€1,562todayIs a Lost Thunder booster display worth opening?
Cardmarket today
€1,562.04
- Lowest listing
- €1,300
- Per pack
- €43.39
Keep it sealed€362 of cards inside, after selling costs
Estimated contents: nobody has published measured pull rates for this box yet, so we use those of boxes with the same pack layout. Treat the numbers as a rough guide.
Why we'd keep it sealed
The cards inside are worth €362 after selling costs. The box costs €1,562.
On average you lose €1,200 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.
Pull rates are still uncertain. The real value could be anywhere from €315 to €473.
No prices yet for: Basic Energy. We count them as €0.
If you opened 100 boxes
- 0 make money
- 100 lose money
A typical box is worth €312. 1 in 10 boxes is worth €640 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth €229 or less.
The math, per box
From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.
Per box of 36 packs
- Box price on Cardmarket
- €1,562
- Cards inside, at market prices
- €474
- Selling costs and bulk
- −€112
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- €362
- Compared with the box price
- −€1,200
From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, €0.25 per card sold, cards under €1.00 go to bulk at €0.01.
- Cards inside, at market prices
- The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
- Selling costs and bulk
- Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
- Compared with the box price
- Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.
What the box costs
Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.
- Cardmarket today
- €1,562.04€43.39 per pack
- Lowest listing
- €1,300
- Box price on Cardmarket
- Cards inside, after selling costs
Show as a table
| Day | Box price | Cards inside, after costs |
|---|---|---|
| 15 October 2026 | €1,562.04 | €362.44 |
| 14 October 2026 | €1,562.04 | €372.64 |
What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth
Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.
Show as a table
| Box value | Boxes out of 100 | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Under €212 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| €212 to €262 | 19 of 100 | Lose money |
| €262 to €312 | 26 of 100 | Lose money |
| €312 to €362 | 20 of 100 | Lose money |
| €362 to €412 | 10 of 100 | Lose money |
| €412 to €462 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| €462 to €512 | 1 in 67 | Lose money |
| €512 to €562 | 1 in 68 | Lose money |
| €562 to €612 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| €612 to €662 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| €662 to €712 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| €712 to €762 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| €762 to €812 | 1 in 80 | Lose money |
| €812 to €862 | 1 in 190 | Lose money |
| €862 to €912 | 1 in 420 | Lose money |
| €912 to €962 | 1 in 671 | Lose money |
| €962 to €1,012 | 1 in 535 | Lose money |
| €1,012 to €1,062 | 1 in 521 | Lose money |
| €1,062 to €1,112 | 1 in 556 | Lose money |
| €1,112 to €1,162 | 1 in 585 | Lose money |
| €1,162 to €1,212 | 1 in 1,471 | Lose money |
| €1,212 to €1,262 | 1 in 3,333 | Lose money |
| €1,262 to €1,312 | 1 in 5,556 | Lose money |
| €1,312 to €1,362 | 1 in 10,000 | Lose money |
| €1,362 to €1,412 | 1 in 12,500 | Lose money |
| €1,412 to €1,462 | 1 in 7,143 | Lose money |
| €1,462 to €1,512 | 1 in 14,286 | Lose money |
| €1,512 to €1,562 | 1 in 14,286 | Lose money |
| €1,562 to €1,612 | 1 in 50,000 | Make money |
| €1,612 to €1,662 | 0 of 100 | Make money |
| €1,662 or more | 1 in 33,333 | Make money |
Where the value comes from
The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.
| Card type | How many per box | Average card after selling costs | Adds to the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full Art2.0 per box | 2.0 per box | €45.63 | |
| Reverse Holo36 per box | 36 per box | €2.22 | |
| Rare / Holo Rare29 per box | 29 per box | €2.50 | |
| Pokémon-GX4.0 per box | 4.0 per box | €11.04 | |
| Rainbow Rare1 in 1.4 boxes | 1 in 1.4 boxes | €55.41 | |
| Common180 per box | 180 per box | €0.11 | |
| Uncommon108 per box | 108 per box | €0.10 | |
| Gold Secret Rare1 in 2.0 boxes | 1 in 2.0 boxes | €12.07 | |
| Basic Energy36 per box | 36 per box | No price yet | |
| Total | €362 |
Chance of a big pull
How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.
- Full Art 87of 100 boxes Full-art Pokémon (EX, GX or V) and full-art Supporter cards. 2.0 per box€46 each
- Rainbow Rare 51of 100 boxes Rainbow-foil secret rare versions of GX, V, VMAX and Supporter cards. 1 in 1.4 boxes€55 each
Show as a table
| Card type | Boxes with at least one | On average | Boxes for one specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full ArtFull-art Pokémon (EX, GX or V) and full-art Supporter cards. | 87 of 100 | 2.0 per box | 9.5 |
| Rainbow RareRainbow-foil secret rare versions of GX, V, VMAX and Supporter cards. | 51 of 100 | 1 in 1.4 boxes | 19 |
If card prices fall
Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.
| Card prices | Cards inside, after costs | Compared with the box | Boxes that lose money | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today's prices | €362 | −€1,200 | more than 99 of 100 boxes | Keep it sealed |
| 25% lower | €262 | −€1,300 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 50% lower | €161 | −€1,401 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 75% lower | €70 | −€1,493 | 100 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
Pull rates we used
Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026. This box's own pull rates haven't been measured, so these come from boxes with the same pack layout, with extra uncertainty added.
| Card type | How often | Likely range | Based on |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common slots, 5 per pack | |||
| Common | 180 per box | Pack layout | |
| Uncommon slots, 3 per pack | |||
| Uncommon | 108 per box | Pack layout | |
| Reverse holo slots, 1 per pack | |||
| Reverse Holo | 36 per box | Pack layout | |
| Rare slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Gold Secret Rare | 1 in 2.0 boxes | 1 in 4.9 boxes to 1.2 per box | Estimate |
| Rainbow Rare | 1 in 1.4 boxes | 1 in 3.5 boxes to 1.7 per box | Estimate |
| Full Art | 2.0 per box | 1 in 1.1 boxes to 4.4 per box | Estimate |
| Pokémon-GX | 4.0 per box | 1.8 to 8.7 per box | Estimate |
| Rare / Holo Rare | 29 per box | The rest of the slot | |
| Energy slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Basic Energy | 36 per box | Pack layout | |
Most valuable cards
The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.
| Card | Card type | Cardmarket price | After selling costs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lugia GX (207) | Full Art | €438.88 | €416.69 |
| Lugia GX (227) | Rainbow Rare | €313.85 | €297.91 |
| Mimikyu GX (226) | Rainbow Rare | €95.35 | €90.33 |
| Tyranitar GX (203) | Full Art | €73.96 | €70.01 |
| Suicune GX (220) | Rainbow Rare | €72.23 | €68.37 |
| Whitney (214) | Full Art | €65.19 | €61.68 |
| Tyranitar GX (223) | Rainbow Rare | €61.17 | €57.86 |
| Mimikyu GX (206) | Full Art | €53.19 | €50.28 |
| Lugia GX (159) | Pokémon-GX | €51.12 | €48.31 |
| Mina (211) | Full Art | €46.93 | €44.33 |
| Zeraora GX (221) | Rainbow Rare | €46.14 | €43.58 |
| Sceptile GX (216) | Rainbow Rare | €36.69 | €34.61 |
| Alolan Ninetales GX (225) | Rainbow Rare | €35.85 | €33.81 |
| Judge (209) | Full Art | €33.08 | €31.18 |
| Nihilego (106), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | €27.62 | €25.99 |
| Zeraora GX (201) | Full Art | €25.50 | €23.97 |
| Kahili (210) | Full Art | €25.34 | €23.82 |
| Sceptile GX (196) | Full Art | €24.53 | €23.05 |
| Shuckle GX (215) | Rainbow Rare | €24.39 | €22.92 |
| Net Ball (234) | Gold Secret Rare | €23.91 | €22.46 |
| Suicune GX (200) | Full Art | €23.14 | €21.73 |
| Blacephalon GX (199) | Full Art | €21.72 | €20.38 |
| Blacephalon GX (219) | Rainbow Rare | €21.72 | €20.38 |
| Alolan Ninetales GX (205) | Full Art | €21.40 | €20.08 |
| Nihilego (106) | Rare / Holo Rare | €20.93 | €19.63 |
| Counter Gain (230) | Gold Secret Rare | €20.12 | €18.86 |
| Slowpoke (54), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | €19.56 | €18.33 |
| Umbreon (120), reverse holo | Reverse Holo | €18.70 | €17.51 |
| Alolan Ninetales GX (132) | Pokémon-GX | €18.49 | €17.32 |
| Mimikyu GX (149) | Pokémon-GX | €17.74 | €16.60 |
How we work this out
We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.