Magic Outlaws of Thunder Junction Collector Booster display€390today

Is an Outlaws of Thunder Junction Collector Booster display worth opening?

Magic. 12 packs of 15 cards. Released 19 April 2024. Prices from 15 October 2026.

Cardmarket today

€389.85

Lowest listing
€246
Per pack
€32.49

Keep it sealed€131 of cards inside, after selling costs

See the mathPrice history

Why we'd keep it sealed

The cards inside are worth €131 after selling costs. The box costs €390.

On average you lose €258 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.

Pull rates for this set are well documented.

No prices yet for: Foil basic land, Special foil. We count them as €0.

If you opened 100 boxes

  • 0 make money
  • 100 lose money

A typical box is worth €124. 1 in 10 boxes is worth €187 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth €87 or less.

The math, per box

From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.

Per box of 12 packs

Box price on Cardmarket
€390
Cards inside, at market prices
€177
Selling costs and bulk
−€46
Cards inside, after selling costs
€131
Compared with the box price
−€258

From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, €0.25 per card sold, cards under €1.00 go to bulk at €0.01.

Cards inside, at market prices
The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
Selling costs and bulk
Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
Cards inside, after selling costs
What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
Compared with the box price
Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.

What the box costs

Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.

Cardmarket today
€389.85€32.49 per pack
Lowest listing
€246

The price history starts on the day live prices switch on, and grows by one point a day.

What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth

Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.

Value of 100,000 simulated boxes100 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of €390.Box price €390Lose money051015€100€200€300€400Boxes out of 100Under €60: 1 in 222 boxes€60 to €70: 1 in 67 boxes€70 to €80: 4 of 100 boxes€80 to €90: 7 of 100 boxes€90 to €100: 10 of 100 boxes€100 to €110: 12 of 100 boxes€110 to €120: 12 of 100 boxes€120 to €130: 11 of 100 boxes€130 to €140: 10 of 100 boxes€140 to €150: 8 of 100 boxes€150 to €160: 6 of 100 boxes€160 to €170: 4 of 100 boxes€170 to €180: 3 of 100 boxes€180 to €190: 3 of 100 boxes€190 to €200: 2 of 100 boxes€200 to €210: 2 of 100 boxes€210 to €220: 1 in 79 boxes€220 to €230: 1 in 91 boxes€230 to €240: 1 in 112 boxes€240 to €250: 1 in 150 boxes€250 to €260: 1 in 189 boxes€260 to €270: 1 in 294 boxes€270 to €280: 1 in 388 boxes€280 to €290: 1 in 513 boxes€290 to €300: 1 in 763 boxes€300 to €310: 1 in 1,053 boxes€310 to €320: 1 in 1,282 boxes€320 to €330: 1 in 1,695 boxes€330 to €340: 1 in 2,632 boxes€340 to €350: 1 in 5,263 boxes€350 to €360: 1 in 9,091 boxes€360 to €370: 1 in 7,692 boxes€370 to €380: 1 in 7,692 boxes€380 to €390: 1 in 12,500 boxes€390 to €400: 1 in 33,333 boxes€400 to €410: 1 in 20,000 boxes€410 to €420: 1 in 33,333 boxes€420 or more: 1 in 25,000 boxesValue of 100,000 simulated boxes100 of every 100 simulated boxes were worth less than the box price of €390.Box price €390Lose money051015€100€200€300€400Boxes out of 100Under €60: 1 in 222 boxes€60 to €70: 1 in 67 boxes€70 to €80: 4 of 100 boxes€80 to €90: 7 of 100 boxes€90 to €100: 10 of 100 boxes€100 to €110: 12 of 100 boxes€110 to €120: 12 of 100 boxes€120 to €130: 11 of 100 boxes€130 to €140: 10 of 100 boxes€140 to €150: 8 of 100 boxes€150 to €160: 6 of 100 boxes€160 to €170: 4 of 100 boxes€170 to €180: 3 of 100 boxes€180 to €190: 3 of 100 boxes€190 to €200: 2 of 100 boxes€200 to €210: 2 of 100 boxes€210 to €220: 1 in 79 boxes€220 to €230: 1 in 91 boxes€230 to €240: 1 in 112 boxes€240 to €250: 1 in 150 boxes€250 to €260: 1 in 189 boxes€260 to €270: 1 in 294 boxes€270 to €280: 1 in 388 boxes€280 to €290: 1 in 513 boxes€290 to €300: 1 in 763 boxes€300 to €310: 1 in 1,053 boxes€310 to €320: 1 in 1,282 boxes€320 to €330: 1 in 1,695 boxes€330 to €340: 1 in 2,632 boxes€340 to €350: 1 in 5,263 boxes€350 to €360: 1 in 9,091 boxes€360 to €370: 1 in 7,692 boxes€370 to €380: 1 in 7,692 boxes€380 to €390: 1 in 12,500 boxes€390 to €400: 1 in 33,333 boxes€400 to €410: 1 in 20,000 boxes€410 to €420: 1 in 33,333 boxes€420 or more: 1 in 25,000 boxes
Each bar covers €10 of box value. Bars right of the line are boxes worth at least what you paid.
Show as a table
Box valueBoxes out of 100Result
Under €601 in 222Lose money
€60 to €701 in 67Lose money
€70 to €804 of 100Lose money
€80 to €907 of 100Lose money
€90 to €10010 of 100Lose money
€100 to €11012 of 100Lose money
€110 to €12012 of 100Lose money
€120 to €13011 of 100Lose money
€130 to €14010 of 100Lose money
€140 to €1508 of 100Lose money
€150 to €1606 of 100Lose money
€160 to €1704 of 100Lose money
€170 to €1803 of 100Lose money
€180 to €1903 of 100Lose money
€190 to €2002 of 100Lose money
€200 to €2102 of 100Lose money
€210 to €2201 in 79Lose money
€220 to €2301 in 91Lose money
€230 to €2401 in 112Lose money
€240 to €2501 in 150Lose money
€250 to €2601 in 189Lose money
€260 to €2701 in 294Lose money
€270 to €2801 in 388Lose money
€280 to €2901 in 513Lose money
€290 to €3001 in 763Lose money
€300 to €3101 in 1,053Lose money
€310 to €3201 in 1,282Lose money
€320 to €3301 in 1,695Lose money
€330 to €3401 in 2,632Lose money
€340 to €3501 in 5,263Lose money
€350 to €3601 in 9,091Lose money
€360 to €3701 in 7,692Lose money
€370 to €3801 in 7,692Lose money
€380 to €3901 in 12,500Lose money
€390 to €4001 in 33,333Make money
€400 to €4101 in 20,000Make money
€410 to €4201 in 33,333Make money
€420 or more1 in 25,000Make money

Where the value comes from

The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.

Card typeHow many per boxAverage card after selling costsAdds to the box
Showcase, borderless or extended-art rare22 per box22 per box€1.57€35
Foil showcase, borderless or extended-art rare6.8 per box6.8 per box€2.38€16
Foil Special Guests1 in 2.8 boxes1 in 2.8 boxes€35.48€13
Bonus-sheet mythic rare2.4 per box2.4 per box€4.97€12
Showcase, borderless or extended-art mythic1.7 per box1.7 per box€6.46€11
Foil rare10 per box10 per box€1.03€11
Foil mythic rare1.7 per box1.7 per box€5.09€8.73
Foil bonus-sheet mythic rare1.2 per box1.2 per box€7.14€8.57
Bonus-sheet rare9.6 per box9.6 per box€0.68€6.51
Foil bonus-sheet rare3.5 per box3.5 per box€1.22€4.25
Foil uncommon36 per box36 per box€0.10€3.65
Foil common48 per box48 per box€0.04€1.83
Bonus-sheet uncommon12 per box12 per box€0.01€0.12
Foil bonus-sheet uncommon12 per box12 per box€0.01€0.12
Foil basic land12 per box12 per boxNo price yet€0.00
Special foil1 in 8.3 boxes1 in 8.3 boxesNo price yet€0.00
Total€131

Chance of a big pull

How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.

Show as a table
Card typeBoxes with at least oneOn averageBoxes for one specific card
Foil raremore than 99 of 100 boxes10 per box5.8
Bonus-sheet mythic rareMythic rares from the set's bonus sheet (for example Mystical Archive, Retro Artifacts, Multiverse Legends, Enchanting Tales, The Big Score, Through the Ages, Stellar Sights).93 of 1002.4 per box19
Foil mythic rare84 of 1001.7 per box12
Foil bonus-sheet mythic rareFoil versions of bonus-sheet mythic rares, mostly from Collector Boosters.72 of 1001.2 per box37
Foil Special GuestsFoil Special Guests reprints, found only in Collector Boosters.31 of 1001 in 2.8 boxes28
Special foilRare foil treatments such as textured, fracture, halo, galaxy, mana, raised or invisible-ink foil, usually found in a few percent of Collector Boosters.11 of 1001 in 8.3 boxes

If card prices fall

Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.

Card pricesCards inside, after costsCompared with the boxBoxes that lose moneyVerdict
Today's prices€131−€258more than 99 of 100 boxesKeep it sealed
25% lower€93−€297100 of 100Keep it sealed
50% lower€57−€332100 of 100Keep it sealed
75% lower€24−€366100 of 100Keep it sealed

Pull rates we used

Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on 14 October 2026.

Card typeHow oftenLikely rangeBased on
Common slots, 4 per pack
Foil common48 per boxPack layout
Uncommon slots, 3 per pack
Foil uncommon36 per boxPack layout
Land slot, 1 per pack
Foil basic land12 per boxPack layout
Other card slots, 1 per pack
Bonus-sheet uncommon12 per boxPack layout
Wildcard slots, 1 per pack
Foil bonus-sheet uncommon12 per boxPack layout
Foil slot, 1 per pack
Foil mythic rare1.7 per box1.0 to 2.9 per boxOur assumption
Foil rare10 per boxThe rest of the slot
Rare slot, 1 per pack
Showcase, borderless or extended-art mythic1.7 per box1.0 to 2.9 per boxOur assumption
Showcase, borderless or extended-art rare10 per boxThe rest of the slot
Bonus slots, 1 per pack
Showcase, borderless or extended-art rare12 per boxPack layout
Rare-or-better slots, 1 per pack
Bonus-sheet mythic rare2.4 per box1.4 to 4.0 per boxOur assumption
Bonus-sheet rare9.6 per boxThe rest of the slot
Hit slots, 1 per pack
Foil bonus-sheet rare3.5 per boxOfficial, Wizards of the Coast, Collecting Outlaws of Thunder Junction
Foil bonus-sheet mythic rare1.2 per boxOfficial, Wizards of the Coast, Collecting Outlaws of Thunder Junction
Foil Special Guests1 in 2.8 boxesOfficial, Wizards of the Coast, Collecting Outlaws of Thunder Junction
Special foil1 in 8.3 boxesOfficial, Wizards of the Coast, Collecting Outlaws of Thunder Junction
Foil showcase, borderless or extended-art rare6.8 per boxThe rest of the slot

Most valuable cards

The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.

CardCard typeCardmarket priceAfter selling costs
Scapeshift (foil)Foil Special Guests€120.89€114.60
Prismatic Vista (foil)Foil Special Guests€92.87€87.98
Mana Drain (foil)Foil bonus-sheet mythic rare€50.26€47.50
Stoneforge Mystic (foil)Foil Special Guests€43.70€41.27
Bristly Bill, Spine SowerShowcase, borderless or extended-art mythic€43.11€40.70
Mana DrainBonus-sheet mythic rare€42.39€40.02
Vaultborn Tyrant (foil)Foil bonus-sheet mythic rare€40.47€38.20
Morbid Opportunist (foil)Foil Special Guests€40.10€37.85
Terror of the PeaksShowcase, borderless or extended-art mythic€37.06€34.96
Terror of the Peaks (foil)Foil mythic rare€30.11€28.35
Simulacrum Synthesizer (foil)Foil bonus-sheet mythic rare€29.93€28.18
Vaultborn TyrantBonus-sheet mythic rare€28.87€27.18
Bristly Bill, Spine Sower (foil)Foil mythic rare€27.20€25.59
Simulacrum SynthesizerBonus-sheet mythic rare€24.01€22.56
Notion Thief (foil)Foil Special Guests€23.86€22.42
Brazen Borrower // Petty Theft (foil)Foil Special Guests€20.60€19.32
Sword of Wealth and Power (foil)Foil bonus-sheet mythic rare€17.31€16.19
Molten Duplication (foil)Foil bonus-sheet mythic rare€15.86€14.82
Generous Plunderer (foil)Foil bonus-sheet mythic rare€15.22€14.21
Mindbreak Trap (foil)Foil bonus-sheet mythic rare€13.83€12.89
Fomori Vault (foil)Foil bonus-sheet mythic rare€13.81€12.87
High Noon (foil)Foil showcase, borderless or extended-art rare€13.09€12.19
Generous PlundererBonus-sheet mythic rare€12.87€11.98
Thoughtseize (foil)Foil bonus-sheet mythic rare€12.38€11.51
Sword of Wealth and PowerBonus-sheet mythic rare€12.28€11.42
Port Razer (foil)Foil Special Guests€11.85€11.01
Contagion Engine (foil)Foil bonus-sheet mythic rare€11.62€10.79
Grand Abolisher (foil)Foil bonus-sheet mythic rare€11.48€10.66
Three Steps Ahead (foil)Foil showcase, borderless or extended-art rare€11.41€10.59
Grand AbolisherBonus-sheet mythic rare€11.08€10.28

How we work this out

We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.

Read the full method