Magic Conspiracy: Take the Crown Draft Booster display€174today

Is a Conspiracy: Take the Crown Draft Booster display worth opening?

Magic. 36 packs of 15 cards. Released 26 August 2016. Prices from 15 October 2026.

Cardmarket today

€174.10

Lowest listing
€159.95
Per pack
€4.84

Keep it sealed€88 of cards inside, after selling costs

Estimated contents: nobody has published measured pull rates for this box yet, so we use those of boxes with the same pack layout. Treat the numbers as a rough guide.

See the mathPrice history

Why we'd keep it sealed

The cards inside are worth €88 after selling costs. The box costs €174.

On average you lose €87 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.

Some pull rates are estimates, so the real value is likely between €83 and €97.

No prices yet for: Basic land. We count them as €0.

If you opened 100 boxes

  • 1 make money
  • 99 lose money

A typical box is worth €85. 1 in 10 boxes is worth €123 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth €56 or less.

The math, per box

From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.

Per box of 36 packs

Box price on Cardmarket
€174
Cards inside, at market prices
€152
Selling costs and bulk
−€64
Cards inside, after selling costs
€88
Compared with the box price
−€87

From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, €0.25 per card sold, cards under €1.00 go to bulk at €0.01.

Cards inside, at market prices
The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
Selling costs and bulk
Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
Cards inside, after selling costs
What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
Compared with the box price
Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.

What the box costs

Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.

Cardmarket today
€174.10€4.84 per pack
Lowest listing
€159.95
  • Box price on Cardmarket
  • Cards inside, after selling costs
Box price and the cards inside, day by dayFrom 14 Oct to 15 Oct, the box price went from €171 to €174, and the cards inside, after selling costs, from €87 to €88.€50€100€150€200Box€174Cards€8814 Oct15 Oct14 Oct: box €171, cards €8715 Oct: box €174, cards €88Box price and the cards inside, day by dayFrom 14 Oct to 15 Oct, the box price went from €171 to €174, and the cards inside, after selling costs, from €87 to €88.€50€100€150€200Box€174Cards€8814 Oct15 Oct14 Oct: box €171, cards €8715 Oct: box €174, cards €88
On days when the cards line sits above the box line, an average box was worth more than it cost. Selling costs use our defaults.
Show as a table
DayBox priceCards inside, after costs
15 October 2026€174.10€87.57
14 October 2026€170.76€87.33

What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth

Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.

Value of 100,000 simulated boxes99 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of €174.Box price €174Lose money02468€50€100€150€184+Boxes out of 100Under €34: 1 in 292 boxes€34 to €39: 1 in 157 boxes€39 to €44: 1 in 74 boxes€44 to €49: 2 of 100 boxes€49 to €54: 3 of 100 boxes€54 to €59: 5 of 100 boxes€59 to €64: 6 of 100 boxes€64 to €69: 7 of 100 boxes€69 to €74: 8 of 100 boxes€74 to €79: 8 of 100 boxes€79 to €84: 8 of 100 boxes€84 to €89: 8 of 100 boxes€89 to €94: 7 of 100 boxes€94 to €99: 6 of 100 boxes€99 to €104: 6 of 100 boxes€104 to €109: 5 of 100 boxes€109 to €114: 4 of 100 boxes€114 to €119: 3 of 100 boxes€119 to €124: 3 of 100 boxes€124 to €129: 2 of 100 boxes€129 to €134: 2 of 100 boxes€134 to €139: 1 in 74 boxes€139 to €144: 1 in 100 boxes€144 to €149: 1 in 128 boxes€149 to €154: 1 in 180 boxes€154 to €159: 1 in 217 boxes€159 to €164: 1 in 279 boxes€164 to €169: 1 in 413 boxes€169 to €174: 1 in 535 boxes€174 to €179: 1 in 787 boxes€179 to €184: 1 in 943 boxes€184 or more: 1 in 370 boxesValue of 100,000 simulated boxes99 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of €174.Box price €174Lose money02468€50€100€150€184+Boxes out of 100Under €34: 1 in 292 boxes€34 to €39: 1 in 157 boxes€39 to €44: 1 in 74 boxes€44 to €49: 2 of 100 boxes€49 to €54: 3 of 100 boxes€54 to €59: 5 of 100 boxes€59 to €64: 6 of 100 boxes€64 to €69: 7 of 100 boxes€69 to €74: 8 of 100 boxes€74 to €79: 8 of 100 boxes€79 to €84: 8 of 100 boxes€84 to €89: 8 of 100 boxes€89 to €94: 7 of 100 boxes€94 to €99: 6 of 100 boxes€99 to €104: 6 of 100 boxes€104 to €109: 5 of 100 boxes€109 to €114: 4 of 100 boxes€114 to €119: 3 of 100 boxes€119 to €124: 3 of 100 boxes€124 to €129: 2 of 100 boxes€129 to €134: 2 of 100 boxes€134 to €139: 1 in 74 boxes€139 to €144: 1 in 100 boxes€144 to €149: 1 in 128 boxes€149 to €154: 1 in 180 boxes€154 to €159: 1 in 217 boxes€159 to €164: 1 in 279 boxes€164 to €169: 1 in 413 boxes€169 to €174: 1 in 535 boxes€174 to €179: 1 in 787 boxes€179 to €184: 1 in 943 boxes€184 or more: 1 in 370 boxes
Each bar covers €5 of box value. Bars right of the line are boxes worth at least what you paid.
Show as a table
Box valueBoxes out of 100Result
Under €341 in 292Lose money
€34 to €391 in 157Lose money
€39 to €441 in 74Lose money
€44 to €492 of 100Lose money
€49 to €543 of 100Lose money
€54 to €595 of 100Lose money
€59 to €646 of 100Lose money
€64 to €697 of 100Lose money
€69 to €748 of 100Lose money
€74 to €798 of 100Lose money
€79 to €848 of 100Lose money
€84 to €898 of 100Lose money
€89 to €947 of 100Lose money
€94 to €996 of 100Lose money
€99 to €1046 of 100Lose money
€104 to €1095 of 100Lose money
€109 to €1144 of 100Lose money
€114 to €1193 of 100Lose money
€119 to €1243 of 100Lose money
€124 to €1292 of 100Lose money
€129 to €1342 of 100Lose money
€134 to €1391 in 74Lose money
€139 to €1441 in 100Lose money
€144 to €1491 in 128Lose money
€149 to €1541 in 180Lose money
€154 to €1591 in 217Lose money
€159 to €1641 in 279Lose money
€164 to €1691 in 413Lose money
€169 to €1741 in 535Lose money
€174 to €1791 in 787Make money
€179 to €1841 in 943Make money
€184 or more1 in 370Make money

Where the value comes from

The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.

Card typeHow many per boxAverage card after selling costsAdds to the box
Rare32 per box32 per box€1.34€42
Mythic rare4.5 per box4.5 per box€4.14€19
Uncommon108 per box108 per box€0.11€12
Foil rare1.1 per box1.1 per box€4.91€5.21
Common352 per box352 per box€0.01€3.52
Foil mythic rare1 in 6.6 boxes1 in 6.6 boxes€20.84€3.17
Foil uncommon2.0 per box2.0 per box€0.92€1.85
Foil common4.9 per box4.9 per box€0.19€0.92
Basic land36 per box36 per boxNo price yet€0.00
Total€88

Chance of a big pull

How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.

Show as a table
Card typeBoxes with at least oneOn averageBoxes for one specific card
Mythic rare99 of 1004.5 per box3.1
Foil rare65 of 1001.1 per box47
Foil mythic rare14 of 1001 in 6.6 boxes99

If card prices fall

Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.

Card pricesCards inside, after costsCompared with the boxBoxes that lose moneyVerdict
Today's prices€88−€8799 of 100Keep it sealed
25% lower€65−€109more than 99 of 100 boxesKeep it sealed
50% lower€39−€135100 of 100Keep it sealed
75% lower€19−€156100 of 100Keep it sealed

Pull rates we used

Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026. This box's own pull rates haven't been measured, so these come from boxes with the same pack layout, with extra uncertainty added.

Card typeHow oftenLikely rangeBased on
Common slots, 10 per pack
Foil mythic rare1 in 6.6 boxes1 in 3.6 to 12 boxesEstimate, mtg.wtf (magic-search-engine) pack model: Conflux Draft Booster (foil in 9/40 packs; foil sheet 60% C, 25% U, 13.1% R, 1.9% M)
Foil rare1.1 per box1 in 1.6 boxes to 1.8 per boxEstimate, mtg.wtf (magic-search-engine) pack model: Conflux Draft Booster (foil in 9/40 packs; foil sheet 60% C, 25% U, 13.1% R, 1.9% M)
Foil uncommon2.0 per box1.2 to 3.5 per boxEstimate, mtg.wtf (magic-search-engine) pack model: Conflux Draft Booster (foil in 9/40 packs; foil sheet 60% C, 25% U, 13.1% R, 1.9% M)
Foil common4.9 per box2.8 to 8.4 per boxEstimate, mtg.wtf (magic-search-engine) pack model: Conflux Draft Booster (foil in 9/40 packs; foil sheet 60% C, 25% U, 13.1% R, 1.9% M)
Common352 per boxThe rest of the slot
Uncommon slots, 3 per pack
Uncommon108 per boxPack layout
Rare slot, 1 per pack
Mythic rare4.5 per box2.9 to 7.0 per boxEstimate, Wizards of the Coast, Mark Rosewater: "The Year of Living Changerously" (2 June 2008), mythic rares and the new booster layout from Shards of Alara
Rare32 per boxThe rest of the slot
Land slot, 1 per pack
Basic land36 per boxPack layout

Most valuable cards

The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.

CardCard typeCardmarket priceAfter selling costs
Selvala, Heart of the Wilds (foil)Foil mythic rare€67.85€64.21
Expropriate (foil)Foil mythic rare€54.00€51.05
Burgeoning (foil)Foil rare€38.78€36.59
Recruiter of the Guard (foil)Foil rare€33.97€32.02
Kaya, Ghost Assassin (foil)Foil mythic rare€32.75€30.86
Show and Tell (foil)Foil mythic rare€29.06€27.36
Berserk (foil)Foil mythic rare€27.82€26.18
Leovold, Emissary of Trest (foil)Foil mythic rare€24.59€23.11
Daretti, Ingenious Iconoclast (foil)Foil mythic rare€22.48€21.11
BurgeoningRare€22.07€20.72
Queen Marchesa (foil)Foil mythic rare€21.78€20.44
Horn of Greed (foil)Foil rare€21.16€19.85
Stunt Double (foil)Foil rare€20.67€19.39
Selvala's Stampede (foil)Foil rare€19.17€17.96
Kaya, Ghost Assassin (foil)Foil mythic rare€16.75€15.66
Birds of Paradise (foil)Foil rare€13.12€12.21
BerserkMythic rare€12.48€11.61
ExpropriateMythic rare€11.30€10.49
Kami of the Crescent Moon (foil)Foil rare€11.24€10.43
Ghostly Prison (foil)Foil uncommon€11.02€10.22
Exotic Orchard (foil)Foil rare€10.89€10.10
Show and TellMythic rare€10.69€9.91
Horn of GreedRare€9.92€9.17
Custodi Lich (foil)Foil rare€9.00€8.30
Birds of ParadiseRare€8.88€8.19
Platinum Angel (foil)Foil mythic rare€7.81€7.17
Flame Slash (foil)Foil common€7.38€6.76
Adriana, Captain of the Guard (foil)Foil rare€7.34€6.72
Subterranean Tremors (foil)Foil mythic rare€7.30€6.69
Sovereign's Realm (foil)Foil mythic rare€7.14€6.53

How we work this out

We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.

Read the full method