$44€40todayIs a Magic Origins bundle worth opening?
Cardmarket today
$44.35€39.57
- Lowest listing
- $44.81€39.98
- Per pack
- $4.93€4.40
Keep it sealed$12€11 of cards inside, after selling costs
Estimated contents: nobody has published measured pull rates for this box yet, so we use those of boxes with the same pack layout. Treat the numbers as a rough guide.
Why we'd keep it sealed
The cards inside are worth $12€11 after selling costs. The box costs $44€40.
On average you lose $32€29 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.
Some pull rates are estimates, so the real value is likely between $11€10 and $14€13.
If you opened 100 boxes
- 0 make money
- 100 lose money
A typical box is worth $11€10. 1 in 10 boxes is worth $22€20 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth $5€4 or less.
The math, per box
From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.
Per box of 9 packs
- Box price on Cardmarket
- $44€40
- Cards inside, at market prices
- $28€25
- Selling costs and bulk
- −$15−€14
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- $12€11
- Compared with the box price
- −$32−€29
From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, $0.28€0.25 per card sold, cards under $1.12€1.00 go to bulk at $0.01€0.01.
- Cards inside, at market prices
- The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
- Selling costs and bulk
- Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
- Compared with the box price
- Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.
What the box costs
Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.
- Cardmarket today
- $44.35€39.57$4.93€4.40 per pack
- Lowest listing
- $44.81€39.98
The price history starts on the day live prices switch on, and grows by one point a day.
What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth
Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.
Show as a table
| Box value | Boxes out of 100 | Result |
|---|---|---|
| $1€1 to $2€2 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $2€2 to $3€3 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $3€3 to $4€4 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| $4€4 to $5€5 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| $5€5 to $6€6 | 6 of 100 | Lose money |
| $6€6 to $7€7 | 7 of 100 | Lose money |
| $7€7 to $8€8 | 7 of 100 | Lose money |
| $8€8 to $10€9 | 8 of 100 | Lose money |
| $10€9 to $11€10 | 7 of 100 | Lose money |
| $11€10 to $12€11 | 7 of 100 | Lose money |
| $12€11 to $13€12 | 6 of 100 | Lose money |
| $13€12 to $14€13 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| $14€13 to $15€14 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| $15€14 to $16€15 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| $16€15 to $17€16 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| $17€16 to $19€17 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| $19€17 to $20€18 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| $20€18 to $21€19 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $21€19 to $22€20 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $22€20 to $23€21 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $23€21 to $24€22 | 1 in 68 | Lose money |
| $24€22 to $25€23 | 1 in 80 | Lose money |
| $25€23 to $26€24 | 1 in 99 | Lose money |
| $26€24 to $28€25 | 1 in 123 | Lose money |
| $28€25 to $29€26 | 1 in 147 | Lose money |
| $29€26 to $30€27 | 1 in 167 | Lose money |
| $30€27 to $31€28 | 1 in 231 | Lose money |
| $31€28 to $32€29 | 1 in 262 | Lose money |
| $32€29 to $33€30 | 1 in 346 | Lose money |
| $33€30 to $34€31 | 1 in 446 | Lose money |
| $34€31 to $35€32 | 1 in 488 | Lose money |
| $35€32 to $37€33 | 1 in 588 | Lose money |
| $37€33 to $38€34 | 1 in 690 | Lose money |
| $38€34 to $39€35 | 1 in 855 | Lose money |
| $39€35 to $40€36 | 1 in 1,136 | Lose money |
| $40€36 to $41€37 | 1 in 1,351 | Lose money |
| $41€37 to $42€38 | 1 in 1,852 | Lose money |
| $42€38 to $43€39 | 1 in 2,222 | Lose money |
| $43€39 to $44€40 | 1 in 3,704 | Lose money |
| $44€40 to $45€41 | 1 in 3,571 | Make money |
| $45€41 to $47€42 | 1 in 3,846 | Make money |
| $47€42 to $48€43 | 1 in 7,692 | Make money |
| $48€43 or more | 1 in 1,333 | Make money |
Where the value comes from
The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.
| Card type | How many per box | Average card after selling costs | Adds to the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare7.9 per box | 7.9 per box | $0.60€0.53 | |
| Mythic rare1.1 per box | 1.1 per box | $3.36€3.00 | |
| Uncommon27 per box | 27 per box | $0.06€0.05 | |
| Common88 per box | 88 per box | $0.01€0.01 | |
| Foil rare1 in 3.8 boxes | 1 in 3.8 boxes | $1.94€1.73 | |
| Foil mythic rare1 in 26 boxes | 1 in 26 boxes | $9.03€8.06 | |
| Foil uncommon1 in 2.0 boxes | 1 in 2.0 boxes | $0.48€0.43 | |
| Foil common1.2 per box | 1.2 per box | $0.18€0.16 | |
| Basic land9.0 per box | 9.0 per box | $0.01€0.01 | |
| Total | $12€11 |
Chance of a big pull
How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.
- Mythic rare 70of 100 boxes 1.1 per box$3.36€3.00 each
- Foil rare 23of 100 boxes 1 in 3.8 boxes$1.94€1.73 each
- Foil mythic rare 4of 100 boxes 1 in 26 boxes$9.03€8.06 each
Show as a table
| Card type | Boxes with at least one | On average | Boxes for one specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mythic rare | 70 of 100 | 1.1 per box | 14 |
| Foil rare | 23 of 100 | 1 in 3.8 boxes | 207 |
| Foil mythic rare | 4 of 100 | 1 in 26 boxes | 421 |
If card prices fall
Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.
| Card prices | Cards inside, after costs | Compared with the box | Boxes that lose money | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today's prices | $12€11 | −$32−€29 | more than 99 of 100 boxes | Keep it sealed |
| 25% lower | $9€8 | −$35−€31 | more than 99 of 100 boxes | Keep it sealed |
| 50% lower | $6€5 | −$38−€34 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 75% lower | $3€2 | −$42−€37 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
Pull rates we used
Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026. This box's own pull rates haven't been measured, so these come from boxes with the same pack layout, with extra uncertainty added.
Most valuable cards
The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.
| Card | Card type | Cardmarket price | After selling costs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starfield of Nyx (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $29.06€25.93 | $27.33€24.38 |
| Alhammarret's Archive (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $21.81€19.46 | $20.44€18.24 |
| Woodland Bellower (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $18.75€16.73 | $17.53€15.64 |
| Starfield of Nyx | Mythic rare | $14.81€13.21 | $13.79€12.30 |
| Elemental Bond (foil) | Foil uncommon | $14.19€12.66 | $13.20€11.78 |
| Liliana, Heretical Healer // Liliana, Defiant Necromancer (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $13.60€12.13 | $12.64€11.27 |
| Archangel of Tithes (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $12.82€11.44 | $11.90€10.62 |
| Day's Undoing (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $11.68€10.42 | $10.81€9.65 |
| Alhammarret's Archive | Mythic rare | $11.62€10.37 | $10.76€9.60 |
| Jace, Vryn's Prodigy // Jace, Telepath Unbound (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $10.86€9.69 | $10.04€8.96 |
| Chandra's Ignition (foil) | Foil rare | $8.43€7.52 | $7.73€6.89 |
| Knight of the White Orchid (foil) | Foil rare | $8.13€7.25 | $7.44€6.64 |
| Sword of the Animist (foil) | Foil rare | $7.85€7.00 | $7.17€6.40 |
| Demonic Pact (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $7.61€6.79 | $6.95€6.20 |
| Managorger Hydra (foil) | Foil rare | $7.32€6.53 | $6.67€5.95 |
| Tainted Remedy (foil) | Foil rare | $7.25€6.47 | $6.61€5.90 |
| Nissa, Vastwood Seer // Nissa, Sage Animist (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $7.22€6.44 | $6.58€5.87 |
| Fiery Impulse (foil) | Foil common | $7.07€6.31 | $6.44€5.74 |
| Chandra's Ignition | Rare | $6.53€5.83 | $5.93€5.29 |
| Flameshadow Conjuring (foil) | Foil rare | $6.23€5.56 | $5.64€5.03 |
| Herald of the Pantheon (foil) | Foil rare | $6.23€5.56 | $5.64€5.03 |
| Archangel of Tithes | Mythic rare | $5.73€5.11 | $5.16€4.60 |
| Helm of the Gods (foil) | Foil rare | $5.68€5.07 | $5.12€4.57 |
| Sword of the Animist | Rare | $5.47€4.88 | $4.92€4.39 |
| Pyromancer's Goggles (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $5.27€4.70 | $4.72€4.22 |
| Prism Ring (foil) | Foil uncommon | $5.08€4.53 | $4.54€4.05 |
| Jace, Vryn's Prodigy // Jace, Telepath Unbound | Mythic rare | $5.02€4.48 | $4.49€4.01 |
| Faerie Miscreant (foil) | Foil common | $4.95€4.42 | $4.43€3.95 |
| Liliana, Heretical Healer // Liliana, Defiant Necromancer | Mythic rare | $4.88€4.35 | $4.35€3.88 |
| Kytheon, Hero of Akros // Gideon, Battle-Forged (foil) | Foil mythic rare | $4.81€4.29 | $4.29€3.83 |
How we work this out
We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.