$171€153todayIs a 151 booster bundle worth opening?
Cardmarket today
$171.19€152.74
- Lowest listing
- $89.65€79.99
- Per pack
- $28.53€25.46
Keep it sealed$67€60 of cards inside, after selling costs
Why we'd keep it sealed
The cards inside are worth $67€60 after selling costs. The box costs $171€153.
On average you lose $104€93 per box. Buying the singles you want is cheaper.
Some pull rates are estimates, so the real value is likely between $58€52 and $80€72.
No prices yet for: Basic Energy. We count them as worth nothing.
If you opened 100 boxes
- 6 make money
- 94 lose money
A typical box is worth $35€32. 1 in 10 boxes is worth $148€132 or more, and 1 in 10 is worth $11€9 or less.
151 EV: the math, per box
From the price of every card to what you'd actually keep.
Per box of 6 packs
- Box price on Cardmarket
- $171€153
- Cards inside, at market prices
- $80€71
- Selling costs and bulk
- −$12−€11
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- $67€60
- Compared with the box price
- −$104−€93
From 100,000 simulated boxes. Selling costs: 5% fee, $0.28€0.25 per card sold, cards under $1.12€1.00 go to bulk at $0.01€0.01.
- Cards inside, at market prices
- The average value of everything in a box, with each card at its price on Cardmarket today.
- Selling costs and bulk
- Cardmarket's fee and postage for every card worth selling. Cheap cards go to bulk for a few cents.
- Cards inside, after selling costs
- What an average box puts in your pocket once everything is sold.
- Compared with the box price
- Plus means the average box is worth more than it costs. Minus means it's worth less.
What the box costs
Today's price on Cardmarket, and how the box price and the cards inside have moved.
- Cardmarket today
- $171.19€152.74$28.53€25.46 per pack
- Lowest listing
- $89.65€79.99
The price history starts on the day live prices switch on, and grows by one point a day.
What 100,000 simulated boxes were worth
Every box is different. This is how the value of each simulated box came out, after selling costs.
Show as a table
| Box value | Boxes out of 100 | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Under $14€13 | 20 of 100 | Lose money |
| $14€13 to $25€23 | 19 of 100 | Lose money |
| $25€23 to $37€33 | 13 of 100 | Lose money |
| $37€33 to $48€43 | 6 of 100 | Lose money |
| $48€43 to $59€53 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| $59€53 to $70€63 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| $70€63 to $82€73 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| $82€73 to $93€83 | 5 of 100 | Lose money |
| $93€83 to $104€93 | 4 of 100 | Lose money |
| $104€93 to $115€103 | 3 of 100 | Lose money |
| $115€103 to $126€113 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $126€113 to $138€123 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $138€123 to $149€133 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $149€133 to $160€143 | 2 of 100 | Lose money |
| $160€143 to $171€153 | 1 in 79 | Lose money |
| $171€153 to $182€163 | 1 in 126 | Make money |
| $182€163 to $194€173 | 1 in 160 | Make money |
| $194€173 to $205€183 | 1 in 189 | Make money |
| $205€183 to $216€193 | 1 in 206 | Make money |
| $216€193 to $227€203 | 1 in 267 | Make money |
| $227€203 to $238€213 | 1 in 360 | Make money |
| $238€213 to $250€223 | 1 in 549 | Make money |
| $250€223 to $261€233 | 1 in 671 | Make money |
| $261€233 to $272€243 | 1 in 1,000 | Make money |
| $272€243 to $283€253 | 1 in 1,124 | Make money |
| $283€253 to $294€263 | 1 in 1,333 | Make money |
| $294€263 to $306€273 | 1 in 2,632 | Make money |
| $306€273 to $317€283 | 1 in 5,000 | Make money |
| $317€283 to $328€293 | 1 in 5,000 | Make money |
| $328€293 to $339€303 | 1 in 5,882 | Make money |
| $339€303 to $351€313 | 1 in 9,091 | Make money |
| $351€313 to $362€323 | 1 in 10,000 | Make money |
| $362€323 to $373€333 | 1 in 33,333 | Make money |
| $373€333 to $384€343 | 1 in 25,000 | Make money |
| $384€343 to $395€353 | 1 in 25,000 | Make money |
| $395€353 to $407€363 | 1 in 100,000 | Make money |
| $407€363 to $418€373 | 1 in 2,778 | Make money |
| $418€373 or more | 3 of 100 | Make money |
Where the value comes from
The average box, split by card type. Most of the value often sits in cards you'll rarely see.
| Card type | How many per box | Average card after selling costs | Adds to the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare1 in 2.0 boxes | 1 in 2.0 boxes | $48.14€42.95 | |
| Special Illustration Rare1 in 5.4 boxes | 1 in 5.4 boxes | $130.24€116.20 | |
| Reverse Holo11 per box | 11 per box | $0.77€0.68 | |
| Ultra Rare1 in 2.6 boxes | 1 in 2.6 boxes | $14.76€13.17 | |
| Double Rare1 in 1.3 boxes | 1 in 1.3 boxes | $2.92€2.60 | |
| Hyper Rare1 in 8.6 boxes | 1 in 8.6 boxes | $8.41€7.50 | |
| Rare4.8 per box | 4.8 per box | $0.13€0.12 | |
| Common24 per box | 24 per box | $0.01€0.01 | |
| Uncommon18 per box | 18 per box | $0.01€0.01 | |
| Basic Energy6.0 per box | 6.0 per box | No price yet | |
| Total | $67€60 |
Chance of a big pull
How often a box has at least one of the rarest cards.
- Illustration Rare 41of 100 boxes Full-card alternate artwork of a regular Pokémon (one gold star). 1 in 2.0 boxes$48€43 each
- Special Illustration Rare 17of 100 boxes Full-card alternate artwork of a Pokémon ex or Supporter (two gold stars): the big chase cards of modern sets. 1 in 5.4 boxes$130€116 each
- Hyper Rare 11of 100 boxes Gold-etched Pokémon ex, Trainer or Energy cards (three gold stars), the rarest cards of Scarlet & Violet sets. 1 in 8.6 boxes$8.41€7.50 each
Show as a table
| Card type | Boxes with at least one | On average | Boxes for one specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration RareFull-card alternate artwork of a regular Pokémon (one gold star). | 41 of 100 | 1 in 2.0 boxes | 31 |
| Special Illustration RareFull-card alternate artwork of a Pokémon ex or Supporter (two gold stars): the big chase cards of modern sets. | 17 of 100 | 1 in 5.4 boxes | 38 |
| Hyper RareGold-etched Pokémon ex, Trainer or Energy cards (three gold stars), the rarest cards of Scarlet & Violet sets. | 11 of 100 | 1 in 8.6 boxes | 26 |
If card prices fall
Prices often drop in the weeks after a set comes out. This is the same box with cheaper cards and the same box price.
| Card prices | Cards inside, after costs | Compared with the box | Boxes that lose money | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today's prices | $67€60 | −$104−€93 | 94 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 25% lower | $49€44 | −$122−€109 | 97 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 50% lower | $31€28 | −$140−€125 | 97 of 100 | Keep it sealed |
| 75% lower | $15€13 | −$157−€140 | more than 99 of 100 boxes | Keep it sealed |
151 pull rates
Where each number comes from, and how sure we are. Sources checked on October 15, 2026.
| Card type | How often | Likely range | Based on |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common slots, 4 per pack | |||
| Common | 24 per box | Pack layout | |
| Uncommon slots, 3 per pack | |||
| Uncommon | 18 per box | Pack layout | |
| Reverse holo slots, 1 per pack | |||
| Reverse Holo | 6.0 per box | Pack layout | |
| Foil slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Illustration Rare | 1 in 2.0 boxes | 1 in 1.4 to 2.7 boxes | Published estimate, Card Codex: 151 booster pack, expected pull rates (no source or sample given) |
| Special Illustration Rare | 1 in 5.4 boxes | 1 in 3.9 to 7.4 boxes | Published estimate, Card Codex: 151 booster pack, expected pull rates (no source or sample given) |
| Hyper Rare | 1 in 8.6 boxes | 1 in 6.2 to 12 boxes | Published estimate, Card Codex: 151 booster pack, expected pull rates (no source or sample given) |
| Reverse Holo | 5.2 per box | The rest of the slot | |
| Rare slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Double Rare | 1 in 1.3 boxes | 1 in 1.7 boxes to 1.1 per box | Published estimate, Card Codex: 151 booster pack, expected pull rates (no source or sample given) |
| Ultra Rare | 1 in 2.6 boxes | 1 in 1.9 to 3.6 boxes | Published estimate, Card Codex: 151 booster pack, expected pull rates (no source or sample given) |
| Rare | 4.8 per box | The rest of the slot | |
| Energy slot, 1 per pack | |||
| Basic Energy | 6.0 per box | Pack layout | |
Most valuable 151 cards
The 30 most valuable cards in the set, and what you'd keep after selling one.
| Card | Card type | Cardmarket price | After selling costs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charizard ex (199) | Special Illustration Rare | $435.04€388.15 | $413.01€368.49 |
| Blastoise ex (200) | Special Illustration Rare | $146.05€130.31 | $138.47€123.54 |
| Venusaur ex (198) | Special Illustration Rare | $134.09€119.64 | $127.11€113.41 |
| Zapdos ex (202) | Special Illustration Rare | $122.56€109.35 | $116.15€103.63 |
| Charmander (168) | Illustration Rare | $96.39€86.00 | $91.29€81.45 |
| Squirtle (170) | Illustration Rare | $87.13€77.74 | $82.49€73.60 |
| Pikachu (173) | Illustration Rare | $80.62€71.93 | $76.31€68.08 |
| Alakazam ex (201) | Special Illustration Rare | $79.89€71.28 | $75.62€67.47 |
| Bulbasaur (166) | Illustration Rare | $74.56€66.52 | $70.55€62.94 |
| Charmeleon (169) | Illustration Rare | $66.16€59.03 | $62.57€55.83 |
| Wartortle (171) | Illustration Rare | $62.41€55.68 | $59.01€52.65 |
| Psyduck (175) | Illustration Rare | $60.72€54.18 | $57.41€51.22 |
| Dragonair (181) | Illustration Rare | $58.49€52.19 | $55.29€49.33 |
| Poliwhirl (176) | Illustration Rare | $52.48€46.82 | $49.57€44.23 |
| Ivysaur (167) | Illustration Rare | $50.66€45.20 | $47.85€42.69 |
| Charizard ex (183) | Ultra Rare | $42.34€37.78 | $39.95€35.64 |
| Mew ex (193) | Ultra Rare | $34.18€30.50 | $32.19€28.73 |
| Blastoise ex (184) | Ultra Rare | $26.18€23.36 | $24.59€21.94 |
| Machoke (177) | Illustration Rare | $25.70€22.93 | $24.13€21.53 |
| Caterpie (172) | Illustration Rare | $24.00€21.41 | $22.52€20.09 |
| Nidoking (174) | Illustration Rare | $23.86€21.29 | $22.39€19.98 |
| Giovanni's Charisma (204) | Special Illustration Rare | $22.60€20.16 | $21.19€18.90 |
| Erika's Invitation (203) | Special Illustration Rare | $21.50€19.18 | $20.14€17.97 |
| Venusaur ex (182) | Ultra Rare | $19.87€17.73 | $18.60€16.59 |
| Mew ex (205) | Hyper Rare | $18.31€16.34 | $17.12€15.27 |
| Omanyte (180) | Illustration Rare | $18.03€16.09 | $16.85€15.04 |
| Tangela (178) | Illustration Rare | $18.01€16.07 | $16.83€15.02 |
| Mr. Mime (179) | Illustration Rare | $16.33€14.57 | $15.23€13.59 |
| Zapdos ex (192) | Ultra Rare | $16.08€14.35 | $15.00€13.38 |
| Ninetales ex (186) | Ultra Rare | $15.55€13.87 | $14.49€12.93 |
How we work this out
We price every card at its Cardmarket market value, take off the selling costs above, and open 100,000 virtual boxes slot by slot using the pull rates in the table. The verdict compares the cards with the box price and checks how often a box loses money.
More Pokémon boxes
- Pokémon Paradox Rift Keep it sealed $59€53 of cards for a $246€219 box More than 99 of 100 boxes lose money
- Pokémon Paradox RiftBooster bundle Keep it sealed $10€9 of cards for a $49€44 box 97 of 100 boxes lose money
- Pokémon Paradox RiftElite Trainer Box Keep it sealed $15€13 of cards for a $105€94 box 99 of 100 boxes lose money
- Pokémon 151Elite Trainer Box Keep it sealed $101€90 of cards for a $452€403 box 97 of 100 boxes lose money
- Pokémon Obsidian Flames Keep it sealed $70€63 of cards for a $262€234 box More than 99 of 100 boxes lose money
- Pokémon Obsidian FlamesBooster bundle Keep it sealed $12€10 of cards for a $160€143 box More than 99 of 100 boxes lose money
Compare: Paradox Rift vs 151, 151 vs Obsidian Flames, Elite Trainer Box vs booster bundle