€274todayIs a Modern Horizons 3 Play Booster display worth opening?
Cardmarket today
€273.90
- Lowest listing
- €185
- Per pack
- €7.61
Toss-up€269 of cards inside, after selling costs
Why it's a toss-up
The cards inside are worth €269 after selling costs. The box costs €274.
Too close to call, and 56 of 100 boxes lose money.
Pull rates for this set are well documented.
If you opened 100 boxes
- 44 make money
- 56 lose money
A typical box is worth €266. 1 in 10 boxes is worth €333 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth €209 or less.
The math, per box
From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.
Per box of 36 packs
- Box price on Cardmarket
- €274
- Cards inside, at market prices
- €371
- Selling costs and bulk
- −€102
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- €269
- Compared with the box price
- −€5
From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, €0.25 per card sold, cards under €1.00 go to bulk at €0.01.
- Cards inside, at market prices
- The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
- Selling costs and bulk
- Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
- Compared with the box price
- Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.
What the box costs
Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.
- Cardmarket today
- €273.90€7.61 per pack
- Lowest listing
- €185
- Box price on Cardmarket
- Cards inside, after selling costs
Show as a table
| Day | Box price | Cards inside, after costs |
|---|---|---|
| 15 October 2026 | €273.90 | €269.21 |
| 14 October 2026 | €274.02 | €269.13 |
What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth
Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.
Show as a table
| Box value | Boxes out of 100 | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Under €154 | 1 in 309 | Lose money |
| €154 to €164 | 1 in 251 | Lose money |
| €164 to €174 | 1 in 128 | Lose money |
| €174 to €184 | 1 in 72 | Lose money |
| €184 to €194 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| €194 to €204 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| €204 to €214 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| €214 to €224 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| €224 to €234 | 6 of 100 | Lose money |
| €234 to €244 | 7 of 100 | Lose money |
| €244 to €254 | 8 of 100 | Lose money |
| €254 to €264 | 8 of 100 | Lose money |
| €264 to €274 | 8 of 100 | Lose money |
| €274 to €284 | 8 of 100 | Make money |
| €284 to €294 | 7 of 100 | Make money |
| €294 to €304 | 6 of 100 | Make money |
| €304 to €314 | 5 of 100 | Make money |
| €314 to €324 | 4 of 100 | Make money |
| €324 to €334 | 4 of 100 | Make money |
| €334 to €344 | 3 of 100 | Make money |
| €344 to €354 | 2 of 100 | Make money |
| €354 to €364 | 1 in 69 | Make money |
| €364 to €374 | 1 in 89 | Make money |
| €374 to €384 | 1 in 132 | Make money |
| €384 or more | 2 of 100 | Make money |
Where the value comes from
The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.
| Card type | How many per box | Average card after selling costs | Adds to the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare39 per box | 39 per box | €3.18 | |
| Mythic rare7.4 per box | 7.4 per box | €7.25 | |
| Uncommon150 per box | 150 per box | €0.28 | |
| Showcase, borderless or extended-art rare3.2 per box | 3.2 per box | €7.15 | |
| Foil rare2.3 per box | 2.3 per box | €4.09 | |
| Foil uncommon11 per box | 11 per box | €0.48 | |
| Special Guests1 in 1.8 boxes | 1 in 1.8 boxes | €9.34 | |
| Foil mythic rare1 in 2.5 boxes | 1 in 2.5 boxes | €9.34 | |
| Common248 per box | 248 per box | €0.01 | |
| Foil common22 per box | 22 per box | €0.05 | |
| Showcase or borderless common/uncommon1.5 per box | 1.5 per box | €0.19 | |
| Basic land11 per box | 11 per box | €0.01 | |
| Foil basic land7.2 per box | 7.2 per box | €0.01 | |
| Total | €269 |
Chance of a big pull
How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.
- Mythic rare >99of 100 boxes 7.4 per box€7.25 each
- Foil rare 91of 100 boxes 2.3 per box€4.09 each
- Special Guests 43of 100 boxes Special Guests: reprints of famous cards with new art that replace a common in a small share of boosters. 1 in 1.8 boxes€9.34 each
- Foil mythic rare 33of 100 boxes 1 in 2.5 boxes€9.34 each
Show as a table
| Card type | Boxes with at least one | On average | Boxes for one specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mythic rare | more than 99 of 100 boxes | 7.4 per box | 3.2 |
| Foil rare | 91 of 100 | 2.3 per box | 33 |
| Special GuestsSpecial Guests: reprints of famous cards with new art that replace a common in a small share of boosters. | 43 of 100 | 1 in 1.8 boxes | 18 |
| Foil mythic rare | 33 of 100 | 1 in 2.5 boxes | 61 |
If card prices fall
Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.
| Card prices | Cards inside, after costs | Compared with the box | Boxes that lose money | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today's prices | €269 | −€5 | 56 of 100 | Toss-up |
| 25% lower | €194 | −€79 | 98 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 50% lower | €121 | −€153 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 75% lower | €55 | −€219 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
Pull rates we used
Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026.
| Card type | How often | Likely range | Based on |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common slots, 6 per pack | |||
| Special Guests | 1 in 1.8 boxes | Official, Wizards of the Coast, Collecting Modern Horizons 3 | |
| Common | 215 per box | The rest of the slot | |
| Uncommon slots, 3 per pack | |||
| Uncommon | 108 per box | Pack layout | |
| Rare slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Mythic rare | 4.7 per box | Official, Wizards of the Coast, Collecting Modern Horizons 3 | |
| Showcase, borderless or extended-art rare | 2.6 per box | Official, Wizards of the Coast, Collecting Modern Horizons 3 | |
| Rare | 29 per box | The rest of the slot | |
| Bonus slots, 1 per pack | |||
| Rare | 7.7 per box | Official, Wizards of the Coast, Collecting Modern Horizons 3 | |
| Mythic rare | 1 in 1.2 boxes | Official, Wizards of the Coast, Collecting Modern Horizons 3 | |
| Showcase, borderless or extended-art rare | 1 in 2.1 boxes | Official, Wizards of the Coast, Collecting Modern Horizons 3 | |
| Uncommon | 27 per box | The rest of the slot | |
| Wildcard slots, 1 per pack | |||
| Common | 15 per box | Official, Wizards of the Coast, Collecting Modern Horizons 3 | |
| Rare | 2.4 per box | Official, Wizards of the Coast, Collecting Modern Horizons 3 | |
| Mythic rare | 1.9 per box | Official, Wizards of the Coast, Collecting Modern Horizons 3 | |
| Showcase, borderless or extended-art rare | 1 in 6.9 boxes | Official, Wizards of the Coast, Collecting Modern Horizons 3 | |
| Showcase or borderless common/uncommon | 1.5 per box | Official, Wizards of the Coast, Collecting Modern Horizons 3 | |
| Uncommon | 15 per box | The rest of the slot | |
| Foil slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Foil uncommon | 11 per box | 6.7 to 19 per box | Our assumption |
| Foil rare | 2.3 per box | 1.4 to 3.9 per box | Our assumption |
| Foil mythic rare | 1 in 2.5 boxes | 1 in 1.5 to 4.2 boxes | Our assumption |
| Foil common | 22 per box | The rest of the slot | |
| Land slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Common | 18 per box | Official, Wizards of the Coast, Collecting Modern Horizons 3 | |
| Foil basic land | 7.2 per box | Official, Wizards of the Coast, Collecting Modern Horizons 3 | |
| Basic land | 11 per box | The rest of the slot | |
Most valuable cards
The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.
| Card | Card type | Cardmarket price | After selling costs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ocelot Pride (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €43.31 | €40.89 |
| Solitude | Special Guests | €40.96 | €38.66 |
| Ocelot Pride | Mythic rare | €38.58 | €36.40 |
| Wooded Foothills | Showcase, borderless or extended-art rare | €33.30 | €31.38 |
| Polluted Delta | Showcase, borderless or extended-art rare | €33.08 | €31.18 |
| Polluted Delta | Showcase, borderless or extended-art rare | €32.40 | €30.53 |
| Phyrexian Tower (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €31.93 | €30.08 |
| Flooded Strand | Showcase, borderless or extended-art rare | €30.34 | €28.57 |
| Bloodstained Mire | Showcase, borderless or extended-art rare | €29.70 | €27.96 |
| Tamiyo, Inquisitive Student // Tamiyo, Seasoned Scholar (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €29.04 | €27.34 |
| Phyrexian Tower | Mythic rare | €28.37 | €26.70 |
| Flooded Strand | Showcase, borderless or extended-art rare | €26.32 | €24.75 |
| Wooded Foothills | Showcase, borderless or extended-art rare | €25.47 | €23.95 |
| Windswept Heath | Showcase, borderless or extended-art rare | €23.99 | €22.54 |
| Bloodstained Mire | Showcase, borderless or extended-art rare | €23.73 | €22.29 |
| Warren Soultrader | Showcase, borderless or extended-art rare | €20.86 | €19.57 |
| Tamiyo, Inquisitive Student // Tamiyo, Seasoned Scholar | Mythic rare | €20.38 | €19.11 |
| Polluted Delta (foil) | Foil rare | €19.60 | €18.37 |
| Wooded Foothills (foil) | Foil rare | €19.59 | €18.36 |
| Windswept Heath | Showcase, borderless or extended-art rare | €19.39 | €18.17 |
| Bloodstained Mire (foil) | Foil rare | €18.99 | €17.79 |
| Polluted Delta | Rare | €18.98 | €17.78 |
| Ulamog, the Defiler (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €18.33 | €17.16 |
| Fanatic of Rhonas (foil) | Foil rare | €18.28 | €17.12 |
| Urza's Incubator (foil) | Foil rare | €18.28 | €17.12 |
| Ugin's Labyrinth (foil) | Foil mythic rare | €17.88 | €16.74 |
| Warren Soultrader | Showcase, borderless or extended-art rare | €17.83 | €16.69 |
| Bloodstained Mire | Rare | €17.34 | €16.22 |
| Flooded Strand (foil) | Foil rare | €16.99 | €15.89 |
| Ruby Medallion | Showcase, borderless or extended-art rare | €16.99 | €15.89 |
How we work this out
We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.