Magic artwork$71€63today

Is an Eldritch Moon bundle worth opening?

Magic. 9 packs of 15 cards. Released July 22, 2016. Prices from October 15, 2026.

Market price today

$71.05€63.39

Lowest listing
$67.25€60
Per pack
$7.89€7.04

Keep it sealed$11€10 of cards inside, after selling costs

Estimated contents: nobody has published measured pull rates for this box yet, so we use those of boxes with the same pack layout. Treat the numbers as a rough guide.

See the mathPrice history

Why we'd keep it sealed

The cards inside are worth $11€10 after selling costs. The box costs $71€63.

On average you lose $60€54 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.

Pull rates are still uncertain. The real value could be anywhere from $10€9 to $14€12.

No prices yet for: Basic land. We count them as worth nothing.

If you opened 100 boxes

  • 0 make money
  • 100 lose money

A typical box is worth $6€6. 1 in 10 boxes is worth $26€24 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth $2€2 or less.

Eldritch Moon EV: the math, per box

From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.

Per box of 9 packs

Box price today
$71€63
Cards inside, at market prices
$26€23
Selling costs and bulk
−$15−€14
Cards inside, after selling costs
$11€10
Compared with the box price
−$60−€54

From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, $0.28€0.25 per card sold, cards under $1.12€1.00 go to bulk at $0.01€0.01.

Cards inside, at market prices
The average value of everything in a box, with each card at today's market price.
Selling costs and bulk
Marketplace fees and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
Cards inside, after selling costs
What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
Compared with the box price
Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.

What the box costs

Today's market price, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.

Market price today
$71.05€63.39$7.89€7.04 per pack
Lowest listing
$67.25€60

The price history starts on the day live prices switch on, and grows by one point a day.

What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth

Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.

Value of 100,000 simulated boxes100 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of $71.Box price $71€63Lose money0102030$20$40$60$77+€20€40€60€68+Boxes out of 100$1 to $4: 27 of 100 boxes$4 to $7: 26 of 100 boxes$7 to $9: 12 of 100 boxes$9 to $12: 4 of 100 boxes$12 to $15: 1 in 88 boxes$15 to $18: 4 of 100 boxes$18 to $21: 8 of 100 boxes$21 to $23: 5 of 100 boxes$23 to $26: 3 of 100 boxes$26 to $29: 3 of 100 boxes$29 to $32: 2 of 100 boxes$32 to $35: 1 in 68 boxes$35 to $37: 1 in 105 boxes$37 to $40: 1 in 243 boxes$40 to $43: 1 in 134 boxes$43 to $46: 1 in 163 boxes$46 to $49: 1 in 290 boxes$49 to $51: 1 in 355 boxes$51 to $54: 1 in 676 boxes$54 to $57: 1 in 1,136 boxes$57 to $60: 1 in 1,031 boxes$60 to $63: 1 in 1,639 boxes$63 to $65: 1 in 4,000 boxes$65 to $68: 1 in 2,326 boxes$68 to $71: 1 in 3,333 boxes$71 to $74: 1 in 8,333 boxes$74 to $77: 1 in 7,143 boxes$77 or more: 1 in 5,263 boxesValue of 100,000 simulated boxes100 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of $71.Box price $71€63Lose money0102030$20$40$60$77+€20€40€60Boxes out of 100$1 to $4: 27 of 100 boxes$4 to $7: 26 of 100 boxes$7 to $9: 12 of 100 boxes$9 to $12: 4 of 100 boxes$12 to $15: 1 in 88 boxes$15 to $18: 4 of 100 boxes$18 to $21: 8 of 100 boxes$21 to $23: 5 of 100 boxes$23 to $26: 3 of 100 boxes$26 to $29: 3 of 100 boxes$29 to $32: 2 of 100 boxes$32 to $35: 1 in 68 boxes$35 to $37: 1 in 105 boxes$37 to $40: 1 in 243 boxes$40 to $43: 1 in 134 boxes$43 to $46: 1 in 163 boxes$46 to $49: 1 in 290 boxes$49 to $51: 1 in 355 boxes$51 to $54: 1 in 676 boxes$54 to $57: 1 in 1,136 boxes$57 to $60: 1 in 1,031 boxes$60 to $63: 1 in 1,639 boxes$63 to $65: 1 in 4,000 boxes$65 to $68: 1 in 2,326 boxes$68 to $71: 1 in 3,333 boxes$71 to $74: 1 in 8,333 boxes$74 to $77: 1 in 7,143 boxes$77 or more: 1 in 5,263 boxes
Each bar covers $3€3 of box value. Bars right of the line are boxes worth at least what you paid.
Show as a table
Box valueBoxes out of 100Result
$1€1 to $4€327 of 100Lose money
$4€3 to $7€626 of 100Lose money
$7€6 to $9€812 of 100Lose money
$9€8 to $12€114 of 100Lose money
$12€11 to $15€131 in 88Lose money
$15€13 to $18€164 of 100Lose money
$18€16 to $21€188 of 100Lose money
$21€18 to $23€215 of 100Lose money
$23€21 to $26€233 of 100Lose money
$26€23 to $29€263 of 100Lose money
$29€26 to $32€282 of 100Lose money
$32€28 to $35€311 in 68Lose money
$35€31 to $37€331 in 105Lose money
$37€33 to $40€361 in 243Lose money
$40€36 to $43€381 in 134Lose money
$43€38 to $46€411 in 163Lose money
$46€41 to $49€431 in 290Lose money
$49€43 to $51€461 in 355Lose money
$51€46 to $54€481 in 676Lose money
$54€48 to $57€511 in 1,136Lose money
$57€51 to $60€531 in 1,031Lose money
$60€53 to $63€561 in 1,639Lose money
$63€56 to $65€581 in 4,000Lose money
$65€58 to $68€611 in 2,326Lose money
$68€61 to $71€631 in 3,333Lose money
$71€63 to $74€661 in 8,333Make money
$74€66 to $77€681 in 7,143Make money
$77€68 or more1 in 5,263Make money

Where the value comes from

The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.

Card typeHow many per boxAverage card after selling costsAdds to the box
Mythic rare1.1 per box1.1 per box$3.94€3.52$4.44€3.96
Rare7.9 per box7.9 per box$0.54€0.48$4.26€3.80
Common88 per box88 per box$0.01€0.01$0.99€0.88
Foil rare1 in 3.8 boxes1 in 3.8 boxes$1.56€1.39$0.41€0.37
Foil mythic rare1 in 26 boxes1 in 26 boxes$8.32€7.42$0.32€0.28
Uncommon27 per box27 per box$0.01€0.01$0.30€0.27
Foil common1.2 per box1.2 per box$0.12€0.10$0.14€0.12
Foil uncommon1 in 2.0 boxes1 in 2.0 boxes$0.17€0.15$0.09€0.08
Basic land9.0 per box9.0 per boxNo price yet$0.00€0.00
Total$11€10

Chance of a big pull

How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.

Show as a table
Card typeBoxes with at least oneOn averageBoxes for one specific card
Mythic rare70 of 1001.1 per box12
Foil rare23 of 1001 in 3.8 boxes181
Foil mythic rare4 of 1001 in 26 boxes369

If card prices fall

Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.

Card pricesCards inside, after costsCompared with the boxBoxes that lose moneyVerdict
Today's prices$11€10−$60−€54more than 99 of 100 boxesKeep it sealed
25% lower$8€7−$63−€56100 of 100Keep it sealed
50% lower$5€5−$66−€59100 of 100Keep it sealed
75% lower$3€3−$68−€61100 of 100Keep it sealed

Eldritch Moon pull rates

Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on October 14, 2026. This box's own pull rates haven't been measured, so these come from boxes with the same pack layout, with extra uncertainty added.

Card typeHow oftenLikely rangeBased on
Common slots, 10 per pack
Foil mythic rare1 in 26 boxes1 in 15 to 48 boxesEstimate, mtg.wtf (magic-search-engine) pack model: Conflux Draft Booster (foil in 9/40 packs; foil sheet 60% C, 25% U, 13.1% R, 1.9% M)
Foil rare1 in 3.8 boxes1 in 2.2 to 6.5 boxesEstimate, mtg.wtf (magic-search-engine) pack model: Conflux Draft Booster (foil in 9/40 packs; foil sheet 60% C, 25% U, 13.1% R, 1.9% M)
Foil uncommon1 in 2.0 boxes1 in 1.1 to 3.4 boxesEstimate, mtg.wtf (magic-search-engine) pack model: Conflux Draft Booster (foil in 9/40 packs; foil sheet 60% C, 25% U, 13.1% R, 1.9% M)
Foil common1.2 per box1 in 1.4 boxes to 2.1 per boxEstimate, mtg.wtf (magic-search-engine) pack model: Conflux Draft Booster (foil in 9/40 packs; foil sheet 60% C, 25% U, 13.1% R, 1.9% M)
Common88 per boxThe rest of the slot
Uncommon slots, 3 per pack
Uncommon27 per boxPack layout
Rare slot, 1 per pack
Mythic rare1.1 per box1 in 1.4 boxes to 1.8 per boxEstimate, Wizards of the Coast, Mark Rosewater: "The Year of Living Changerously" (2 June 2008), mythic rares and the new booster layout from Shards of Alara
Rare7.9 per boxThe rest of the slot
Land slot, 1 per pack
Basic land9.0 per boxPack layout

Most valuable Eldritch Moon cards

The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.

CardCard typeMarket priceAfter selling costs
Emrakul, the Promised End (foil)Foil mythic rare$44.91€40.07$42.38€37.82
Emrakul, the Promised EndMythic rare$25.57€22.81$24.01€21.42
Gisela, the Broken Blade (foil)Foil mythic rare$23.76€21.20$22.29€19.89
Sigarda's Aid (foil)Foil rare$20.97€18.71$19.64€17.52
Gisela, the Broken BladeMythic rare$17.61€15.71$16.45€14.67
Sigarda's AidRare$16.35€14.59$15.25€13.61
Tree of Perdition (foil)Foil mythic rare$9.78€8.73$9.02€8.04
Mind's Dilation (foil)Foil mythic rare$8.90€7.94$8.17€7.29
Geier Reach Sanitarium (foil)Foil rare$8.34€7.44$7.64€6.82
Liliana, the Last Hope (foil)Foil mythic rare$7.23€6.45$6.59€5.88
Ulrich of the Krallenhorde // Ulrich, Uncontested Alpha (foil)Foil mythic rare$6.79€6.06$6.17€5.51
Selfless Spirit (foil)Foil rare$5.77€5.15$5.20€4.64
Bruna, the Fading Light (foil)Foil rare$5.70€5.09$5.14€4.59
Tamiyo, Field Researcher (foil)Foil mythic rare$5.56€4.96$5.00€4.46
Displace (foil)Foil common$5.36€4.78$4.81€4.29
Mirrorwing Dragon (foil)Foil mythic rare$5.00€4.46$4.47€3.99
Eldritch Evolution (foil)Foil rare$4.99€4.45$4.46€3.98
Mind's DilationMythic rare$4.35€3.88$3.85€3.44
Tree of PerditionMythic rare$4.24€3.78$3.74€3.34
Hanweir Battlements (foil)Foil rare$4.17€3.72$3.68€3.28
Vampire Cutthroat (foil)Foil uncommon$3.82€3.41$3.35€2.99
Eternal Scourge (foil)Foil rare$3.82€3.41$3.35€2.99
Cryptbreaker (foil)Foil rare$3.67€3.27$3.20€2.86
Ulrich of the Krallenhorde // Ulrich, Uncontested AlphaMythic rare$3.51€3.13$3.05€2.72
Ishkanah, Grafwidow (foil)Foil mythic rare$3.41€3.04$2.96€2.64
Splendid Reclamation (foil)Foil rare$3.24€2.89$2.80€2.50
Hanweir Garrison (foil)Foil rare$3.09€2.76$2.66€2.37
Hanweir, the Writhing Township (foil)Foil rare$3.09€2.76$2.66€2.37
Liliana, the Last HopeMythic rare$3.07€2.74$2.64€2.35
Gisa and Geralf (foil)Foil mythic rare$2.98€2.66$2.55€2.28

How we work this out

We price every card at its market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.

Read the full method

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