Magic Shadows over Innistrad Draft Booster display€143today

Is a Shadows over Innistrad Draft Booster display worth opening?

Magic. 36 packs of 15 cards. Released 8 April 2016. Prices from 15 October 2026.

Cardmarket today

€143.29

Lowest listing
€82.99
Per pack
€3.98

Keep it sealed€27 of cards inside, after selling costs

Estimated contents: nobody has published measured pull rates for this box yet, so we use those of boxes with the same pack layout. Treat the numbers as a rough guide.

See the mathPrice history

Why we'd keep it sealed

The cards inside are worth €27 after selling costs. The box costs €143.

On average you lose €116 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.

These pull rates are estimates, but the box's value hardly depends on them: it's likely between €26 and €29.

If you opened 100 boxes

  • 0 make money
  • 100 lose money

A typical box is worth €26. 1 in 10 boxes is worth €40 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth €16 or less.

The math, per box

From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.

Per box of 36 packs

Box price on Cardmarket
€143
Cards inside, at market prices
€81
Selling costs and bulk
−€54
Cards inside, after selling costs
€27
Compared with the box price
−€116

From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, €0.25 per card sold, cards under €1.00 go to bulk at €0.01.

Cards inside, at market prices
The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
Selling costs and bulk
Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
Cards inside, after selling costs
What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
Compared with the box price
Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.

What the box costs

Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.

Cardmarket today
€143.29€3.98 per pack
Lowest listing
€82.99
  • Box price on Cardmarket
  • Cards inside, after selling costs
Box price and the cards inside, day by dayFrom 14 Oct to 15 Oct, the box price went from €143 to €143, and the cards inside, after selling costs, from €27 to €27.€0€50€100€150€200Box€143Cards€2714 Oct15 Oct14 Oct: box €143, cards €2715 Oct: box €143, cards €27Box price and the cards inside, day by dayFrom 14 Oct to 15 Oct, the box price went from €143 to €143, and the cards inside, after selling costs, from €27 to €27.€0€50€100€150€200Box€143Cards€2714 Oct15 Oct14 Oct: box €143, cards €2715 Oct: box €143, cards €27
On days when the cards line sits above the box line, an average box was worth more than it cost. Selling costs use our defaults.
Show as a table
DayBox priceCards inside, after costs
15 October 2026€143.29€27.05
14 October 2026€143.29€26.74

What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth

Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.

Value of 100,000 simulated boxes100 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of €143.Box price €143Lose money0102030€25€50€75€100€125€150Boxes out of 100Under €13: 5 of 100 boxes€13 to €18: 13 of 100 boxes€18 to €23: 20 of 100 boxes€23 to €28: 21 of 100 boxes€28 to €33: 17 of 100 boxes€33 to €38: 11 of 100 boxes€38 to €43: 6 of 100 boxes€43 to €48: 3 of 100 boxes€48 to €53: 2 of 100 boxes€53 to €58: 1 in 168 boxes€58 to €63: 1 in 407 boxes€63 to €68: 1 in 1,370 boxes€68 to €73: 1 in 3,571 boxes€73 to €78: 1 in 7,692 boxes€78 to €83: 1 in 33,333 boxes€83 to €88: 0 of 100 boxes€88 to €93: 0 of 100 boxes€93 to €98: 0 of 100 boxes€98 to €103: 0 of 100 boxes€103 to €108: 0 of 100 boxes€108 to €113: 0 of 100 boxes€113 to €118: 0 of 100 boxes€118 to €123: 0 of 100 boxes€123 to €128: 0 of 100 boxes€128 to €133: 0 of 100 boxes€133 to €138: 0 of 100 boxes€138 to €143: 0 of 100 boxes€143 to €148: 0 of 100 boxes€148 to €153: 0 of 100 boxes€153 to €158: 0 of 100 boxesValue of 100,000 simulated boxes100 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of €143.Box price €143Lose money0102030€50€100€150Boxes out of 100Under €13: 5 of 100 boxes€13 to €18: 13 of 100 boxes€18 to €23: 20 of 100 boxes€23 to €28: 21 of 100 boxes€28 to €33: 17 of 100 boxes€33 to €38: 11 of 100 boxes€38 to €43: 6 of 100 boxes€43 to €48: 3 of 100 boxes€48 to €53: 2 of 100 boxes€53 to €58: 1 in 168 boxes€58 to €63: 1 in 407 boxes€63 to €68: 1 in 1,370 boxes€68 to €73: 1 in 3,571 boxes€73 to €78: 1 in 7,692 boxes€78 to €83: 1 in 33,333 boxes€83 to €88: 0 of 100 boxes€88 to €93: 0 of 100 boxes€93 to €98: 0 of 100 boxes€98 to €103: 0 of 100 boxes€103 to €108: 0 of 100 boxes€108 to €113: 0 of 100 boxes€113 to €118: 0 of 100 boxes€118 to €123: 0 of 100 boxes€123 to €128: 0 of 100 boxes€128 to €133: 0 of 100 boxes€133 to €138: 0 of 100 boxes€138 to €143: 0 of 100 boxes€143 to €148: 0 of 100 boxes€148 to €153: 0 of 100 boxes€153 to €158: 0 of 100 boxes
Each bar covers €5 of box value. Bars right of the line are boxes worth at least what you paid.
Show as a table
Box valueBoxes out of 100Result
Under €135 of 100Lose money
€13 to €1813 of 100Lose money
€18 to €2320 of 100Lose money
€23 to €2821 of 100Lose money
€28 to €3317 of 100Lose money
€33 to €3811 of 100Lose money
€38 to €436 of 100Lose money
€43 to €483 of 100Lose money
€48 to €532 of 100Lose money
€53 to €581 in 168Lose money
€58 to €631 in 407Lose money
€63 to €681 in 1,370Lose money
€68 to €731 in 3,571Lose money
€73 to €781 in 7,692Lose money
€78 to €831 in 33,333Lose money
€83 to €880 of 100Lose money
€88 to €930 of 100Lose money
€93 to €980 of 100Lose money
€98 to €1030 of 100Lose money
€103 to €1080 of 100Lose money
€108 to €1130 of 100Lose money
€113 to €1180 of 100Lose money
€118 to €1230 of 100Lose money
€123 to €1280 of 100Lose money
€128 to €1330 of 100Lose money
€133 to €1380 of 100Lose money
€138 to €1430 of 100Lose money
€143 to €1480 of 100Make money
€148 to €1530 of 100Make money
€153 to €1580 of 100Make money

Where the value comes from

The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.

Card typeHow many per boxAverage card after selling costsAdds to the box
Rare32 per box32 per box€0.37€12
Uncommon108 per box108 per box€0.04€4.28
Mythic rare4.5 per box4.5 per box€0.94€4.21
Common352 per box352 per box€0.01€3.52
Foil rare1.1 per box1.1 per box€1.04€1.11
Foil common4.9 per box4.9 per box€0.19€0.92
Foil uncommon2.0 per box2.0 per box€0.32€0.64
Foil mythic rare1 in 6.6 boxes1 in 6.6 boxes€3.14€0.48
Basic land36 per box36 per box€0.01€0.36
Total€27

Chance of a big pull

How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.

Show as a table
Card typeBoxes with at least oneOn averageBoxes for one specific card
Mythic rare99 of 1004.5 per box4.0
Foil rare65 of 1001.1 per box56
Foil mythic rare14 of 1001 in 6.6 boxes118

If card prices fall

Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.

Card pricesCards inside, after costsCompared with the boxBoxes that lose moneyVerdict
Today's prices€27−€116100 of 100Keep it sealed
25% lower€20−€124100 of 100Keep it sealed
50% lower€13−€130100 of 100Keep it sealed
75% lower€8−€135100 of 100Keep it sealed

Pull rates we used

Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026. This box's own pull rates haven't been measured, so these come from boxes with the same pack layout, with extra uncertainty added.

Card typeHow oftenLikely rangeBased on
Common slots, 10 per pack
Foil mythic rare1 in 6.6 boxes1 in 3.6 to 12 boxesEstimate, mtg.wtf (magic-search-engine) pack model: Conflux Draft Booster (foil in 9/40 packs; foil sheet 60% C, 25% U, 13.1% R, 1.9% M)
Foil rare1.1 per box1 in 1.6 boxes to 1.8 per boxEstimate, mtg.wtf (magic-search-engine) pack model: Conflux Draft Booster (foil in 9/40 packs; foil sheet 60% C, 25% U, 13.1% R, 1.9% M)
Foil uncommon2.0 per box1.2 to 3.5 per boxEstimate, mtg.wtf (magic-search-engine) pack model: Conflux Draft Booster (foil in 9/40 packs; foil sheet 60% C, 25% U, 13.1% R, 1.9% M)
Foil common4.9 per box2.8 to 8.4 per boxEstimate, mtg.wtf (magic-search-engine) pack model: Conflux Draft Booster (foil in 9/40 packs; foil sheet 60% C, 25% U, 13.1% R, 1.9% M)
Common352 per boxThe rest of the slot
Uncommon slots, 3 per pack
Uncommon108 per boxPack layout
Rare slot, 1 per pack
Mythic rare4.5 per box2.9 to 7.0 per boxEstimate, Wizards of the Coast, Mark Rosewater: "The Year of Living Changerously" (2 June 2008), mythic rares and the new booster layout from Shards of Alara
Rare32 per boxThe rest of the slot
Land slot, 1 per pack
Basic land36 per boxPack layout

Most valuable cards

The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.

CardCard typeCardmarket priceAfter selling costs
Relentless Dead (foil)Foil mythic rare€13.74€12.80
Alms of the Vein (foil)Foil common€13.61€12.68
Relentless DeadMythic rare€10.40€9.63
Eerie Interlude (foil)Foil rare€7.71€7.07
Cryptolith Rite (foil)Foil rare€7.32€6.70
Diregraf Colossus (foil)Foil rare€7.18€6.57
Cryptolith RiteRare€6.85€6.26
The Gitrog Monster (foil)Foil mythic rare€6.63€6.05
Archangel Avacyn // Avacyn, the Purifier (foil)Foil mythic rare€6.58€6.00
Eerie InterludeRare€6.00€5.45
Open the Armory (foil)Foil uncommon€5.32€4.80
Westvale Abbey // Ormendahl, Profane Prince (foil)Foil rare€5.31€4.79
Jace, Unraveler of Secrets (foil)Foil mythic rare€5.10€4.60
Ulvenwald Hydra (foil)Foil mythic rare€4.79€4.30
Duskwatch Recruiter // Krallenhorde Howler (foil)Foil uncommon€4.75€4.26
Tamiyo's Journal (foil)Foil rare€4.38€3.91
Essence Flux (foil)Foil uncommon€4.28€3.82
Diregraf ColossusRare€4.11€3.65
Anguished Unmaking (foil)Foil rare€4.01€3.56
Sorin, Grim Nemesis (foil)Foil mythic rare€3.78€3.34
Behold the Beyond (foil)Foil mythic rare€3.37€2.95
Thalia's Lieutenant (foil)Foil rare€3.31€2.89
Second Harvest (foil)Foil rare€3.22€2.81
Nahiri, the Harbinger (foil)Foil mythic rare€3.11€2.70
Startled Awake // Persistent Nightmare (foil)Foil mythic rare€2.92€2.52
Arlinn Kord // Arlinn, Embraced by the Moon (foil)Foil mythic rare€2.69€2.31
Open the ArmoryUncommon€2.67€2.29
Sigarda, Heron's Grace (foil)Foil mythic rare€2.60€2.22
Seasons Past (foil)Foil mythic rare€2.56€2.18
Insolent Neonate (foil)Foil common€2.54€2.16

How we work this out

We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.

Read the full method