€154todayIs a Winterspell booster display worth opening?
Cardmarket today
€154.33
- Lowest listing
- €97
- Per pack
- €6.43
Toss-up€162 of cards inside, after selling costs
Estimated contents: nobody has published measured pull rates for this box yet, so we use those of boxes with the same pack layout. Treat the numbers as a rough guide.
Why it's a toss-up
The cards inside are worth €162 after selling costs. The box costs €154.
Too close to call, and 68 of 100 boxes lose money.
Pull rates are still uncertain. The real value could be anywhere from €128 to €389. That's enough to change the verdict.
If you opened 100 boxes
- 32 make money
- 68 lose money
A typical box is worth €97. 1 in 10 boxes is worth €342 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth €45 or less.
The math, per box
From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.
Per box of 24 packs
- Box price on Cardmarket
- €154
- Cards inside, at market prices
- €196
- Selling costs and bulk
- −€34
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- €162
- Compared with the box price
- +€7
From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, €0.25 per card sold, cards under €1.00 go to bulk at €0.01.
- Cards inside, at market prices
- The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
- Selling costs and bulk
- Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
- Compared with the box price
- Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.
What the box costs
Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.
- Cardmarket today
- €154.33€6.43 per pack
- Lowest listing
- €97
- Box price on Cardmarket
- Cards inside, after selling costs
Show as a table
| Day | Box price | Cards inside, after costs |
|---|---|---|
| 15 October 2026 | €154.33 | €161.53 |
| 14 October 2026 | €154.33 | €162.15 |
What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth
Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.
Show as a table
| Box value | Boxes out of 100 | Result |
|---|---|---|
| €4 to €29 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| €29 to €54 | 16 of 100 | Lose money |
| €54 to €79 | 21 of 100 | Lose money |
| €79 to €104 | 14 of 100 | Lose money |
| €104 to €129 | 8 of 100 | Lose money |
| €129 to €154 | 6 of 100 | Lose money |
| €154 to €179 | 6 of 100 | Make money |
| €179 to €204 | 5 of 100 | Make money |
| €204 to €229 | 4 of 100 | Make money |
| €229 to €254 | 3 of 100 | Make money |
| €254 to €279 | 2 of 100 | Make money |
| €279 to €304 | 2 of 100 | Make money |
| €304 to €329 | 1 in 75 | Make money |
| €329 to €354 | 1 in 107 | Make money |
| €354 to €379 | 1 in 100 | Make money |
| €379 to €404 | 1 in 102 | Make money |
| €404 to €429 | 1 in 138 | Make money |
| €429 to €454 | 1 in 208 | Make money |
| €454 to €479 | 1 in 297 | Make money |
| €479 to €504 | 1 in 361 | Make money |
| €504 to €529 | 1 in 173 | Make money |
| €529 to €554 | 1 in 138 | Make money |
| €554 to €579 | 1 in 175 | Make money |
| €579 to €604 | 1 in 330 | Make money |
| €604 to €629 | 1 in 465 | Make money |
| €629 to €654 | 1 in 505 | Make money |
| €654 to €679 | 1 in 629 | Make money |
| €679 to €704 | 1 in 990 | Make money |
| €704 to €729 | 1 in 1,163 | Make money |
| €729 to €754 | 1 in 1,852 | Make money |
| €754 to €779 | 1 in 1,754 | Make money |
| €779 to €804 | 1 in 1,282 | Make money |
| €804 to €829 | 1 in 306 | Make money |
| €829 to €854 | 1 in 166 | Make money |
| €854 or more | 2 of 100 | Make money |
Where the value comes from
The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.
| Card type | How many per box | Average card after selling costs | Adds to the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enchanted1 in 2.1 boxes | 1 in 2.1 boxes | €146.63 | |
| Legendary4.7 per box | 4.7 per box | €6.62 | |
| Iconic1 in 40 boxes | 1 in 40 boxes | €782.88 | |
| Epic2.8 per box | 2.8 per box | €6.32 | |
| Legendary (foil)1 in 1.7 boxes | 1 in 1.7 boxes | €10.81 | |
| Rare32 per box | 32 per box | €0.10 | |
| Super Rare12 per box | 12 per box | €0.23 | |
| Super Rare (foil)1.8 per box | 1.8 per box | €1.53 | |
| Uncommon72 per box | 72 per box | €0.03 | |
| Rare (foil)3.3 per box | 3.3 per box | €0.60 | |
| Common144 per box | 144 per box | €0.01 | |
| Common or Uncommon (foil)15 per box | 15 per box | €0.09 | |
| Total | €162 |
Chance of a big pull
How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.
- Epic 95of 100 boxes Frameless rainbow-foil cards, rarer than Legendary; 18 per set from Fabled on. 2.8 per box€6.32 each
- Enchanted 39of 100 boxes Full-art foil versions of cards, found only in the foil slot. 1 in 2.1 boxes€147 each
- Iconic 2of 100 boxes The rarest cards in the game: only 2 per set, from Fabled on. 1 in 40 boxes€783 each
Show as a table
| Card type | Boxes with at least one | On average | Boxes for one specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| EpicFrameless rainbow-foil cards, rarer than Legendary; 18 per set from Fabled on. | 95 of 100 | 2.8 per box | 6.4 |
| EnchantedFull-art foil versions of cards, found only in the foil slot. | 39 of 100 | 1 in 2.1 boxes | 37 |
| IconicThe rarest cards in the game: only 2 per set, from Fabled on. | 2 of 100 | 1 in 40 boxes | 79 |
If card prices fall
Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.
| Card prices | Cards inside, after costs | Compared with the box | Boxes that lose money | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today's prices | €162 | +€7 | 68 of 100 | Toss-up |
| 25% lower | €121 | −€33 | 79 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 50% lower | €79 | −€76 | 89 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 75% lower | €38 | −€117 | 96 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
Pull rates we used
Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026. This box's own pull rates haven't been measured, so these come from boxes with the same pack layout, with extra uncertainty added.
| Card type | How often | Likely range | Based on |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common slots, 6 per pack | |||
| Common | 144 per box | Pack layout | |
| Uncommon slots, 3 per pack | |||
| Uncommon | 72 per box | Pack layout | |
| Rare-or-better slots, 2 per pack | |||
| Legendary | 4.7 per box | 2.9 to 7.5 per box | Estimate, The Gamers Lodge, Lorcana pull rates guide (u/Narzghal community trackers for Reign of Jafar and Fabled) |
| Super Rare | 12 per box | 7.4 to 18 per box | Estimate, DigitalTQ, The First Chapter pull rates (384 packs) |
| Rare | 32 per box | The rest of the slot | |
| Foil slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Iconic | 1 in 40 boxes | 1 in 2.9 to 538 boxes | Estimate, TCGTalk, Attack of the Vine! pull rates (216 packs from 9 boxes) |
| Epic | 2.8 per box | 1.7 to 4.6 per box | Estimate, TCGTalk, Attack of the Vine! pull rates (216 packs from 9 boxes) |
| Enchanted | 1 in 2.1 boxes | 1 in 1.2 to 3.4 boxes | Estimate, The Gamers Lodge, Lorcana pull rates guide (u/Narzghal community trackers for Reign of Jafar and Fabled) |
| Legendary (foil) | 1 in 1.7 boxes | 1 in 1.0 to 2.9 boxes | Estimate, The Gamers Lodge, Lorcana pull rates guide (u/Narzghal community trackers for Reign of Jafar and Fabled) |
| Super Rare (foil) | 1.8 per box | 1.1 to 2.9 per box | Estimate, DigitalTQ, The First Chapter pull rates (384 packs) |
| Rare (foil) | 3.3 per box | 2.1 to 5.4 per box | Estimate, DigitalTQ, The First Chapter pull rates (384 packs) |
| Common or Uncommon (foil) | 15 per box | The rest of the slot | |
Most valuable cards
The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.
| Card | Card type | Cardmarket price | After selling costs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pocahontas - Peacekeeper | Iconic | €830.55 | €788.77 |
| Moana - Curious Explorer | Iconic | €818.14 | €776.98 |
| Elsa - Ice Artisan | Enchanted | €505.28 | €479.77 |
| Eeyore - In the Way | Enchanted | €345.78 | €328.24 |
| Ohana Means Family | Enchanted | €263.45 | €250.03 |
| Angel - Experiment 624 | Enchanted | €195.00 | €185.00 |
| Anna - Soothing Sister | Enchanted | €154.41 | €146.44 |
| Raging Storm | Enchanted | €147.64 | €140.01 |
| Colors of the Wind | Enchanted | €135.76 | €128.72 |
| The Cold Never Bothered Me | Enchanted | €130.80 | €124.01 |
| Belle - Snowfield Strategist | Enchanted | €125.11 | €118.60 |
| Freeze the Vine | Enchanted | €123.58 | €117.15 |
| Scrooge McDuck - Reformed Ebenezer | Enchanted | €113.09 | €107.19 |
| Tod - Knows All the Tricks | Enchanted | €97.44 | €92.32 |
| Mulan - Resourceful Recruit | Enchanted | €92.41 | €87.54 |
| Lilo - Rock Star | Enchanted | €85.29 | €80.78 |
| Darkwing Duck - Cool Under Pressure | Enchanted | €79.01 | €74.81 |
| Negaduck - Public Enemy Number One | Enchanted | €65.53 | €62.00 |
| Let's Get Dangerous | Enchanted | €63.07 | €59.67 |
| Tamatoa - Seeker of Shine | Enchanted | €60.33 | €57.06 |
| Angel - Experiment 624 (foil) | Legendary (foil) | €39.09 | €36.89 |
| Angel - Experiment 624 | Legendary | €29.21 | €27.50 |
| Ohana Means Family (foil) | Legendary (foil) | €24.57 | €23.09 |
| Pocahontas - Peacekeeper (foil) | Legendary (foil) | €20.46 | €19.19 |
| Stitch - Carefree Snowboarder | Epic | €18.39 | €17.22 |
| Pocahontas - Peacekeeper | Legendary | €16.61 | €15.53 |
| Grandmother Willow - Ancient Advisor | Epic | €15.23 | €14.22 |
| Moana - Curious Explorer (foil) | Legendary (foil) | €14.54 | €13.56 |
| Ohana Means Family | Legendary | €13.79 | €12.85 |
| Tigger - Bouncing All the Way | Epic | €12.99 | €12.09 |
How we work this out
We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.