$4,483€4,000todayIs an Ancient Origins Elite Trainer Box worth opening?
Cardmarket today
$4,483.20€4,000
- Lowest listing
- $4,483.20€4,000
- Per pack
- $560.40€500.00
Keep it sealed$353€315 of cards inside, after selling costs
Estimated contents: nobody has published measured pull rates for this box yet, so we use those of boxes with the same pack layout. Treat the numbers as a rough guide.
Why we'd keep it sealed
The cards inside are worth $353€315 after selling costs. The box costs $4,483€4,000.
On average you lose $4,130€3,685 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.
Pull rates are still uncertain. The real value could be anywhere from $213€190 to $717€640.
If you opened 100 boxes
- 0 make money
- 100 lose money
A typical box is worth $144€129. 1 in 10 boxes is worth $1,153€1,029 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth $77€69 or less.
Ancient Origins EV: the math, per box
From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.
Per box of 8 packs
- Box price on Cardmarket
- $4,483€4,000
- Cards inside, at market prices
- $398€355
- Selling costs and bulk
- −$45−€40
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- $353€315
- Compared with the box price
- −$4,130−€3,685
From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, $0.28€0.25 per card sold, cards under $1.12€1.00 go to bulk at $0.01€0.01.
- Cards inside, at market prices
- The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
- Selling costs and bulk
- Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
- Compared with the box price
- Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.
What the box costs
Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.
- Cardmarket today
- $4,483.20€4,000$560.40€500.00 per pack
- Lowest listing
- $4,483.20€4,000
The price history starts on the day live prices switch on, and grows by one point a day.
What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth
Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.
Show as a table
| Box value | Boxes out of 100 | Result |
|---|---|---|
| $0€0 to $224€200 | 62 of 100 | Lose money |
| $224€200 to $448€400 | 15 of 100 | Lose money |
| $448€400 to $672€600 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| $672€600 to $897€800 | 7 of 100 | Lose money |
| $897€800 to $1,121€1,000 | 1 in 68 | Lose money |
| $1,121€1,000 to $1,345€1,200 | 7 of 100 | Lose money |
| $1,345€1,200 to $1,569€1,400 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $1,569€1,400 to $1,793€1,600 | 1 in 379 | Lose money |
| $1,793€1,600 to $2,017€1,800 | 1 in 157 | Lose money |
| $2,017€1,800 to $2,242€2,000 | 1 in 885 | Lose money |
| $2,242€2,000 to $2,466€2,200 | 1 in 277 | Lose money |
| $2,466€2,200 to $2,690€2,400 | 1 in 1,266 | Lose money |
| $2,690€2,400 to $2,914€2,600 | 1 in 25,000 | Lose money |
| $2,914€2,600 to $3,138€2,800 | 1 in 3,571 | Lose money |
| $3,138€2,800 to $3,362€3,000 | 1 in 12,500 | Lose money |
| $3,362€3,000 to $3,587€3,200 | 1 in 50,000 | Lose money |
| $3,587€3,200 to $3,811€3,400 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $3,811€3,400 to $4,035€3,600 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $4,035€3,600 to $4,259€3,800 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $4,259€3,800 to $4,483€4,000 | 0 of 100 | Lose money |
| $4,483€4,000 to $4,707€4,200 | 0 of 100 | Make money |
| $4,707€4,200 to $4,932€4,400 | 0 of 100 | Make money |
Where the value comes from
The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.
| Card type | How many per box | Average card after selling costs | Adds to the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare1 in 2.0 boxes | 1 in 2.0 boxes | $433.36€386.65 | |
| Pokémon-EX4.0 per box | 4.0 per box | $15.61€13.93 | |
| Full Art1.0 per box | 1.0 per box | $48.66€43.41 | |
| Reverse Holo8.0 per box | 8.0 per box | $1.26€1.13 | |
| Uncommon24 per box | 24 per box | $0.31€0.28 | |
| Common40 per box | 40 per box | $0.12€0.11 | |
| Rare / Holo Rare2.5 per box | 2.5 per box | $1.08€0.96 | |
| Total | $353€315 |
Chance of a big pull
How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.
- Full Art 66of 100 boxes Full-art Pokémon (EX, GX or V) and full-art Supporter cards. 1.0 per box$49€43 each
- Secret Rare 40of 100 boxes Cards numbered beyond the set total, such as gold or shiny full arts. 1 in 2.0 boxes$433€387 each
Show as a table
| Card type | Boxes with at least one | On average | Boxes for one specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full ArtFull-art Pokémon (EX, GX or V) and full-art Supporter cards. | 66 of 100 | 1.0 per box | 12 |
| Secret RareCards numbered beyond the set total, such as gold or shiny full arts. | 40 of 100 | 1 in 2.0 boxes | 10 |
If card prices fall
Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.
| Card prices | Cards inside, after costs | Compared with the box | Boxes that lose money | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today's prices | $353€315 | −$4,130−€3,685 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 25% lower | $259€231 | −$4,224−€3,769 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 50% lower | $171€152 | −$4,313−€3,848 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 75% lower | $83€74 | −$4,401−€3,926 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
Ancient Origins pull rates
Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026. This box's own pull rates haven't been measured, so these come from boxes with the same pack layout, with extra uncertainty added.
| Card type | How often | Likely range | Based on |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common slots, 5 per pack | |||
| Common | 40 per box | Pack layout | |
| Uncommon slots, 3 per pack | |||
| Uncommon | 24 per box | Pack layout | |
| Reverse holo slots, 1 per pack | |||
| Reverse Holo | 8.0 per box | Pack layout | |
| Rare slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Secret Rare | 1 in 2.0 boxes | 1 in 4.9 boxes to 1.2 per box | Estimate |
| Full Art | 1.0 per box | 1 in 2.2 boxes to 2.2 per box | Estimate |
| Pokémon-EX | 4.0 per box | 1.8 to 8.7 per box | Estimate |
| Rare / Holo Rare | 2.5 per box | The rest of the slot | |
Most valuable Ancient Origins cards
The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.
| Card | Card type | Cardmarket price | After selling costs |
|---|---|---|---|
| M Rayquaza EX (98) | Secret Rare | $1,163.14€1,037.78 | $1,104.71€985.64 |
| Primal Kyogre EX (96) | Secret Rare | $724.26€646.20 | $687.77€613.64 |
| Primal Groudon EX (97) | Secret Rare | $363.35€324.19 | $344.90€307.73 |
| M Ampharos EX (88) | Full Art | $214.63€191.50 | $203.62€181.68 |
| M Sceptile EX (85) | Full Art | $162.87€145.32 | $154.45€137.80 |
| M Tyranitar EX (92) | Full Art | $107.91€96.28 | $102.23€91.22 |
| Steven (95) | Full Art | $44.51€39.71 | $42.00€37.47 |
| M Ampharos EX (28) | Pokémon-EX | $32.55€29.04 | $30.64€27.34 |
| M Tyranitar EX (43) | Pokémon-EX | $32.32€28.84 | $30.43€27.15 |
| M Sceptile EX (8) | Pokémon-EX | $30.86€27.53 | $29.03€25.90 |
| Giratina EX (57) | Pokémon-EX | $24.25€21.64 | $22.76€20.31 |
| Giratina EX (93) | Full Art | $24.25€21.64 | $22.76€20.31 |
| Energy Retrieval (99) | Secret Rare | $20.01€17.85 | $18.73€16.71 |
| Lugia EX (68) | Pokémon-EX | $15.53€13.86 | $14.48€12.92 |
| Lugia EX (94) | Full Art | $15.53€13.86 | $14.48€12.92 |
| Sceptile EX (7) | Pokémon-EX | $14.40€12.85 | $13.40€11.96 |
| Sceptile EX (84) | Full Art | $14.40€12.85 | $13.40€11.96 |
| Trainers' Mail (100) | Secret Rare | $11.53€10.29 | $10.68€9.53 |
| Gardevoir (54), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | $10.65€9.50 | $9.84€8.78 |
| Gardevoir (54) | Rare / Holo Rare | $10.36€9.24 | $9.56€8.53 |
| Ampharos EX (27) | Pokémon-EX | $9.76€8.71 | $8.99€8.02 |
| Ampharos EX (87) | Full Art | $9.76€8.71 | $8.99€8.02 |
| Kyurem EX (25) | Pokémon-EX | $8.07€7.20 | $7.39€6.59 |
| Kyurem EX (86) | Full Art | $8.07€7.20 | $7.39€6.59 |
| Jolteon (26), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | $7.78€6.94 | $7.11€6.34 |
| Tyranitar EX (42) | Pokémon-EX | $7.34€6.55 | $6.69€5.97 |
| Tyranitar EX (91) | Full Art | $7.34€6.55 | $6.69€5.97 |
| Jolteon (26) | Rare / Holo Rare | $6.69€5.97 | $6.08€5.42 |
| Gyarados (20), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | $4.98€4.44 | $4.45€3.97 |
| Flareon (13), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | $4.91€4.38 | $4.38€3.91 |
How we work this out
We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.
More Pokémon boxes
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