€180todayIs an OP-16 booster display worth opening?
Cardmarket today
€179.61
- Lowest listing
- €154.99
- Per pack
- €7.48
Keep it sealed€90 of cards inside, after selling costs
Why we'd keep it sealed
The cards inside are worth €90 after selling costs. The box costs €180.
On average you lose €89 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.
Pull rates are still uncertain. The real value could be anywhere from €74 to €119.
No prices yet for: Gold DON!!, DON!! card. We count them as €0.
If you opened 100 boxes
- 7 make money
- 93 lose money
A typical box is worth €42. 1 in 10 boxes is worth €133 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth €12 or less.
The math, per box
From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.
Per box of 24 packs
- Box price on Cardmarket
- €180
- Cards inside, at market prices
- €117
- Selling costs and bulk
- −€26
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- €90
- Compared with the box price
- −€89
From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, €0.25 per card sold, cards under €1.00 go to bulk at €0.01.
- Cards inside, at market prices
- The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
- Selling costs and bulk
- Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
- Compared with the box price
- Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.
What the box costs
Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.
- Cardmarket today
- €179.61€7.48 per pack
- Lowest listing
- €154.99
- Box price on Cardmarket
- Cards inside, after selling costs
Show as a table
| Day | Box price | Cards inside, after costs |
|---|---|---|
| 15 October 2026 | €179.61 | €90.25 |
| 14 October 2026 | €179.92 | €90.18 |
What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth
Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.
Show as a table
| Box value | Boxes out of 100 | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Under €30 | 33 of 100 | Lose money |
| €30 to €55 | 30 of 100 | Lose money |
| €55 to €80 | 15 of 100 | Lose money |
| €80 to €105 | 7 of 100 | Lose money |
| €105 to €130 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| €130 to €155 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| €155 to €180 | 1 in 79 | Lose money |
| €180 to €205 | 1 in 160 | Make money |
| €205 to €230 | 1 in 366 | Make money |
| €230 to €255 | 1 in 971 | Make money |
| €255 to €280 | 1 in 2,439 | Make money |
| €280 to €305 | 1 in 4,348 | Make money |
| €305 to €330 | 1 in 6,250 | Make money |
| €330 to €355 | 1 in 33,333 | Make money |
| €355 to €380 | 1 in 25,000 | Make money |
| €380 to €405 | 1 in 151 | Make money |
| €405 to €430 | 1 in 173 | Make money |
| €430 to €455 | 1 in 330 | Make money |
| €455 to €480 | 1 in 709 | Make money |
| €480 to €505 | 1 in 1,515 | Make money |
| €505 to €530 | 1 in 3,030 | Make money |
| €530 to €555 | 1 in 4,348 | Make money |
| €555 to €580 | 1 in 6,667 | Make money |
| €580 to €605 | 1 in 33,333 | Make money |
| €605 to €630 | 1 in 25,000 | Make money |
| €630 to €655 | 1 in 1,299 | Make money |
| €655 to €680 | 1 in 195 | Make money |
| €680 to €705 | 1 in 255 | Make money |
| €705 to €730 | 1 in 535 | Make money |
| €730 to €755 | 1 in 1,010 | Make money |
| €755 to €780 | 1 in 2,174 | Make money |
| €780 to €805 | 1 in 247 | Make money |
| €805 to €830 | 1 in 212 | Make money |
| €830 to €855 | 1 in 395 | Make money |
| €855 to €880 | 1 in 787 | Make money |
| €880 to €905 | 1 in 1,429 | Make money |
| €905 or more | 2 of 100 | Make money |
Where the value comes from
The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.
| Card type | How many per box | Average card after selling costs | Adds to the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manga art1 in 24 boxes | 1 in 24 boxes | €809.16 | |
| Special (SP)1 in 8.5 boxes | 1 in 8.5 boxes | €120.27 | |
| Alternate art (parallel)1 in 1.2 boxes | 1 in 1.2 boxes | €15.79 | |
| Secret Rare (SEC)1 in 1.5 boxes | 1 in 1.5 boxes | €17.69 | |
| Alternate-art Leader1 in 4.2 boxes | 1 in 4.2 boxes | €27.01 | |
| Super Rare (SR)5.3 per box | 5.3 per box | €1.06 | |
| Rare38 per box | 38 per box | €0.06 | |
| Common166 per box | 166 per box | €0.01 | |
| Treasure Rare (TR)1 in 16 boxes | 1 in 16 boxes | €16.93 | |
| Uncommon72 per box | 72 per box | €0.01 | |
| Leader2.4 per box | 2.4 per box | €0.01 | |
| Gold DON!!1 in 8.5 boxes | 1 in 8.5 boxes | No price yet | |
| DON!! card2.0 per box | 2.0 per box | No price yet | |
| Total | €90 |
Chance of a big pull
How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.
- Alternate art (parallel) 57of 100 boxes Alternate-art versions of Rares, Super Rares and Secret Rares. 1 in 1.2 boxes€16 each
- Secret Rare (SEC) 49of 100 boxes The set's Secret Rares. 1 in 1.5 boxes€18 each
- Alternate-art Leader 21of 100 boxes Leader cards with alternate art. 1 in 4.2 boxes€27 each
- Special (SP) 11of 100 boxes Special versions of earlier cards, usually with gold frames. 1 in 8.5 boxes€120 each
- Gold DON!! 11of 100 boxes Gold versions of the set's DON!! card. 1 in 8.5 boxesNo price yet
- Treasure Rare (TR) 6of 100 boxes Treasure Rares, often fewer than one per case. 1 in 16 boxes€17 each
- Manga art 4of 100 boxes Cards drawn in manga-panel style, the rarest pulls. 1 in 24 boxes€809 each
Show as a table
| Card type | Boxes with at least one | On average | Boxes for one specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alternate art (parallel)Alternate-art versions of Rares, Super Rares and Secret Rares. | 57 of 100 | 1 in 1.2 boxes | 23 |
| Secret Rare (SEC)The set's Secret Rares. | 49 of 100 | 1 in 1.5 boxes | 3.0 |
| Alternate-art LeaderLeader cards with alternate art. | 21 of 100 | 1 in 4.2 boxes | 25 |
| Special (SP)Special versions of earlier cards, usually with gold frames. | 11 of 100 | 1 in 8.5 boxes | 51 |
| Gold DON!!Gold versions of the set's DON!! card. | 11 of 100 | 1 in 8.5 boxes | |
| Treasure Rare (TR)Treasure Rares, often fewer than one per case. | 6 of 100 | 1 in 16 boxes | 16 |
| Manga artCards drawn in manga-panel style, the rarest pulls. | 4 of 100 | 1 in 24 boxes | 72 |
If card prices fall
Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.
| Card prices | Cards inside, after costs | Compared with the box | Boxes that lose money | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today's prices | €90 | −€89 | 93 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 25% lower | €68 | −€112 | 94 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 50% lower | €44 | −€135 | 94 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 75% lower | €23 | −€157 | 97 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
Pull rates we used
Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026.
| Card type | How often | Likely range | Based on |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common slots, 7 per pack | |||
| Gold DON!! | 1 in 8.5 boxes | 1 in 6.0 to 12 boxes | Published range, TCGTalk, OP-16 hit rates and case opening |
| DON!! card | 2.0 per box | 1.5 to 2.8 per box | Our assumption |
| Common | 166 per box | The rest of the slot | |
| Uncommon slots, 3 per pack | |||
| Uncommon | 72 per box | Pack layout | |
| Rare slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Rare | 24 per box | Pack layout | |
| Rare-or-better slots, 1 per pack | |||
| Manga art | 1 in 24 boxes | 1 in 11 to 52 boxes | Our assumption |
| Treasure Rare (TR) | 1 in 16 boxes | 1 in 6.2 to 61 boxes | Counted openings, TCGTalk, OP-16 hit rates and case opening |
| Special (SP) | 1 in 8.5 boxes | 1 in 6.0 to 12 boxes | Published range, TCGTalk, OP-16 hit rates and case opening |
| Alternate-art Leader | 1 in 4.2 boxes | 1 in 3.0 to 6.0 boxes | Published range, TCGTalk, OP-16 hit rates and case opening |
| Secret Rare (SEC) | 1 in 1.5 boxes | 1 in 1.0 to 2.2 boxes | Published estimate, TCGTalk, OP-16 hit rates and case opening |
| Alternate art (parallel) | 1 in 1.2 boxes | 1 in 1.5 boxes to 1.0 per box | Published range, TCGTalk, OP-16 hit rates and case opening |
| Super Rare (SR) | 5.3 per box | 4.0 to 7.0 per box | Published range, TCGTalk, OP-16 hit rates and case opening |
| Leader | 2.4 per box | 2.0 to 3.0 per box | Published range, TCGTalk, OP-16 hit rates and case opening |
| Rare | 14 per box | The rest of the slot | |
Most valuable cards
The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.
| Card | Card type | Cardmarket price | After selling costs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sakazuki (OP16-065) | Manga art | €1,053.62 | €1,000.69 |
| Borsalino (OP16-073) | Manga art | €822.12 | €780.76 |
| Kuzan (OP16-063) | Manga art | €680.28 | €646.02 |
| Ms. All Sunday (OP14-084) | Special (SP) | €396.16 | €376.10 |
| Portgas.D.Ace (ST15-005) | Special (SP) | €143.50 | €136.08 |
| Zehahahahaha! (OP16-116) | Alternate art (parallel) | €88.35 | €83.68 |
| Charlotte Katakuri (OP11-067) | Special (SP) | €70.96 | €67.16 |
| Bartholomew Kuma (EB04-054) | Special (SP) | €67.75 | €64.11 |
| Yamato (OP16-079) | Alternate-art Leader | €48.10 | €45.45 |
| Tashigi (OP14-029) | Special (SP) | €46.03 | €43.48 |
| Monkey.D.Luffy (OP16-022) | Alternate-art Leader | €39.14 | €36.93 |
| Marshall.D.Teach (OP16-119) | Alternate art (parallel) | €37.57 | €35.44 |
| Cavendish (OP10-045) | Special (SP) | €36.80 | €34.71 |
| Portgas.D.Ace (OP16-001) | Alternate-art Leader | €33.60 | €31.67 |
| Marshall.D.Teach (OP16-119) | Secret Rare (SEC) | €24.89 | €23.40 |
| Yamato (OP16-098) | Alternate art (parallel) | €23.91 | €22.46 |
| Marshall.D.Teach (OP16-080) | Alternate-art Leader | €20.49 | €19.22 |
| Portgas.D.Ace (OP16-118) | Alternate art (parallel) | €20.34 | €19.07 |
| Vista (OP16-011) | Treasure Rare (TR) | €18.08 | €16.93 |
| Monkey.D.Luffy (OP16-015) | Alternate art (parallel) | €17.73 | €16.59 |
| Mr.3(Galdino) (OP16-056) | Alternate art (parallel) | €17.30 | €16.19 |
| Edward.Newgate (OP16-003) | Alternate art (parallel) | €17.26 | €16.15 |
| Buggy (OP16-041) | Alternate-art Leader | €16.79 | €15.70 |
| Boa Hancock (OP16-032) | Alternate art (parallel) | €16.73 | €15.64 |
| Sengoku (OP16-060) | Alternate-art Leader | €14.04 | €13.09 |
| Portgas.D.Ace (OP16-118) | Secret Rare (SEC) | €12.88 | €11.99 |
| Moby Dick (OP16-021) | Alternate art (parallel) | €12.28 | €11.42 |
| Kouzuki Momonosuke (OP16-085) | Alternate art (parallel) | €12.10 | €11.25 |
| Kin'emon (OP16-082) | Alternate art (parallel) | €11.10 | €10.30 |
| Sakazuki (OP16-065) | Alternate art (parallel) | €9.84 | €9.10 |
How we work this out
We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.