Union Arena BLEACH: Thousand-Year Blood War booster display$169today

Is a BLEACH: Thousand-Year Blood War booster display worth opening?

Union Arena. 16 packs of 12 cards. Released 4 October 2024. Prices from 15 October 2026.

TCGplayer today

$168.53

Lowest listing
$190
Per pack
$10.53

Keep it sealed$64 of cards inside, after selling costs

Estimated contents: nobody has published measured pull rates for this box yet, so we use those of boxes with the same pack layout. Treat the numbers as a rough guide.

See the mathPrice history

Why we'd keep it sealed

The cards inside are worth $64 after selling costs. The box costs $169.

On average you lose $105 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.

Pull rates are still uncertain. The real value could be anywhere from $40 to $123.

If you opened 100 boxes

  • 12 make money
  • 88 lose money

A typical box is worth $34. 1 in 10 boxes is worth $187 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth $15 or less.

The math, per box

From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.

Per box of 16 packs

Box price on TCGplayer
$169
Cards inside, at market prices
$98
Selling costs and bulk
−$35
Cards inside, after selling costs
$64
Compared with the box price
−$105

From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 13% fee, $0.30 per card sold, cards under $1.00 go to bulk at $0.01.

Cards inside, at market prices
The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on TCGplayer today.
Selling costs and bulk
TCGplayer's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
Cards inside, after selling costs
What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
Compared with the box price
Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.

What the box costs

Today's price on TCGplayer, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.

TCGplayer today
$168.53$10.53 per pack
Lowest listing
$190
  • Box price on TCGplayer
  • Cards inside, after selling costs
Box price and the cards inside, day by dayFrom 14 Oct to 15 Oct, the box price went from $169 to $169, and the cards inside, after selling costs, from $64 to $64.$50$100$150$200Box$169Cards$6414 Oct15 Oct14 Oct: box $169, cards $6415 Oct: box $169, cards $64Box price and the cards inside, day by dayFrom 14 Oct to 15 Oct, the box price went from $169 to $169, and the cards inside, after selling costs, from $64 to $64.$50$100$150$200Box$169Cards$6414 Oct15 Oct14 Oct: box $169, cards $6415 Oct: box $169, cards $64
On days when the cards line sits above the box line, an average box was worth more than it cost. Selling costs use our defaults.
Show as a table
DayBox priceCards inside, after costs
15 October 2026$168.53$63.87
14 October 2026$168.53$63.87

What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth

Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.

Value of 100,000 simulated boxes88 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of $169.Box price $169Lose moneyMake money0102030$100$200$300Boxes out of 100Under $19: 17 of 100 boxes$19 to $29: 22 of 100 boxes$29 to $39: 17 of 100 boxes$39 to $49: 12 of 100 boxes$49 to $59: 8 of 100 boxes$59 to $69: 4 of 100 boxes$69 to $79: 2 of 100 boxes$79 to $89: 1 in 120 boxes$89 to $99: 1 in 141 boxes$99 to $109: 1 in 88 boxes$109 to $119: 1 in 104 boxes$119 to $129: 1 in 157 boxes$129 to $139: 1 in 255 boxes$139 to $149: 1 in 476 boxes$149 to $159: 1 in 649 boxes$159 to $169: 1 in 137 boxes$169 to $179: 1 in 98 boxes$179 to $189: 1 in 123 boxes$189 to $199: 1 in 184 boxes$199 to $209: 1 in 267 boxes$209 to $219: 1 in 549 boxes$219 to $229: 1 in 330 boxes$229 to $239: 1 in 108 boxes$239 to $249: 1 in 101 boxes$249 to $259: 1 in 132 boxes$259 to $269: 1 in 139 boxes$269 to $279: 1 in 82 boxes$279 to $289: 1 in 91 boxes$289 to $299: 1 in 134 boxes$299 to $309: 1 in 193 boxes$309 or more: 2 of 100 boxesValue of 100,000 simulated boxes88 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of $169.Box price $169Lose moneyMake money0102030$100$200$300Boxes out of 100Under $19: 17 of 100 boxes$19 to $29: 22 of 100 boxes$29 to $39: 17 of 100 boxes$39 to $49: 12 of 100 boxes$49 to $59: 8 of 100 boxes$59 to $69: 4 of 100 boxes$69 to $79: 2 of 100 boxes$79 to $89: 1 in 120 boxes$89 to $99: 1 in 141 boxes$99 to $109: 1 in 88 boxes$109 to $119: 1 in 104 boxes$119 to $129: 1 in 157 boxes$129 to $139: 1 in 255 boxes$139 to $149: 1 in 476 boxes$149 to $159: 1 in 649 boxes$159 to $169: 1 in 137 boxes$169 to $179: 1 in 98 boxes$179 to $189: 1 in 123 boxes$189 to $199: 1 in 184 boxes$199 to $209: 1 in 267 boxes$209 to $219: 1 in 549 boxes$219 to $229: 1 in 330 boxes$229 to $239: 1 in 108 boxes$239 to $249: 1 in 101 boxes$249 to $259: 1 in 132 boxes$259 to $269: 1 in 139 boxes$269 to $279: 1 in 82 boxes$279 to $289: 1 in 91 boxes$289 to $299: 1 in 134 boxes$299 to $309: 1 in 193 boxes$309 or more: 2 of 100 boxes
Each bar covers $10 of box value. Bars right of the line are boxes worth at least what you paid.
Show as a table
Box valueBoxes out of 100Result
Under $1917 of 100Lose money
$19 to $2922 of 100Lose money
$29 to $3917 of 100Lose money
$39 to $4912 of 100Lose money
$49 to $598 of 100Lose money
$59 to $694 of 100Lose money
$69 to $792 of 100Lose money
$79 to $891 in 120Lose money
$89 to $991 in 141Lose money
$99 to $1091 in 88Lose money
$109 to $1191 in 104Lose money
$119 to $1291 in 157Lose money
$129 to $1391 in 255Lose money
$139 to $1491 in 476Lose money
$149 to $1591 in 649Lose money
$159 to $1691 in 137Lose money
$169 to $1791 in 98Make money
$179 to $1891 in 123Make money
$189 to $1991 in 184Make money
$199 to $2091 in 267Make money
$209 to $2191 in 549Make money
$219 to $2291 in 330Make money
$229 to $2391 in 108Make money
$239 to $2491 in 101Make money
$249 to $2591 in 132Make money
$259 to $2691 in 139Make money
$269 to $2791 in 82Make money
$279 to $2891 in 91Make money
$289 to $2991 in 134Make money
$299 to $3091 in 193Make money
$309 or more2 of 100Make money

Where the value comes from

The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.

Card typeHow many per boxAverage card after selling costsAdds to the box
Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)1.1 per box1.1 per box$42.37$44
Super Rare6.0 per box6.0 per box$2.44$15
Common / Uncommon176 per box176 per box$0.02$4.15
Rare8.9 per box8.9 per box$0.06$0.53
Total$64

Chance of a big pull

How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.

Show as a table
Card typeBoxes with at least oneOn averageBoxes for one specific card
Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)Star-marked alternate-art versions of the set's cards, about one per box.66 of 1001.1 per box23

If card prices fall

Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.

Card pricesCards inside, after costsCompared with the boxBoxes that lose moneyVerdict
Today's prices$64−$10588 of 100Keep it sealed
25% lower$47−$12191 of 100Keep it sealed
50% lower$31−$13899 of 100Keep it sealed
75% lower$15−$153more than 99 of 100 boxesKeep it sealed

Pull rates we used

Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026. This box's own pull rates haven't been measured, so these come from boxes with the same pack layout, with extra uncertainty added.

Card typeHow oftenLikely rangeBased on
Common slots, 11 per pack
Common / Uncommon176 per boxPack layout
Rare-or-better slots, 1 per pack
Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)1.1 per box1 in 2.2 boxes to 2.4 per boxEstimate, TCGTalk, Inuyasha (UE23BT) Union Arena guide: pull rates from 3 English boxes (48 packs)
Super Rare6.0 per box3.6 to 10.0 per boxEstimate, TCGTalk, Inuyasha (UE23BT) Union Arena guide: pull rates from 3 English boxes (48 packs)
Rare8.9 per boxThe rest of the slot

Most valuable cards

The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.

CardCard typeTCGplayer priceAfter selling costs
Ichigo Kurosaki (041) (SR**)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$296.53$257.68
Toshiro Hitsugaya (085) (SR**)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$250.68$217.79
Byakuya Kuchiki (050) (SR**)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$174.64$151.64
Jugram Haschwalth (020) (SR**)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$99.07$85.89
Rangiku Matsumoto (089) (C*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$35.64$30.71
Rukia Kuchiki (053) (SR*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$32.61$28.07
Toshiro Hitsugaya (085) (SR*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$32.40$27.89
Ichigo Kurosaki (041) (SR*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$31.53$27.13
Renji Abarai (047) (SR*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$23.03$19.74
Byakuya Kuchiki (050) (SR*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$23.00$19.71
Shunsui Kyoraku (074) (R*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$21.99$18.83
Ichigo Kurosaki (040) (R*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$20.30$17.36
Kenpachi Zaraki (081) (SR*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$18.39$15.70
Bambietta Basterbine (014) (SR*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$17.74$15.13
Rukia Kuchiki (052) (R*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$17.74$15.13
Yachiru Unohana (070) (SR*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$15.67$13.33
Yhwach (024) (SR*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$12.12$10.24
Renji Abarai (047)Super Rare$10.50$8.83
Soi Fon (055) (R*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$10.15$8.53
As Nodt (004) (SR*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$8.70$7.27
Shigekuni Genryusai Yamamoto (093) (SR*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$8.05$6.70
Kisuke Urahara (038) (R*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$7.83$6.51
Sajin Komamura (078) (R*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$7.10$5.88
Rukia Kuchiki (053)Super Rare$6.56$5.41
Shinji Hirako (087) (R*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$6.14$5.04
Bazz-B (011) (R*)Alt-art parallel (★ / ★★)$6.03$4.95
Ichigo Kurosaki (041)Super Rare$5.34$4.35
Toshiro Hitsugaya (085)Super Rare$4.42$3.55
Byakuya Kuchiki (050)Super Rare$3.32$2.59
Bambietta Basterbine (014)Super Rare$3.03$2.34

How we work this out

We price every card at its TCGplayer market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.

Read the full method