€293todayIs a The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth Draft Booster display worth opening?
Cardmarket today
€293.12
- Lowest listing
- €249.99
- Per pack
- €8.14
Rip it€397 of cards inside, after selling costs
Estimated contents: nobody has published measured pull rates for this box yet, so we use those of boxes with the same pack layout. Treat the numbers as a rough guide.
Why we'd rip it
The cards inside are worth €397 after selling costs. The box costs €293.
Most boxes come out ahead: only 11 of 100 boxes lose money.
These pull rates are estimates, but the box's value hardly depends on them: it's likely between €385 and €430.
If you opened 100 boxes
- 89 make money
- 11 lose money
A typical box is worth €391. 1 in 10 boxes is worth €515 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth €287 or less.
The math, per box
From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.
Per box of 36 packs
- Box price on Cardmarket
- €293
- Cards inside, at market prices
- €476
- Selling costs and bulk
- −€79
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- €397
- Compared with the box price
- +€104
From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, €0.25 per card sold, cards under €1.00 go to bulk at €0.01.
- Cards inside, at market prices
- The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
- Selling costs and bulk
- Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
- Compared with the box price
- Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.
What the box costs
Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.
- Cardmarket today
- €293.12€8.14 per pack
- Lowest listing
- €249.99
- Box price on Cardmarket
- Cards inside, after selling costs
Show as a table
| Day | Box price | Cards inside, after costs |
|---|---|---|
| 15 October 2026 | €293.12 | €397.21 |
| 14 October 2026 | €293.15 | €397.23 |
What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth
Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.
Show as a table
| Box value | Boxes out of 100 | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Under €193 | 1 in 267 | Lose money |
| €193 to €213 | 1 in 193 | Lose money |
| €213 to €233 | 1 in 91 | Lose money |
| €233 to €253 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| €253 to €273 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| €273 to €293 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| €293 to €313 | 6 of 100 | Make money |
| €313 to €333 | 7 of 100 | Make money |
| €333 to €353 | 8 of 100 | Make money |
| €353 to €373 | 9 of 100 | Make money |
| €373 to €393 | 9 of 100 | Make money |
| €393 to €413 | 9 of 100 | Make money |
| €413 to €433 | 8 of 100 | Make money |
| €433 to €453 | 7 of 100 | Make money |
| €453 to €473 | 6 of 100 | Make money |
| €473 to €493 | 5 of 100 | Make money |
| €493 to €513 | 4 of 100 | Make money |
| €513 to €533 | 3 of 100 | Make money |
| €533 to €553 | 2 of 100 | Make money |
| €553 to €573 | 2 of 100 | Make money |
| €573 to €593 | 1 in 83 | Make money |
| €593 to €613 | 1 in 137 | Make money |
| €613 or more | 2 of 100 | Make money |
Where the value comes from
The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.
| Card type | How many per box | Average card after selling costs | Adds to the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uncommon108 per box | 108 per box | €2.14 | |
| Rare31 per box | 31 per box | €2.14 | |
| Mythic rare4.9 per box | 4.9 per box | €10.42 | |
| Common348 per box | 348 per box | €0.09 | |
| Foil uncommon3.6 per box | 3.6 per box | €3.52 | |
| Foil mythic rare1 in 5.6 boxes | 1 in 5.6 boxes | €14.28 | |
| Foil rare1 in 1.1 boxes | 1 in 1.1 boxes | €2.58 | |
| Foil common7.2 per box | 7.2 per box | €0.14 | |
| Basic land36 per box | 36 per box | €0.01 | |
| Total | €397 |
Chance of a big pull
How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.
- Mythic rare 99of 100 boxes 4.9 per box€10 each
- Foil rare 60of 100 boxes 1 in 1.1 boxes€2.58 each
- Foil mythic rare 17of 100 boxes 1 in 5.6 boxes€14 each
Show as a table
| Card type | Boxes with at least one | On average | Boxes for one specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mythic rare | 99 of 100 | 4.9 per box | 4.1 |
| Foil rare | 60 of 100 | 1 in 1.1 boxes | 67 |
| Foil mythic rare | 17 of 100 | 1 in 5.6 boxes | 111 |
If card prices fall
Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.
| Card prices | Cards inside, after costs | Compared with the box | Boxes that lose money | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today's prices | €397 | +€104 | 11 of 100 | Rip it |
| 25% lower | €294 | +€1 | 52 of 100 | Toss-up |
| 50% lower | €189 | −€104 | 98 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 75% lower | €90 | −€203 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
Pull rates we used
Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026. This box's own pull rates haven't been measured, so these come from boxes with the same pack layout, with extra uncertainty added.
| Card type | How often | Likely range | Based on |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common slots, 9 per pack | |||
| Common | 324 per box | Pack layout | |
| Foil slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Foil common | 7.2 per box | 3.6 to 14 per box | Estimate |
| Foil uncommon | 3.6 per box | 1.8 to 7.1 per box | Estimate |
| Foil rare | 1 in 1.1 boxes | 1 in 2.2 boxes to 1.8 per box | Estimate |
| Foil mythic rare | 1 in 5.6 boxes | 1 in 2.8 to 11 boxes | Estimate |
| Common | 24 per box | The rest of the slot | |
| Uncommon slots, 3 per pack | |||
| Uncommon | 108 per box | Pack layout | |
| Rare slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Mythic rare | 4.9 per box | 3.1 to 7.6 per box | Estimate, Wizards of the Coast, "Set Boosters" (Making Magic, Mark Rosewater, 2020-07-25) |
| Rare | 31 per box | The rest of the slot | |
| Land slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Basic land | 36 per box | Pack layout | |
Most valuable cards
The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.
| Card | Card type | Cardmarket price | After selling costs |
|---|---|---|---|
| The One Ring (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €124.15 | €117.69 |
| The One Ring | Mythic rare | €95.91 | €90.86 |
| Nazgûl (foil) | Foil uncommon | €42.85 | €40.46 |
| Sauron, the Dark Lord (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €42.62 | €40.24 |
| Orcish Bowmasters (foil) | Foil rare | €40.83 | €38.54 |
| Nazgûl (foil) | Foil uncommon | €39.52 | €37.29 |
| Nazgûl (foil) | Foil uncommon | €38.10 | €35.95 |
| Nazgûl (foil) | Foil uncommon | €36.76 | €34.67 |
| Orcish Bowmasters | Rare | €36.23 | €34.17 |
| Nazgûl (foil) | Foil uncommon | €36.18 | €34.12 |
| Nazgûl (foil) | Foil uncommon | €34.55 | €32.57 |
| Nazgûl (foil) | Foil uncommon | €32.36 | €30.49 |
| Nazgûl (foil) | Foil uncommon | €32.34 | €30.47 |
| Nazgûl (foil) | Foil uncommon | €31.06 | €29.26 |
| Nazgûl | Uncommon | €24.67 | €23.19 |
| Last March of the Ents (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €24.33 | €22.86 |
| Nazgûl | Uncommon | €23.92 | €22.47 |
| Palantír of Orthanc (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €23.53 | €22.10 |
| Nazgûl | Uncommon | €22.94 | €21.54 |
| Nazgûl | Uncommon | €22.29 | €20.93 |
| Sauron, the Dark Lord | Mythic rare | €22.14 | €20.78 |
| Delighted Halfling (foil) | Foil rare | €22.11 | €20.75 |
| Nazgûl | Uncommon | €22.05 | €20.70 |
| Nazgûl | Uncommon | €21.75 | €20.41 |
| Nazgûl | Uncommon | €20.86 | €19.57 |
| Last March of the Ents | Mythic rare | €20.43 | €19.16 |
| Nazgûl | Uncommon | €20.35 | €19.08 |
| Delighted Halfling | Rare | €20.25 | €18.99 |
| Mithril Coat (foil) | Foil rare | €19.57 | €18.34 |
| Nazgûl | Uncommon | €18.96 | €17.76 |
How we work this out
We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.