga EX (46) | Pokémon-EX | $5.87€5.24 | $5.30€4.73 |
| Emolga EX (143) | Full Art | $5.87€5.24 | $5.30€4.73 |
| Wigglytuff (89), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | $5.63€5.02 | $5.06€4.52 |
| Wigglytuff (90), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | $5.63€5.02 | $5.06€4.52 |
| Skarmory EX (80) | Pokémon-EX | $5.45€4.86 | $4.89€4.37 |
| Skarmory EX (145) | Full Art | $5.45€4.86 | $4.89€4.37 |
| Greninja (41), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | $4.92€4.39 | $4.39€3.92 |
| Trevenant (55) | Rare / Holo Rare | $4.51€4.02 | $4.00€3.57 |
| Raichu (43), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | $4.49€4.01 | $3.99€3.56 |
| Quilladin (13), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | $3.98€3.55 | $3.50€3.12 |
| Chesnaught (14) | Rare / Holo Rare | $3.75€3.35 | $3.29€2.93 |
| Trevenant (55), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | $3.73€3.33 | $3.27€2.91 |
| Aromatisse (93), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | $3.60€3.21 | $3.14€2.80 |
| Muscle Band (121) | Uncommon | $3.49€3.11 | $3.03€2.70 |
| Chesnaught (14), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | $3.43€3.06 | $2.98€2.66 |
| Vivillon (17) | Rare / Holo Rare | $3.07€2.74 | $2.64€2.35 |
| Beedrill (5), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | $2.88€2.57 | $2.46€2.19 |
How we work this out
We price every card at its market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.
More Pokémon boxes
- Pokémon Furious Fists Keep it sealed $194€173 of cards for a $5,268€4,700 box 100 of 100 boxes lose money
- Pokémon Flashfire Keep it sealed $112€100 of cards for a $12,329€11,000 box 100 of 100 boxes lose money
- Pokémon XY Keep it sealed $134€119 of cards for a $5,044€4,500 box 100 of 100 boxes lose money
- Pokémon Legendary Treasures Keep it sealed $1,790€1,597 of cards for a $39,228€35,000 box 100 of 100 boxes lose money
- Pokémon Plasma Blast Keep it sealed $544€486 of cards for a $4,875€4,349 box 100 of 100 boxes lose money
- Pokémon Plasma BlastElite Trainer Box Keep it sealed $395€352 of cards for a $11,207€9,999 box 100 of 100 boxes lose money
Compare: Furious Fists vs XY, XY vs Plasma Blast, Booster box vs Elite Trainer Box