$841€750todayIs an Invasion bundle worth opening?
Cardmarket today
$840.60€750
- Lowest listing
- $840.60€750
- Per pack
- $280.20€250.00
Keep it sealed$17€15 of cards inside, after selling costs
Estimated contents: nobody has published measured pull rates for this box yet, so we use those of boxes with the same pack layout. Treat the numbers as a rough guide.
Why we'd keep it sealed
The cards inside are worth $17€15 after selling costs. The box costs $841€750.
On average you lose $824€735 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.
These pull rates are estimates, but the box's value hardly depends on them: it's likely between $16€15 and $18€16.
If you opened 100 boxes
- 0 make money
- 100 lose money
A typical box is worth $13€11. 1 in 10 boxes is worth $34€31 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth $4€3 or less.
The math, per box
From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.
Per box of 3 packs
- Box price on Cardmarket
- $841€750
- Cards inside, at market prices
- $27€24
- Selling costs and bulk
- −$10−€9
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- $17€15
- Compared with the box price
- −$824−€735
From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, $0.28€0.25 per card sold, cards under $1.12€1.00 go to bulk at $0.01€0.01.
- Cards inside, at market prices
- The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
- Selling costs and bulk
- Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
- Compared with the box price
- Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.
What the box costs
Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.
- Cardmarket today
- $840.60€750$280.20€250.00 per pack
- Lowest listing
- $840.60€750
The price history starts on the day live prices switch on, and grows by one point a day.
What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth
Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.
Show as a table
| Box value | Boxes out of 100 | Result |
|---|---|---|
| $0€0 to $28€25 | 85 of 100 | Lose money |
| $28€25 to $56€50 | 11 of 100 | Lose money |
| $56€50 to $84€75 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| $84€75 to $112€100 | 1 in 223 | Lose money |
| $112€100 to $140€125 | 1 in 847 | Lose money |
| $140€125 to $168€150 | 1 in 3,448 | Lose money |
| $168€150 to $196€175 | 1 in 100,000 | Lose money |
| $196€175 to $224€200 | 1 in 12,500 | Lose money |
| $224€200 to $252€225 | 1 in 14,286 | Lose money |
| $252€225 to $280€250 | 1 in 4,167 | Lose money |
| $280€250 to $308€275 | 1 in 33,333 | Lose money |
| $308€275 to $336€300 | 1 in 100,000 | Lose money |
| $336€300 to $364€325 | 1 in 100,000 | Lose money |
| $364€325 to $392€350 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $392€350 to $420€375 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $420€375 to $448€400 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $448€400 to $476€425 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $476€425 to $504€450 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $504€450 to $532€475 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $532€475 to $560€500 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $560€500 to $588€525 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $588€525 to $616€550 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $616€550 to $644€575 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $644€575 to $672€600 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $672€600 to $701€625 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $701€625 to $729€650 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $729€650 to $757€675 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $757€675 to $785€700 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $785€700 to $813€725 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $813€725 to $841€750 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $841€750 to $869€775 | 0 of 100 | Make money |
| $869€775 to $897€800 | 0 of 100 | Make money |
| $897€800 to $925€825 | 0 of 100 | Make money |
Where the value comes from
The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.
| Card type | How many per box | Average card after selling costs | Adds to the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare3.0 per box | 3.0 per box | $2.06€1.83 | |
| Common33 per box | 33 per box | $0.16€0.14 | |
| Uncommon8.9 per box | 8.9 per box | $0.35€0.32 | |
| Foil common1 in 3.0 boxes | 1 in 3.0 boxes | $3.38€3.02 | |
| Foil rare1 in 33 boxes | 1 in 33 boxes | $26.21€23.39 | |
| Foil uncommon1 in 11 boxes | 1 in 11 boxes | $5.88€5.24 | |
| Total | $17€15 |
Chance of a big pull
How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.
- Foil rare 3of 100 boxes 1 in 33 boxes$26€23 each
Show as a table
| Card type | Boxes with at least one | On average | Boxes for one specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Foil rare | 3 of 100 | 1 in 33 boxes | 3,667 |
If card prices fall
Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.
| Card prices | Cards inside, after costs | Compared with the box | Boxes that lose money | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today's prices | $17€15 | −$824−€735 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 25% lower | $12€11 | −$828−€739 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 50% lower | $7€7 | −$833−€743 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 75% lower | $3€3 | −$837−€747 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
Pull rates we used
Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026. This box's own pull rates haven't been measured, so these come from boxes with the same pack layout, with extra uncertainty added.
| Card type | How often | Likely range | Based on |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common slots, 11 per pack | |||
| Foil common | 1 in 3.0 boxes | 1 in 1.7 to 5.5 boxes | Estimate, Wikipedia: List of Magic: The Gathering sets (premium card rate 1 in 100 cards from Urza's Legacy, 1 in 70 from Torment, 1 in 56 from Tenth Edition; release dates) |
| Common | 33 per box | The rest of the slot | |
| Uncommon slots, 3 per pack | |||
| Foil uncommon | 1 in 11 boxes | 1 in 6.2 to 20 boxes | Estimate, Wikipedia: List of Magic: The Gathering sets (premium card rate 1 in 100 cards from Urza's Legacy, 1 in 70 from Torment, 1 in 56 from Tenth Edition; release dates) |
| Uncommon | 8.9 per box | The rest of the slot | |
| Rare slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Foil rare | 1 in 33 boxes | 1 in 18 to 60 boxes | Estimate, Wikipedia: List of Magic: The Gathering sets (premium card rate 1 in 100 cards from Urza's Legacy, 1 in 70 from Torment, 1 in 56 from Tenth Edition; release dates) |
| Rare | 3.0 per box | The rest of the slot | |
Most valuable cards
The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.
| Card | Card type | Cardmarket price | After selling costs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phyrexian Altar (foil) | Foil rare | $268.96€239.97 | $255.23€227.72 |
| Tsabo's Web (foil) | Foil rare | $225.79€201.45 | $214.22€191.13 |
| Reya Dawnbringer (foil) | Foil rare | $129.58€115.61 | $122.82€109.58 |
| Darigaaz, the Igniter (foil) | Foil rare | $112.48€100.36 | $106.58€95.09 |
| Crosis, the Purger (foil) | Foil rare | $107.81€96.19 | $102.14€91.13 |
| Fact or Fiction (foil) | Foil uncommon | $99.77€89.02 | $94.50€84.32 |
| Dromar, the Banisher (foil) | Foil rare | $93.68€83.58 | $88.71€79.15 |
| Captain Sisay (foil) | Foil rare | $93.12€83.08 | $88.18€78.68 |
| Elvish Champion (foil) | Foil rare | $90.55€80.79 | $85.74€76.50 |
| Rith, the Awakener (foil) | Foil rare | $83.28€74.30 | $78.83€70.34 |
| Aura Shards (foil) | Foil uncommon | $82.05€73.21 | $77.67€69.30 |
| Treva, the Renewer (foil) | Foil rare | $81.98€73.14 | $77.60€69.23 |
| Teferi's Response (foil) | Foil rare | $66.58€59.40 | $62.97€56.18 |
| Coalition Victory (foil) | Foil rare | $64.92€57.92 | $61.39€54.77 |
| Sterling Grove (foil) | Foil uncommon | $58.77€52.44 | $55.56€49.57 |
| Phyrexian Delver (foil) | Foil rare | $58.24€51.96 | $55.04€49.11 |
| Soul Burn (foil) | Foil common | $56.04€50.00 | $52.96€47.25 |
| Undermine (foil) | Foil rare | $52.89€47.19 | $49.97€44.58 |
| Phyrexian Altar | Rare | $49.73€44.37 | $46.96€41.90 |
| Obliterate (foil) | Foil rare | $47.82€42.67 | $45.15€40.29 |
| Absorb (foil) | Foil rare | $47.17€42.09 | $44.54€39.74 |
| Crypt Angel (foil) | Foil rare | $46.22€41.24 | $43.63€38.93 |
| Opt (foil) | Foil common | $44.66€39.85 | $42.15€37.61 |
| Empress Galina (foil) | Foil rare | $44.16€39.40 | $41.67€37.18 |
| Spreading Plague (foil) | Foil rare | $43.83€39.11 | $41.36€36.90 |
| Chromatic Sphere (foil) | Foil uncommon | $43.73€39.02 | $41.27€36.82 |
| Collective Restraint (foil) | Foil rare | $43.08€38.44 | $40.65€36.27 |
| Armadillo Cloak (foil) | Foil common | $42.15€37.61 | $39.77€35.48 |
| Spirit of Resistance (foil) | Foil rare | $42.09€37.55 | $39.70€35.42 |
| Ravenous Rats (foil) | Foil common | $41.97€37.45 | $39.60€35.33 |
How we work this out
We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.